Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
74.5%
Resolved
26
Trades
81
lifetime
Volume
$197
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$22
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 10-21 05:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
47% 100% +$4
Politics
30% 71% -$7
Crypto
20% 53% -$2
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +8 $6 71¢ $6 $0 10-21 05:23
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 06-02 07:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +7 $5 64¢ $4 -$1 06-23 17:55
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -4 -$4 96¢ $-4 $0 10-21 05:17
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No -1 -$2 90¢ $-1 +$1 10-21 05:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 09-14 03:42