Bold-Ephyra — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.8%

Resolved

1,024

Trades

5,670

lifetime

Volume

$2.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 06-03 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 1% +$6

Sports

6% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 425 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	2	$163	100	100	+0	open	—	05-29 08:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$63	11,210	0	+11,210	open	—	06-03 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$50	100	50	+50	open	—	05-14 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$20	20	20	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$20	20	20	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 06:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-29 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-21 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-21 08:14
eth updown 4h 1775707200	4	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-09 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$10	70	0	+70	open	—	05-21 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-21 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$6	60	0	+60	open	—	05-20 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$4	400	0	+400	open	—	04-26 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$4	400	0	+400	open	—	04-26 04:20
btc updown 5m 1777012200	1	$4	400	0	+400	open	—	04-24 06:34
btc updown 5m 1777005000	1	$4	400	0	+400	open	—	04-24 04:35
btc updown 5m 1777011900	1	$4	400	0	+400	open	—	04-24 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$4	400	0	+400	open	—	04-25 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$4	400	0	+400	open	—	04-26 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$4	400	0	+400	open	—	04-26 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$4	400	0	+400	open	—	04-26 04:40
btc updown 5m 1777007400	1	$4	400	0	+400	open	—	04-24 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 02:38
btc updown 5m 1777009800	1	$4	400	0	+400	open	—	04-24 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$4	400	0	+400	open	—	04-25 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$4	400	0	+400	open	—	04-25 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-29 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$4	400	0	+400	open	—	04-25 04:19
btc updown 5m 1777004700	5	$4	400	0	+400	open	—	04-24 04:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 12:09:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xb9486f…
06-03 12:08:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,510	0¢	$6	0xdc1b14…
06-03 11:37:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$20	0xa3684a…
06-03 09:51:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,400	0¢	$10	0xe8d248…
06-02 11:23:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$26	0x1b54a8…
05-30 11:35:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xb2066b…
05-29 14:51:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x973738…
05-29 09:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x722dd3…
05-29 09:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xd6f67f…
05-29 09:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x3df020…
05-29 09:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xcf9a4a…
05-29 09:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9ed574…
05-29 09:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb4f081…
05-29 08:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1b6625…
05-29 08:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x056285…
05-29 08:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x7cd728…
05-29 08:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xfad837…
05-29 08:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xa53183…
05-29 08:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x491310…
05-29 08:13:54	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0x331160…
05-29 08:13:36	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x6381d0…
05-23 03:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x28158f…
05-23 03:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9791f4…
05-23 03:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb60e72…
05-23 03:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8f0b43…
05-23 03:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3583a4…
05-23 03:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xcfda6c…
05-23 03:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x75b736…
05-23 02:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8bcd03…
05-23 02:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf75771…
05-23 01:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3650aa…
05-23 01:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x602ebf…
05-23 01:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x326686…
05-23 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0b709b…
05-23 00:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5a19b4…
05-23 00:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xade88a…
05-23 00:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xfb6f3b…
05-23 00:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x5caf4a…
05-22 23:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5cfbb2…
05-22 23:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdc9c05…
05-22 23:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4b6dcf…
05-22 22:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9e355a…
05-22 22:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x71593f…
05-22 22:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x68cfed…
05-22 22:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc7b369…
05-22 22:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xda87a1…
05-22 22:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xddf80b…
05-22 22:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcc1f07…
05-22 22:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xfc2191…
05-22 22:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x4e3a22…
05-22 22:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x15d028…
05-22 21:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xba9b2a…
05-22 21:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x162f68…
05-22 21:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0d78cf…
05-22 21:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x364eda…
05-22 21:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x978307…
05-22 20:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x383d6e…
05-22 20:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf340f2…
05-22 20:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x66673a…
05-22 20:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x690614…
05-22 19:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x081c37…
05-22 19:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6e3629…
05-22 19:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x655511…
05-22 19:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe37c02…
05-22 19:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x890c3e…
05-22 19:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x417ca0…
05-22 19:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf910aa…
05-22 19:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x95350f…
05-22 19:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xefe339…
05-22 18:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1e54f6…
05-22 18:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2365b1…
05-22 18:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa5505d…
05-22 17:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6db2d9…
05-22 17:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x86f8bd…
05-22 17:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4c88c7…
05-22 17:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2746a0…
05-22 17:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xddf42d…
05-22 17:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6492c8…
05-22 17:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x116175…
05-22 16:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd27be6…
05-22 16:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x649bbb…
05-22 16:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1b2219…
05-22 16:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdd16b3…
05-22 16:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x93226f…
05-22 16:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x91f903…
05-22 15:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5024fa…
05-22 15:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xaffe28…
05-22 15:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x69673a…
05-22 15:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7958d9…
05-22 14:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1824d9…
05-22 14:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8b0e8c…
05-22 14:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x689733…
05-22 14:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x463cf0…
05-22 14:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd6df67…
05-22 14:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x851b45…
05-22 14:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x565ddc…
05-22 14:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x971d55…
05-22 14:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc096d4…
05-22 13:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x7d6a2b…
05-22 13:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x4e5813…