Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$463

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$57.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$670

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 03-30 13:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

80% 95% -$673

Other

11% 100% +$185

Crypto

9% 100% +$26

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$6.1K	3,597	2,668	+929	Yes	+$195	03-25 16:13
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$3.7K	2,622	1,222	+1,400	Yes	+$79	01-31 17:36
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	3	$3.2K	1,598	1,598	-0	Yes	+$3	03-21 19:50
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	3	$3.1K	1,589	1,589	+0	No	+$46	03-19 00:46
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$3.0K	1,542	1,542	+0	Yes	+$82	03-16 23:12
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$2.9K	1,461	1,461	+0	Yes	+$51	03-13 01:18
will iran strike israel on march 3	2	$2.8K	1,408	1,408	+0	Yes	+$7	03-07 13:44
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	7	$2.8K	1,917	959	+959	Yes	+$69	03-29 14:41
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$2.6K	1,377	1,377	+0	Yes	+$160	01-31 17:35
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	4	$2.3K	1,163	1,163	+0	Yes	+$36	01-30 02:57
will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	2	$2.2K	1,102	1,102	+0	No	+$1	01-23 15:16
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	5	$1.9K	948	948	+0	Yes	+$18	03-28 06:15
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$1.8K	1,801	0	+1,801	Yes	+$11	03-24 20:09
will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	4	$1.8K	891	891	-0	No	+$17	03-28 15:32
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$1.4K	1,435	0	+1,435	Yes	+$6	03-19 00:47
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	6	$1.3K	1,596	0	+1,596	No	-$1,344	03-30 13:21
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	1	$1.1K	1,113	0	+1,113	No	+$3	01-28 02:36
Will the US strike Somalia next?	1	$1.1K	1,110	0	+1,110	Yes	+$3	01-27 22:03
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	1	$1.1K	1,107	0	+1,107	No	+$1	01-25 02:56
will trump say hell 2 times during newsnation interview	1	$1.1K	1,105	0	+1,105	Yes	+$5	01-23 15:16
will trump say friend of mine during wef address on january 21	1	$1.1K	1,096	0	+1,096	Yes	+$1	01-21 16:13
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	1	$1.1K	1,095	0	+1,095	No	+$2	01-21 01:16
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	Yes	+$9	01-16 01:26
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	3	$1.0K	1,066	0	+1,066	No	+$31	01-15 03:16
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$1.0K	1,032	0	+1,032	No	+$2	01-01 20:56
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	4	$947	962	0	+962	No	+$15	03-28 09:11
Seeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$874	875	0	+875	Yes	+$1	01-21 19:46
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	2	$581	582	0	+582	No	+$1	01-19 23:00
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?	1	$503	506	0	+506	Yes	+$3	01-11 19:31
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	2	$202	104	104	+0	Yes	+$5	01-29 22:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-30 13:21:44	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	133	82¢	$109	0x0b4f0b…
03-30 12:21:58	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x0a7257…
03-30 12:20:34	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x7b8798…
03-30 12:20:08	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	1,405	84¢	$1,186	0xc5922e…
03-30 12:19:52	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x663905…
03-30 12:19:46	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x223680…
03-29 14:41:52	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	959	100¢	$958	0x1b42bc…
03-29 04:34:48	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	959	100¢	$958	0x005652…
03-28 15:34:17	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	106	93¢	$98	0x1680a8…
03-28 15:33:53	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$14	0xfaf955…
03-28 15:32:57	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x3197ba…
03-28 15:32:31	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	150	93¢	$139	0x37861d…
03-28 15:32:19	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	664	93¢	$617	0x5286bb…
03-28 15:32:03	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	SELL	531	100¢	$530	0x602138…
03-28 15:31:17	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	SELL	360	100¢	$360	0x895b98…
03-28 09:11:15	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	382	99¢	$378	0x625f5a…
03-28 09:10:11	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	272	99¢	$270	0xa08fd2…
03-28 06:15:47	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	648	100¢	$647	0x15d75d…
03-28 04:31:43	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	170	97¢	$164	0x29af9e…
03-28 04:22:03	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	138	98¢	$136	0xf1e9dd…
03-28 04:21:47	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x3ef2f7…
03-26 05:28:47	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	441	98¢	$432	0x5e11b0…
03-26 05:28:45	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x30f2ba…
03-26 05:27:53	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	475	98¢	$465	0xfa4bc7…
03-25 16:28:43	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0xc31c06…
03-25 16:14:17	will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	No	BUY	873	98¢	$856	0x3e32f7…
03-25 16:13:57	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	874	100¢	$873	0xb25e63…
03-24 22:32:27	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,803	100¢	$1,801	0x785657…
03-24 20:09:03	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	786	99¢	$781	0x579c27…
03-24 20:09:01	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0x171c78…
03-24 20:08:59	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd36e23…
03-24 20:08:23	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,794	100¢	$1,791	0x6e2eee…
03-21 19:50:33	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,794	89¢	$1,597	0x764cd9…
03-21 19:50:19	will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	Yes	SELL	1,598	100¢	$1,596	0xcfe5cb…
03-20 07:05:53	will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	Yes	BUY	653	100¢	$652	0x87d2ed…
03-20 07:05:39	will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	Yes	BUY	944	100¢	$942	0x4cecb9…
03-19 00:47:11	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,435	100¢	$1,429	0x3825e9…
03-19 00:46:55	Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	159	99¢	$157	0x29971e…
03-19 00:46:07	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	1,589	100¢	$1,587	0x8810f5…
03-18 03:02:55	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1a2e8d…
03-16 23:12:29	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	1,588	97¢	$1,540	0xe3dd5e…
03-16 23:12:05	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	1,542	100¢	$1,541	0xb203ea…
03-13 01:20:13	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,542	95¢	$1,459	0x18e90a…
03-13 01:18:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1,461	100¢	$1,460	0xf2316a…
03-10 19:55:23	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5016f7…
03-07 13:44:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1,460	96¢	$1,407	0xdf8216…
03-07 13:44:17	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	1,408	100¢	$1,407	0x0a4186…
03-04 19:40:07	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,408	99¢	$1,400	0x1e7c9a…
01-31 17:36:02	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,400	98¢	$1,372	0xe57c25…
01-31 17:35:44	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1,377	100¢	$1,372	0x9c65b2…
01-30 19:03:32	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	1,377	88¢	$1,212	0x70b7d4…
01-30 19:03:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,222	99¢	$1,212	0xd1ef40…
01-30 02:57:50	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,222	95¢	$1,161	0x325d76…
01-30 02:57:38	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	Yes	SELL	1,163	100¢	$1,162	0xdb9e32…
01-30 02:14:58	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xbe32ea…
01-29 22:30:28	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x617b6b…
01-29 22:30:16	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$103	0x81db91…
01-28 23:37:52	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	BUY	104	95¢	$98	0x9cf443…
01-28 23:19:54	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	Yes	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x2f17e2…
01-28 23:19:20	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	Yes	BUY	1,029	97¢	$993	0x18168a…
01-28 02:36:45	us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	No	BUY	1,113	100¢	$1,110	0x864d94…
01-27 22:03:01	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	1,110	100¢	$1,107	0x265428…
01-25 02:56:44	us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	No	BUY	1,107	100¢	$1,106	0x477d0c…
01-23 15:16:26	will trump say hell 2 times during newsnation interview	Yes	BUY	1,105	100¢	$1,101	0xd2d5f2…
01-23 15:16:06	will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	No	SELL	1,102	100¢	$1,101	0xde2cde…
01-22 01:18:20	will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	No	BUY	1,102	100¢	$1,100	0xbf29a9…
01-21 19:46:06	Seeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	875	100¢	$874	0xb4d6e4…
01-21 19:45:52	Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xfd04f0…
01-21 19:45:42	Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x9ca04c…
01-21 16:13:26	will trump say friend of mine during wef address on january 21	Yes	BUY	1,096	100¢	$1,095	0xa4efb6…
01-21 01:16:52	will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	No	BUY	1,095	100¢	$1,093	0x2b9c35…
01-19 23:00:38	will melania say career during ai talk on friday	No	BUY	561	100¢	$560	0x38de3c…
01-18 17:43:32	Will Trove launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	187	99¢	$185	0xa139bc…
01-18 17:42:48	Will Trove launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc8c432…
01-18 17:42:30	Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	162	97¢	$157	0x0e50c7…
01-18 17:42:18	Will Trove launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	98¢	$194	0x3c1904…
01-18 15:27:40	will melania say career during ai talk on friday	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xba8169…
01-17 02:04:04	israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x78afce…
01-16 01:26:50	Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	BUY	1,075	99¢	$1,066	0xd2eae1…
01-15 03:16:14	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x3378d6…
01-15 03:15:50	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	BUY	400	97¢	$388	0xf39345…
01-15 03:15:44	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	BUY	634	97¢	$615	0xbe89ef…
01-11 19:31:38	Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	506	99¢	$503	0x0acb0f…
01-11 19:31:04	Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0xc16726…
01-01 20:56:29	us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	No	BUY	1,032	100¢	$1,030	0x3c416b…