High-Philosophy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

Trades

278

lifetime

Volume

$344

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 05-12 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

61% — —

Crypto

19% 78% $-4

Politics

10% 0% $-1

Sports

7% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$16	33	33	+0	open	—	05-10 20:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$11	14	14	+0	Yes	$-1	03-16 05:04
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 140 164	2	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	02-11 11:55
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 215 239	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-11 17:01
lol tt lng 2026 02 11	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-09 17:45
highest temperature in seoul on february 18 2026 1c	5	$10	80	0	+80	open	—	02-17 08:20
highest temperature in wellington on february 18 2026 16c	3	$6	141	0	+141	open	—	02-17 08:26
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 56 57f	27	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-23 01:37
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 190 214	2	$5	13	13	+0	open	—	02-11 12:55
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 190 214	1	$5	63	0	+63	open	—	02-11 08:02
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	12	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	02-28 07:07
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	3	$5	24	24	+0	open	—	03-16 05:04
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-03 18:02
lol blg g2 2026 03 18	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 15:07
highest temperature in paris on march 23 2026 17c	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-23 15:43
highest temperature in paris on march 23 2026 16c	2	$4	3	2	+0	open	—	03-23 15:43
lol fox1 tsw 2026 03 18 game2	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 17:01
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 18:15
highest temperature in singapore on march 23 2026 33c	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 12:39
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	2	$4	16	0	+16	open	—	02-20 17:15
will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	2	$4	67	0	+67	open	—	02-14 13:35
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 22 2026 31c	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-22 21:47
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	7	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-18 17:52
highest temperature in munich on march 21 2026 15corhigher	23	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 20:29
highest temperature in singapore on march 21 2026 33c	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 10:49
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 22 2026 26c	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-22 21:58
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-06 18:00
highest temperature in madrid on march 28 2026 17c	5	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	03-28 11:27
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 460 479	2	$3	17	17	+0	open	—	02-11 17:02
highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 10c	4	$3	11	4	+7	open	—	03-25 13:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 04:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x0317fb…
05-12 04:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x2fc4fc…
05-12 04:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x07a37f…
05-12 04:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x57ae7f…
05-12 04:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1b134c…
05-12 04:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xecbdfa…
05-12 04:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3efbbb…
05-12 03:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x51058b…
05-12 03:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf4f934…
05-12 03:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0xa43347…
05-12 03:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1a7eba…
05-12 03:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7dd64f…
05-12 02:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1e925f…
05-12 02:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9af4ed…
05-12 02:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x242758…
05-12 02:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xac3118…
05-12 01:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4cb435…
05-12 01:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc654e0…
05-12 01:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc81f21…
05-12 01:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb1bbe5…
05-12 00:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x691586…
05-12 00:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x27dd8b…
05-12 00:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x879b1c…
05-12 00:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x51ec4e…
05-12 00:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa268dd…
05-12 00:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbe4053…
05-12 00:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x65490e…
05-12 00:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x8cbfff…
05-12 00:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x58eb76…
05-12 00:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x386453…
05-11 23:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0d3158…
05-11 23:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x9fc9eb…
05-11 23:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xec6610…
05-11 23:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x705753…
05-11 23:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc31ff7…
05-11 22:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf1bedc…
05-11 22:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfafadf…
05-11 22:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb35bc5…
05-11 22:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd3397c…
05-11 22:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9935e4…
05-11 22:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x16463f…
05-11 21:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x43913f…
05-11 21:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb462ad…
05-11 21:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2c3687…
05-11 21:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa19544…
05-11 20:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x478b82…
05-11 20:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfb1738…
05-11 20:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x494f74…
05-11 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfba6ed…
05-11 20:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1cace1…
05-11 20:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x698153…
05-11 20:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6456a2…
05-11 19:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6730e6…
05-11 19:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x63e851…
05-11 18:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb965b1…
05-11 18:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa7a023…
05-11 18:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8b18f0…
05-11 18:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbe63bb…
05-11 18:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x427f5a…
05-11 17:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3d7294…
05-11 17:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x913c4c…
05-11 17:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1c2c36…
05-11 17:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x2e040c…
05-11 17:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5dbddd…
05-11 17:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4400dc…
05-11 17:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4adf4e…
05-11 17:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7c40b5…
05-11 16:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x22d376…
05-11 16:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6f1b56…
05-11 16:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4b9276…
05-10 20:12:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	19¢	$6	0x984acc…
05-07 21:24:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xb4e07b…
03-31 08:50:07	will richard grenell visit venezuela by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xeac01c…
03-31 05:28:25	cs2 pssnua faze 2026 03 31 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xcb55fa…
03-31 01:06:53	nba phi mia 2026 03 30	Heat	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2584de…
03-31 01:05:47	nba chi sas 2026 03 30	Spurs	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7c08e5…
03-30 09:27:04	highest temperature in chicago on march 30 2026 76forhigher	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x5abad3…
03-30 02:51:24	nba gsw den 2026 03 29	Nuggets	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xb9032b…
03-30 01:37:52	nba nyk okc 2026 03 29	Knicks	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0xff80ab…
03-30 01:35:32	nhl dal phi 2026 03 29	Stars	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x386a17…
03-29 06:37:48	cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	Tennessee Volunteers	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x21adbb…
03-28 21:26:36	nhl dal pit 2026 03 28	Penguins	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xffa2ef…
03-28 20:59:18	nba det min 2026 03 28	Timberwolves	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x59e1be…
03-28 17:53:01	highest temperature in atlanta on march 28 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd1eba4…
03-28 14:16:05	cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xd23054…
03-28 11:27:01	highest temperature in madrid on march 28 2026 17c	No	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x1bb6b9…
03-28 11:21:49	highest temperature in madrid on march 28 2026 17c	No	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x4eac1b…
03-28 11:21:01	highest temperature in madrid on march 28 2026 17c	No	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x10ca0a…
03-28 11:19:53	highest temperature in madrid on march 28 2026 17c	No	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x19183b…
03-28 10:37:03	highest temperature in madrid on march 28 2026 17c	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x682538…
03-28 08:26:59	cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x924831…
03-28 08:13:17	highest temperature in seoul on march 28 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd6138a…
03-28 07:20:17	cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	Iowa Hawkeyes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x2df8cc…
03-27 04:37:45	cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	Tennessee Volunteers	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xf3a9a9…
03-27 04:36:27	cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x4baf21…
03-27 03:40:17	cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	St. John's Red Storm	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd9bd91…
03-26 09:51:47	highest temperature in london on march 26 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7c2d74…
03-26 02:35:37	nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25	Warriors	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xb59246…
03-26 02:31:31	cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	Houston Cougars	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0xc9d5a3…
03-26 02:27:53	cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	Purdue Boilermakers	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x1ef2ed…