Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
74
lifetime
Volume
$168
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$12
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-11 18:31
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
79%
Other
18%
Tech
2%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +5 $3 53¢ $3 $-0 06-06 00:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +6 $3 46¢ $3 $-0 05-31 11:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +16 $4 10¢ $2 $-2 06-06 00:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +15 $2 10¢ $1 $-1 06-02 14:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +9 $5 15¢ $1 $-4 06-04 15:11
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +8 $2 16¢ $1 $-1 06-06 00:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-09 12:24