Scholarly-Chance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-14 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% 100% +$0

Sports

31% — —

Crypto

16% — —

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2	$2	82¢	$2	$-0	06-14 00:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$292	147	147	+0	open	—	04-18 15:22
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$160	82	82	+0	open	—	03-25 23:46
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	04-05 00:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$160	81	81	+0	open	—	03-23 12:22
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$158	79	79	+0	open	—	03-29 07:13
will another outcome occur in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$156	78	78	+0	open	—	04-08 14:34
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	2	$156	79	79	+0	open	—	04-08 14:33
will pete hegseth attend the 2026 state of the union address	2	$155	90	90	+0	open	—	02-24 07:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	04-15 13:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	3	$146	77	70	+7	open	—	04-18 15:22
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	03-11 13:58
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	03-06 13:24
will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	2	$126	64	64	+0	open	—	03-11 13:58
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$124	62	62	+0	open	—	03-06 13:25
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	03-11 13:59
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$112	57	57	+0	open	—	03-11 14:00
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-04 12:45
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-24 07:52
btc updown 5m 1770984300	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 12:10
dota2 pari tundra 2026 03 11	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-11 13:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-14 00:53
will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-24 07:52
nba tor nop 2026 03 11	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-11 13:59
lol sen dsg 2026 04 04	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-05 00:11
nba mia cha 2026 03 06	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-06 13:24
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	03-15 08:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-09 07:29
highest temperature in shanghai on april 6 2026 18c	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-05 00:11
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-30 01:42
will smoke be said 20 times at the rotterdam grand final	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-29 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 00:53:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2ec45e…
06-14 00:53:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x157495…
05-30 14:14:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x016326…
05-30 14:12:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa54721…
05-30 01:42:58	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe21f78…
05-09 07:29:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1d580b…
04-18 15:22:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$69	0x757e35…
04-18 15:22:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$69	0xa6636b…
04-18 15:22:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x61ab0c…
04-18 15:22:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5a9671…
04-15 15:41:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x5bb5a9…
04-15 13:23:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$76	0x7fb901…
04-15 13:23:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x637f60…
04-15 13:23:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xe62763…
04-15 13:23:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x605e96…
04-08 14:34:29	will another outcome occur in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x498516…
04-08 14:34:23	will another outcome occur in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x8deae8…
04-08 14:33:51	Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x84f587…
04-08 14:33:43	Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x8a7c46…
04-05 00:11:35	highest temperature in shanghai on april 6 2026 18c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa41514…
04-05 00:11:23	lol sen dsg 2026 04 04	Sentinels	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xae2da4…
04-05 00:11:09	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0x8e3001…
04-05 00:11:03	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xc81157…
04-04 12:45:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xb37860…
03-30 20:55:35	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xb619f2…
03-30 00:31:30	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x85f92d…
03-29 21:40:20	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x1d38f4…
03-29 21:24:36	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xacd913…
03-29 07:13:56	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	79	99¢	$79	0xf943a1…
03-29 07:13:50	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xe5f54c…
03-29 07:13:32	will smoke be said 20 times at the rotterdam grand final	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x62a604…
03-25 23:46:07	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	82	98¢	$80	0x14a95e…
03-25 23:46:01	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0x4750d5…
03-23 12:22:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0xb9118c…
03-23 12:22:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x1dee32…
03-15 08:14:37	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xae757f…
03-11 14:00:57	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x3c1c31…
03-11 14:00:13	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x4aa1b2…
03-11 13:59:57	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0xc304ef…
03-11 13:59:31	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x96bce9…
03-11 13:59:13	nba tor nop 2026 03 11	Raptors	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x877c12…
03-11 13:58:59	dota2 pari tundra 2026 03 11	PARIVISION	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf79f17…
03-11 13:58:43	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0x161778…
03-11 13:58:33	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	63	99¢	$63	0xeedff1…
03-11 13:58:19	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x56ae84…
03-11 13:57:55	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xddb69e…
03-06 13:25:19	Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x03e5f7…
03-06 13:25:11	Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xc422bf…
03-06 13:24:59	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xd5b814…
03-06 13:24:51	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x01d08e…
03-06 13:24:03	nba mia cha 2026 03 06	Hornets	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x06cb76…
02-24 07:52:38	will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7905d0…
02-24 07:52:16	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc66cf9…
02-24 07:48:58	will pete hegseth attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	90	72¢	$65	0x1bff5a…
02-24 07:45:36	will pete hegseth attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x41cebb…
02-13 12:10:19	btc updown 5m 1770984300	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd7ba0f…
02-13 12:08:57	btc updown 5m 1770984300	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x55249a…