Complicated-Constitution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

145

Trades

550

lifetime

Volume

$5.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 05-30 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 81% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	4	$145	79	79	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$136	84	84	+0	Down	+$16	05-07 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	4	$86	49	49	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$83	43	43	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$70	71	71	+0	Down	$-44	05-07 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$61	32	32	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 18:56
eth updown 5m 1772832900	3	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	03-06 21:40
btc updown 5m 1776375300	1	$59	73	0	+73	open	—	04-16 21:38
btc updown 5m 1776374700	1	$53	60	0	+60	open	—	04-16 21:27
btc updown 5m 1776373800	1	$52	53	0	+53	open	—	04-16 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$50	54	0	+54	Down	+$4	05-07 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$50	54	0	+54	Down	+$4	05-07 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Up	+$3	05-07 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$50	57	0	+57	Down	+$7	05-07 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$50	57	0	+57	Down	+$7	05-07 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$50	56	0	+56	Up	+$6	05-07 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$50	58	0	+58	Up	$-50	05-06 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	05-07 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$50	54	0	+54	Up	+$4	05-07 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$49	33	33	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 20:08
btc updown 5m 1776373200	1	$46	52	0	+52	open	—	04-16 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$44	24	24	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 08:44
eth updown 5m 1772833200	3	$42	23	22	+0	open	—	03-06 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$41	22	22	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 09:04
btc updown 5m 1776372600	1	$40	47	0	+47	open	—	04-16 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$40	21	21	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$40	42	0	+42	Down	+$2	05-07 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$40	47	0	+47	Down	+$7	05-07 15:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 21:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x8153d9…
05-30 21:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfdd416…
05-30 21:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x095983…
05-30 21:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x23eba4…
05-30 20:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x804a41…
05-30 20:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x163bd8…
05-30 20:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2959a6…
05-30 20:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x229c25…
05-30 20:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xca3a0d…
05-30 19:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x44eead…
05-30 19:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xa45120…
05-30 19:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7a247d…
05-30 19:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x66e931…
05-30 19:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc23252…
05-30 19:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7e4a06…
05-30 19:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf110b7…
05-30 19:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfe2890…
05-30 19:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbce097…
05-30 19:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7d2678…
05-30 18:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2018b4…
05-30 18:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfa6d23…
05-30 17:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x94302e…
05-30 17:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x11653e…
05-28 21:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xce3fa5…
05-28 21:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x7b9860…
05-28 21:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x397210…
05-28 21:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5e52b8…
05-28 21:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x5f38c6…
05-28 21:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x8b6564…
05-28 21:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x17e38c…
05-28 21:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd61936…
05-28 16:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x4ceeff…
05-28 16:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xe5ef31…
05-28 16:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xf5d652…
05-28 16:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x052a3f…
05-28 16:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xbe05c0…
05-28 15:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x582850…
05-28 15:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xcdc1b9…
05-28 15:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xe93ad0…
05-28 15:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9e0352…
05-28 15:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x2fcaab…
05-28 15:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1e380a…
05-28 15:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd5af46…
05-28 14:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xee7c10…
05-28 14:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa4ea1d…
05-28 14:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xc07f3a…
05-28 14:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xcadace…
05-28 14:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x4c148a…
05-28 14:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x0de887…
05-28 14:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0xdce4d9…
05-28 14:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x4da49f…
05-28 14:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb8b2b0…
05-28 14:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6f85c2…
05-28 14:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x9f6d9b…
05-28 14:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4360c2…
05-28 14:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf3b1db…
05-28 14:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x7d28cd…
05-28 14:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x870143…
05-28 14:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x092bcd…
05-28 14:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x606c89…
05-28 13:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9a7d33…
05-28 13:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x79cee3…
05-28 13:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc93542…
05-28 13:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x6fabc9…
05-28 13:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x4d0eac…
05-28 13:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x866b94…
05-28 13:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc0bbec…
05-28 13:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1fb07c…
05-28 13:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x28305a…
05-28 13:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xefc531…
05-28 13:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdac9c8…
05-28 13:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd9c276…
05-28 13:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5dc12d…
05-28 13:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x95a517…
05-28 12:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x97b7c3…
05-28 12:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x04903a…
05-28 12:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4d9f68…
05-28 12:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9cf8d3…
05-28 11:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x7f9154…
05-28 11:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xb560c4…
05-28 11:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x02f8c0…
05-28 11:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x920e32…
05-28 11:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x6b59e9…
05-28 11:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x07fadf…
05-27 14:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x424434…
05-26 00:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf4db0d…
05-26 00:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xed71d3…
05-25 22:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe3b01c…
05-15 23:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x0441bc…
05-15 23:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd390e8…
05-15 23:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3d8a7a…
05-15 23:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0xa06db8…
05-15 23:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xfbb9f6…
05-15 22:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x29794c…
05-15 22:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4b4343…
05-15 22:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x22f2b0…
05-15 22:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x628207…
05-15 22:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb5e020…
05-15 22:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x69924c…
05-15 22:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x2abd69…