Insignificant-Rap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-22 21:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

50% 0% $-0

Other

50% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$275	176	176	+0	open	—	05-22 21:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	3	$251	155	155	+0	open	—	04-27 16:38
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$210	323	0	+323	open	—	05-17 20:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$182	180	180	+0	open	—	04-08 16:07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	3	$175	111	111	+0	open	—	04-30 22:56
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$149	338	338	+0	open	—	04-15 08:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$148	302	302	+0	open	—	04-16 07:10
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	2	$59	63	63	+0	Yes	$-0	04-04 10:41
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$57	62	0	+62	Yes	+$4	04-17 10:25
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	1	$41	48	0	+48	open	—	04-06 21:37
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$31	42	42	+0	open	—	04-16 05:49
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	1	$15	256	0	+256	open	—	04-15 08:58
will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	4	$8	1,931	0	+1,931	open	—	04-23 20:45
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$4	29	0	+29	open	—	03-25 00:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 21:34:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	176	99¢	$175	0xed0499…
05-17 20:13:14	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x12511f…
05-11 23:15:20	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	306	65¢	$200	0xb813c2…
05-07 07:34:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xa1d473…
04-30 22:56:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xac630f…
04-27 16:38:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	155	99¢	$153	0x5de4fc…
04-24 06:48:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	86¢	$36	0x5da137…
04-23 20:45:48	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x407d34…
04-17 10:25:02	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	93¢	$57	0x8c664b…
04-16 07:10:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	45	76¢	$35	0xfb5772…
04-16 05:56:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	27	68¢	$19	0x345a48…
04-16 05:49:34	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	42	44¢	$19	0x7ddb6b…
04-15 16:05:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	45	75¢	$34	0xc0c438…
04-15 08:58:14	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	256	6¢	$15	0x65af77…
04-15 08:57:40	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	645	1¢	$5	0x9c0cf3…
04-15 08:56:54	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	338	16¢	$54	0xb813d0…
04-15 01:56:42	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	127	63¢	$80	0xf480c8…
04-15 00:31:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	42¢	$29	0xe9f369…
04-15 00:15:22	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x7262ed…
04-15 00:15:06	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xf11863…
04-12 05:49:43	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	42	29¢	$12	0x8e84d6…
04-11 20:58:13	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	165	28¢	$47	0xe835ba…
04-11 20:48:07	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	173	28¢	$48	0x37cee1…
04-08 16:07:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	180	64¢	$115	0x5860c4…
04-06 21:37:03	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	85¢	$41	0x84ed7d…
04-06 21:36:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	257	16¢	$41	0x2fcc83…
04-06 20:42:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	180	37¢	$67	0xe808c5…
04-05 19:38:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	257	15¢	$38	0x6279a6…
04-04 10:41:43	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	63	47¢	$29	0x9e6e02…
04-04 09:58:51	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	63	47¢	$29	0xddd14d…
03-25 00:59:19	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x060b1f…