Rare-Bustle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$189

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

193

Trades

674

lifetime

Volume

$26.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-01 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 68% +$116

Other

3% 38% +$78

Politics

1% 0% $-5

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 318 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	14	$672	424	424	+0	Down	+$21	05-12 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	5	$667	526	526	+0	Down	+$47	05-12 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	8	$647	457	457	+0	Up	+$7	05-13 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	5	$614	327	327	+0	Up	+$14	05-12 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	6	$613	449	449	+0	Up	+$13	05-12 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$604	359	359	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$593	447	414	+34	Up	$-7	05-12 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	5	$460	382	227	+155	open	—	05-23 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$448	425	167	+258	Up	$-152	05-12 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	5	$435	345	330	+14	Up	+$15	05-12 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$432	275	275	+0	Up	+$32	05-12 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$426	423	423	+0	Down	$-174	05-12 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$421	273	273	+0	Down	+$21	05-11 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$409	248	248	+0	Down	+$9	05-12 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	4	$407	225	225	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$403	215	215	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	6	$363	234	234	+0	Down	+$23	05-12 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$335	188	188	+0	Down	+$15	05-12 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$332	191	191	+0	Down	+$12	05-12 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$329	182	182	+0	Down	+$9	05-12 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	7	$329	239	135	+105	Down	+$3	05-12 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$327	171	171	+0	Down	+$7	05-13 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$327	210	192	+18	Up	+$15	05-12 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	4	$319	214	214	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$316	184	163	+22	Up	$-4	05-12 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$316	187	159	+28	Down	$-4	05-12 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$314	238	127	+111	Up	+$25	05-11 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$313	175	175	+0	Down	+$13	05-12 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$312	168	153	+15	Up	$-8	05-12 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$311	177	155	+23	Up	$-9	05-12 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 12:14:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xbba277…
05-23 05:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	284	47¢	$133	0x99145c…
05-23 05:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	284	53¢	$150	0x39d10b…
05-23 05:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd5288e…
05-23 05:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	158	91¢	$143	0x7a1f59…
05-23 05:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0x3cd709…
05-23 05:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0xed4315…
05-23 05:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xff7910…
05-23 05:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x628524…
05-23 05:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	219	68¢	$149	0xed0bce…
05-23 05:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	219	68¢	$150	0xf6c3a6…
05-23 05:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	152	99¢	$150	0x3ce49e…
05-23 05:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x3e3cd7…
05-23 05:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x7fc350…
05-23 05:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xef29be…
05-23 05:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	83¢	$8	0x524159…
05-23 05:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x020cc8…
05-23 05:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x22037a…
05-23 05:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x91de36…
05-23 05:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x4039c1…
05-23 05:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe4a78e…
05-23 04:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0xaf6a13…
05-23 04:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0xb846c2…
05-23 04:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x5fa4ab…
05-23 04:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xd13152…
05-23 04:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6d6a2e…
05-23 04:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x379099…
05-23 04:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2fc722…
05-23 04:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x79908f…
05-23 04:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0x319187…
05-23 04:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4f8cb9…
05-23 04:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x94d0c6…
05-23 04:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdc518c…
05-22 12:26:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x07ac1d…
05-21 17:57:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	88	42¢	$37	0x5ff8da…
05-21 17:56:37	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x496360…
05-19 19:29:01	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xfc5eab…
05-19 18:16:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4b47bb…
05-19 18:07:16	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0xbee08d…
05-19 06:02:18	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	10¢	$3	0x9c781f…
05-19 05:23:27	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xb5a392…
05-19 04:22:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	75	75¢	$56	0x2534cb…
05-19 04:09:53	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xa1bf67…
05-19 03:55:27	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x9d8e81…
05-19 03:54:41	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xd5cd6f…
05-17 19:56:45	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x0ef954…
05-17 19:21:57	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x5adfd0…
05-17 19:18:48	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	80	23¢	$18	0x3ab19c…
05-16 04:43:35	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x69538d…
05-16 00:06:18	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9259be…
05-15 00:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x718668…
05-15 00:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x73b2da…
05-13 04:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe4041c…
05-13 04:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x916ecd…
05-13 04:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9472f8…
05-13 04:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	67¢	$9	0x3de29c…
05-13 04:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x97af6e…
05-13 04:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xac2d8f…
05-13 04:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	25	84¢	$21	0x5eca3a…
05-13 04:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x98bb6e…
05-13 03:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x7773a0…
05-13 03:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x152741…
05-13 02:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7876db…
05-13 02:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0xb78e16…
05-13 02:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb6560b…
05-13 02:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	158	99¢	$156	0x23e8ae…
05-13 02:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0x3b1f83…
05-13 02:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x398da6…
05-13 02:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xc02807…
05-13 02:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	196	75¢	$148	0x992bad…
05-13 02:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	196	76¢	$150	0xc70e15…
05-13 02:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0xebef9d…
05-13 02:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x075afb…
05-13 02:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf79392…
05-13 02:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x23843c…
05-13 02:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x04d628…
05-13 02:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xeacac3…
05-13 02:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	201	77¢	$155	0x52a112…
05-13 02:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	201	75¢	$150	0xaeb6d7…
05-13 02:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	223	68¢	$151	0x757bd2…
05-13 02:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	223	67¢	$150	0xc34da9…
05-13 02:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xd84d1b…
05-13 02:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x40f4f7…
05-13 02:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x489b26…
05-13 02:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xd1a686…
05-13 02:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x4e537c…
05-13 02:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbdf2d2…
05-13 02:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	37	28¢	$10	0xb12297…
05-13 02:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x0147df…
05-13 02:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x90e332…
05-13 01:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x27a267…
05-13 01:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd8b231…
05-13 01:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0x17c668…
05-13 01:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x22ee04…
05-13 01:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x6757cd…
05-13 00:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	182	82¢	$150	0x0fca9e…
05-13 00:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x0f6b57…
05-13 00:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x775fd3…
05-12 23:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	163	96¢	$156	0xd87602…
05-12 23:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	163	92¢	$150	0x300ad1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	215	$269.6K	7,593	06-01 02:31
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	197	$59.1K	10,316	05-23 05:49
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	196	$56.6K	8,125	05-23 05:47
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	196	$52.8K	3,318	05-23 05:48
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	196	$50.9K	7,241	05-23 05:47
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	196	$50.3K	13,405	05-23 05:49
(anonymous) 0xd9ca…f253	196	$50.0K	11,181	05-23 05:49
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	196	$47.0K	12,357	05-23 05:49