Bowed-Definition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$104

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$75

1 position

First seen

2026-01-31

last 05-30 07:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

92% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$1

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes		+407	$90	18¢	$75	$-14	05-30 07:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	5	$90	407	+407	open	—	05-30 07:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-06 00:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	02-28 10:05
Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	01-31 13:21
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-31 13:21
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-30 07:32
Wild vs. Avalanche	1	$1	1	+1	Avalanche	+$0	05-06 00:33
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$1	1	+1	Thunder	+$0	05-06 00:33
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$1	1	+1	Pistons	+$0	05-06 00:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 07:32:33	Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo	Alejandro Tabilo	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x463609…
05-30 07:32:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	55	22¢	$12	0xc64584…
05-30 07:31:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	88	22¢	$19	0x9887fe…
05-30 07:31:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	88	22¢	$19	0x383205…
05-30 07:31:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	88	22¢	$19	0x248896…
05-30 07:31:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	88	22¢	$19	0xa291c0…
05-06 00:34:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xb5d53e…
05-06 00:33:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x1394ff…
05-06 00:33:42	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5e77c4…
05-06 00:33:28	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x069876…
05-06 00:33:16	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x33f89f…
02-28 10:05:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x2be2cb…
01-31 13:21:34	Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x309e01…
01-31 13:21:26	Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x833a30…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	6	$93.5K	1,142	06-09 22:48
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	6	$33.7K	288	05-30 17:53
Drab-Heaven 0xaff3…6ecc	6	$10.2K	65	05-30 19:03
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	5	$17.8K	122	05-30 17:47
Lean-Attraction 0xbad2…5296	5	$11.5K	72	05-29 15:03
Green-Birdwatcher 0x3458…b5a7	5	$7.14K	10	06-02 01:41
Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272	5	$2.26K	24	05-06 01:17
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	5	$1.87K	587	06-09 23:46