Empty-Heartthrob 0x33420a…0a731f
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
105
lifetime
Volume
$265
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$20
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-08 23:10
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
69% — —
Other
28% — —
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +16 $4 38¢ $6 +$2 06-06 00:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +6 $3 96¢ $5 +$2 05-31 11:35
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 06-06 00:37
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +19 $4 16¢ $3 $-1 07-08 23:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +15 $2 8¢ $1 $-1 06-02 14:09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +4 $1 14¢ $0 $-1 06-09 12:24