Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$187

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.8%

Resolved

246

Trades

650

lifetime

Volume

$4.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 04-08 01:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

42% 68% -$92

Politics

35% 41% -$61

Crypto

15% 60% -$13

Tech

7% 29% -$22

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	8	$133	72	72	+0	No	+$0	03-19 17:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	20	$105	480	390	+90	No	+$4	03-25 12:48
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	18	$102	98	98	+0	No	-$1	03-09 09:49
israel strike on damascus by march 31 2026	4	$91	257	257	+0	No	-$3	03-09 09:49
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	31	$85	144	144	+0	Yes	-$2	03-08 04:34
will trump say cocaine this week february 15	7	$84	64	64	+0	No	-$1	02-12 02:14
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	20	$76	93	93	+0	No	-$2	03-24 09:02
will trump say sleepy joe this week february 15	5	$74	85	85	+0	Yes	+$1	02-11 18:43
will trump say transgender this week february 15	5	$72	92	92	+0	No	-$1	02-11 18:43
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	3	$71	65	65	+0	No	+$1	03-09 09:49
epl not wol 2026 02 11 spread away 1pt5	4	$69	36	36	+0	Nottingham Forest FC	-$1	02-11 18:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 12	5	$65	34	34	+0	No	+$0	02-12 04:51
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	7	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$0	02-19 04:34
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	5	$59	74	74	+0	Yes	-$1	03-24 09:02
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	14	$55	49	49	+0	Yes	+$12	03-09 09:49
will trump say rigged election this week february 15	5	$54	50	50	+0	No	-$1	02-11 18:43
trump invokes war powers against iran by march 31 2026	5	$54	54	54	+0	Yes	-$12	02-27 15:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	12	$49	45	45	+0	Yes	-$1	03-24 07:03
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	18	$48	34	34	+0	Yes	+$5	03-09 09:47
will netanyahu visit nyc by march 31	3	$48	25	25	+0	No	$0	03-03 18:02
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	6	$47	5,532	5,532	+0	No	-$19	03-24 07:24
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	4	$47	51	51	+0	Yes	-$3	03-24 07:05
donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 160 179	9	$45	36	36	+0	Yes	-$3	03-09 09:48
will iran strike abqaiq oil processing facility by march 31	2	$41	29	29	+0	No	-$1	03-09 09:49
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	4	$41	34	34	+0	No	-$1	02-24 16:16
will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	5	$40	40	20	+20	Yes	+$0	03-16 04:40
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	2	$37	79	79	+0	No	-$6	03-07 08:42
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	-$3	02-27 15:03
will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week february 15	3	$37	30	30	+0	No	-$1	02-11 18:42
hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	2	$36	24	24	+0	Yes	+$12	03-02 02:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-08 01:17:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x5d130c…
03-25 12:48:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x49bb5f…
03-24 17:56:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x5e2e4d…
03-24 14:43:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xd2eb27…
03-24 09:40:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xb51d3e…
03-24 09:02:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	120	11¢	$13	0x2e3e5d…
03-24 09:02:27	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	SELL	32	42¢	$14	0x2bbd3c…
03-24 09:02:23	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0xe97df9…
03-24 09:02:15	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	SELL	53	26¢	$14	0xa7411d…
03-24 09:02:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0x9d7ca0…
03-24 08:51:31	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x10fb1a…
03-24 08:51:17	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0xe9e813…
03-24 08:51:17	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x9103ae…
03-24 08:50:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xfcead5…
03-24 08:49:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xcf8d20…
03-24 08:45:41	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	7¢	$13	0xbf5c52…
03-24 07:28:21	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x384943…
03-24 07:26:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x199d34…
03-24 07:24:31	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	2,540	0¢	$5	0x020b1f…
03-24 07:21:49	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0xa9952c…
03-24 07:20:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xa254af…
03-24 07:14:27	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	2,540	1¢	$15	0x6dfb83…
03-24 07:14:03	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	2,505	0¢	$8	0x3612cc…
03-24 07:13:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xd8f14e…
03-24 07:10:29	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x368eb6…
03-24 07:07:03	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x287c57…
03-24 07:05:55	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	2,505	1¢	$15	0x2ab94e…
03-24 07:05:13	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	34	43¢	$15	0x06d7d5…
03-24 07:05:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x5c7167…
03-24 07:04:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	210	11¢	$23	0xf5e33e…
03-24 07:04:13	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x3018ac…
03-24 07:04:05	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	73¢	$15	0x00a383…
03-24 07:03:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	90	9¢	$8	0x81d132…
03-24 07:03:39	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x7c94cb…
03-24 07:03:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x77cf51…
03-24 07:03:25	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	487	0¢	$1	0x81ddd0…
03-24 07:03:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x378253…
03-23 11:12:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xab0edf…
03-22 19:16:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xff378c…
03-22 18:39:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x201e87…
03-22 15:08:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xc0d6cb…
03-22 13:57:33	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	SELL	107	11¢	$12	0xd492de…
03-21 20:34:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xfe58bb…
03-21 17:43:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x80e896…
03-21 17:00:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x6a88ad…
03-21 10:50:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	15¢	$12	0x4f6101…
03-21 05:15:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x980c63…
03-20 21:22:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x5e2f02…
03-20 19:33:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x7de9de…
03-20 04:45:09	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	14	32¢	$4	0x1203c6…
03-20 04:44:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	4¢	$10	0x7502a7…
03-20 02:35:23	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	487	1¢	$3	0xd86c54…
03-20 02:35:01	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x1da73d…
03-20 02:27:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x603104…
03-19 17:32:17	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x9795c5…
03-19 17:31:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0x2d79d3…
03-19 17:30:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x31c4ef…
03-19 17:30:13	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	SELL	16	95¢	$16	0xb1fe55…
03-19 17:30:01	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xbf897d…
03-19 01:29:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xf09983…
03-19 01:29:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xd24b64…
03-19 00:35:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x96b804…
03-19 00:34:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x964f9c…
03-19 00:33:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x49da3b…
03-19 00:31:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x5efff8…
03-19 00:29:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7fd9eb…
03-19 00:29:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x3b12b5…
03-18 23:32:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x361807…
03-17 04:45:07	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x2d8257…
03-17 04:45:01	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x839840…
03-17 04:44:57	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xc296f2…
03-17 03:39:01	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0xdbd070…
03-17 03:38:09	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0xf967b2…
03-17 03:35:31	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	SELL	46	29¢	$13	0x932e89…
03-17 03:34:55	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	34	39¢	$13	0x75a92e…
03-17 03:34:09	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	SELL	128	7¢	$9	0x5b6990…
03-16 12:43:47	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xbd0521…
03-16 12:43:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0xe88f75…
03-16 11:45:07	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x2578c5…
03-16 11:23:47	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x06f5b6…
03-16 11:23:39	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xa54638…
03-16 11:18:51	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x8ff80b…
03-16 11:18:47	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xced621…
03-16 11:16:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0x0befaa…
03-16 11:09:35	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x9fd866…
03-16 11:09:03	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	128	12¢	$15	0xb83528…
03-16 11:08:39	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x34c288…
03-16 11:08:23	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x68560d…
03-16 04:41:21	weed rescheduled by march 31	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x57c794…
03-16 04:40:25	will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa9feee…
03-16 04:40:19	will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfa11d1…
03-16 04:40:13	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x15f8c7…
03-16 04:13:13	weed rescheduled by march 31	Yes	SELL	86	2¢	$2	0x9833f1…
03-16 04:13:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	80	36¢	$29	0x0add59…
03-16 03:58:47	cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xba858c…
03-15 05:56:57	will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x3f34b1…
03-15 00:41:21	will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xcf2add…
03-14 22:24:39	will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xab575d…
03-14 18:17:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x95e280…
03-14 15:41:17	will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x788a95…