Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$188

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

118

Trades

230

lifetime

Volume

$587

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-30 21:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

42% 29% -$131

Crypto

27% 49% -$8

Politics

27% 41% -$44

Sports

4% 20% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-30).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes		+100	$10	6¢	$6	-$4	07-09 22:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$56	157	0	+157	No	-$56	02-28 22:35
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	13	$46	410	304	+106	No	+$6	02-27 06:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$30	26	26	+0	Yes	+$8	02-28 16:01
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$30	820	7	+813	No	-$30	02-28 22:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$25	62	62	+0	open	—	07-30 21:31
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$25	500	0	+500	Yes	-$25	02-06 13:42
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	1	$15	41	0	+41	No	-$15	07-09 22:57
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$13	34	0	+34	No	-$13	07-09 23:04
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	03-14 16:45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$10	27	27	+0	No	-$10	04-24 05:27
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	07-09 22:58
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan	1	$10	16	0	+16	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	+$6	05-17 07:51
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	1	$10	44	0	+44	No	-$10	02-26 19:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:30 UTC	2	$10	25	0	+25	Up	+$2	02-13 13:31
will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	3	$10	97	0	+97	No	-$10	02-28 11:05
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 340 359	1	$9	69	0	+69	No	-$9	02-22 21:26
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	1	$9	494	0	+494	No	-$9	01-07 17:15
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	4	$9	18	18	+0	No	+$1	02-24 06:15
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$8	200	0	+200	No	-$8	03-16 17:36
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	2	$7	16	16	+0	No	+$1	07-11 22:26
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	2	$7	9	9	+0	No	+$1	02-24 19:05
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	02-25 21:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:55 UTC	3	$6	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	02-13 20:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 16:00 UTC	4	$6	11	4	+7	Up	-$2	02-14 16:04
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 380 399	1	$5	50	0	+50	No	-$5	02-22 21:27
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 360 379	1	$5	42	0	+42	No	-$5	02-22 21:27
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	03-03 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 18:55 UTC	4	$5	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	02-14 18:58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	02-28 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 14:25 UTC	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	02-18 14:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 21:31:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	62	24¢	$15	0x2d582a…
07-11 22:26:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0xb088d2…
07-09 23:04:38	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x018b92…
07-09 23:01:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x0903d2…
07-09 22:58:56	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa0c133…
07-09 22:57:11	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x76a7da…
07-09 22:47:07	Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x662789…
07-09 22:45:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xd0ea1b…
07-09 22:40:32	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0xb2ff39…
07-09 22:39:55	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x3acffa…
07-09 22:39:38	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xef1553…
07-09 22:39:10	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x049063…
05-22 21:14:04	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x6a8c44…
05-17 07:51:40	KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x14a572…
04-24 05:27:30	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x168fc2…
03-16 17:36:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x4c5d0b…
03-16 06:47:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x29a367…
03-14 16:45:17	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x886f3c…
03-09 19:39:41	khl avt lok 2026 03 11	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe07841…
03-08 14:17:53	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x211c36…
03-08 09:12:09	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x020d58…
03-08 05:21:25	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xcdfb78…
03-06 09:02:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa609e4…
03-04 12:18:15	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa837d0…
03-03 06:14:05	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x455bfa…
03-02 20:16:17	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x68946f…
02-28 22:38:43	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0x65c894…
02-28 22:35:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	96	42¢	$40	0x3ad9a9…
02-28 20:26:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xece1e4…
02-28 16:01:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	26	74¢	$19	0x569913…
02-28 15:55:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x1eb451…
02-28 15:33:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe41203…
02-28 11:10:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8fd90e…
02-28 11:05:33	will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x447ac9…
02-28 11:04:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xc5d1fa…
02-28 11:03:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x0c3467…
02-27 06:28:20	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xac61c5…
02-27 06:26:42	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x4d81da…
02-27 06:21:32	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xc8dd21…
02-27 06:19:18	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xd0d271…
02-26 22:41:36	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x56443a…
02-26 22:40:34	will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x056bbc…
02-26 19:45:40	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xcce998…
02-26 19:32:40	will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x3b145a…
02-26 05:45:58	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0241b6…
02-25 22:19:24	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	SELL	158	8¢	$13	0x59d6ed…
02-25 22:02:18	will russia enter stinky by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1f3906…
02-25 22:01:40	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0015d0…
02-25 21:59:32	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	SELL	146	9¢	$13	0x3e52a9…
02-25 21:54:10	will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x62a3bf…
02-25 21:46:54	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x13a36f…
02-25 11:47:32	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0xb26efb…
02-25 11:42:40	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xcaf2c8…
02-24 19:05:30	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	Yes	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x9ec4e0…
02-24 19:04:36	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x752c5b…
02-24 06:31:56	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	Yes	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xd5237c…
02-24 06:15:02	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	Yes	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x844959…
02-23 18:20:22	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xc84d18…
02-22 22:19:22	khl lok hcd 2026 02 24	HC Dynamo Moscow	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1c1c2a…
02-22 21:33:02	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x743b27…
02-22 21:30:58	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfff47d…
02-22 21:27:16	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x038cfa…
02-22 21:27:04	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 360 379	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xeb8d3d…
02-22 21:26:52	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 340 359	Yes	BUY	69	13¢	$9	0x03c297…
02-22 21:21:14	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x4714d5…
02-22 21:20:12	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0x27498f…
02-22 21:19:42	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 115 139	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x830420…
02-22 20:45:02	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb6b113…
02-22 20:44:52	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x46c874…
02-22 20:41:46	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	93	4¢	$4	0x213c67…
02-20 21:05:38	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xa25450…
02-20 21:05:18	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 400 419	Yes	SELL	22	11¢	$3	0xa8d4f4…
02-20 20:59:52	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xd015bd…
02-20 20:59:28	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xdba3ed…
02-19 20:52:34	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xbaea58…
02-19 20:47:24	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xb39bbe…
02-19 20:46:14	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x7c50c8…
02-19 19:10:24	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd78300…
02-19 19:10:14	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x04c5fc…
02-19 19:10:06	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9f164e…
02-19 19:09:58	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x779fa4…
02-19 16:08:36	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x46ac28…
02-19 16:05:08	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6903a4…
02-19 16:03:32	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x75074f…
02-19 16:03:14	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xeba1db…
02-18 21:14:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xdaac4f…
02-18 21:10:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xe4324c…
02-18 20:56:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa901b1…
02-18 20:55:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x438d1f…
02-18 20:50:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x428fd5…
02-18 20:42:28	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x35124d…
02-18 20:41:22	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6fbb41…
02-18 20:37:30	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb732aa…
02-18 19:04:48	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 160 179	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$0	0x7f4759…
02-18 19:03:54	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 420 439	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x50a4c7…
02-18 19:03:42	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 400 419	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x6e28fe…
02-18 19:00:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 18:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x88b2c2…
02-18 18:57:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0d1dbc…
02-18 18:56:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 18:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x226a03…
02-18 18:55:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x48017c…