Complicated-Constitution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$250

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$49

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-07 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down		+57	$50	84¢	$49	$-1	05-07 13:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$50	54	+54	open	—	05-07 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$50	57	+57	open	—	05-07 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-07 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$40	42	+42	open	—	05-07 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$10	17	+17	Up	$-10	05-06 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$10	14	+14	Down	+$4	05-06 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$10	14	+14	Up	+$4	05-06 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-06 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$10	13	+13	Down	+$3	05-05 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$10	13	+13	Up	+$3	05-06 07:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 13:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x4ec117…
05-07 11:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x02de61…
05-07 09:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x4cfa2f…
05-07 08:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xeabcd4…
05-06 07:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xac2485…
05-06 07:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xe12a57…
05-06 07:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xaf7073…
05-06 06:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1314cc…
05-06 06:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x4617dc…
05-05 22:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x51e297…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	10	$12.1K	88	05-07 13:04
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	10	$2.53K	108	05-07 13:01
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	10	$1.07K	87	05-07 13:04
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	10	$639	50	05-07 13:04
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	9	$2.01K	34	05-07 13:04
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	9	$660	63	05-07 13:04
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	7	$719	13	05-07 13:04
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	7	$688	12	05-07 13:01