Untrue-Kill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

345

lifetime

Volume

$8.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-05 16:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

49% 0% $-1

Other

28% — —

Politics

16% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	13	$439	228	228	-0	open	—	02-28 04:17
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	10	$421	215	215	+0	open	—	03-02 20:58
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	16	$412	212	212	+0	No	$-0	03-02 19:27
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	22	$392	206	206	+0	open	—	03-01 14:36
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	19	$305	159	159	+0	open	—	02-28 10:51
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$300	159	159	+0	open	—	03-01 10:13
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	8	$244	127	127	+0	open	—	03-01 06:50
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$226	118	118	-0	open	—	03-02 09:14
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	6	$223	115	115	+0	open	—	03-02 16:33
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	6	$218	112	112	+0	open	—	03-02 16:36
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$200	106	106	+0	open	—	03-02 16:43
will the us next strike iran on february 21 2026 et	4	$174	91	91	+0	open	—	02-19 22:23
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	4	$166	85	85	+0	open	—	03-01 14:34
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	4	$166	85	85	+0	open	—	02-27 19:23
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$166	86	86	+0	open	—	03-01 14:37
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$151	78	78	+0	No	$-0	02-28 04:16
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	4	$151	78	78	+0	open	—	03-02 16:39
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$143	75	75	+0	open	—	03-02 22:29
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$140	72	72	+0	open	—	02-18 19:35
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	4	$139	72	72	+0	open	—	03-01 06:40
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$137	70	70	+0	open	—	02-18 19:33
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	8	$134	71	71	+0	open	—	03-02 13:23
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$109	56	56	+0	open	—	01-25 13:57
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$107	56	56	+0	open	—	02-28 17:34
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	5	$105	57	57	+0	open	—	02-15 00:22
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	4	$105	57	57	+0	open	—	02-07 04:02
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$104	55	55	+0	open	—	01-27 06:06
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	4	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	02-13 01:58
will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	3	$101	53	53	+0	open	—	01-20 15:21
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$101	52	52	+0	No	$-0	01-15 10:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 16:34:29	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x552fdf…
07-05 10:33:25	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xec4b9a…
03-02 22:33:05	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0x46365c…
03-02 22:32:41	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x574b9c…
03-02 22:29:45	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	32	92¢	$30	0xa8ba81…
03-02 22:29:13	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x3ccb1a…
03-02 22:28:35	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x8dae65…
03-02 22:28:09	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xf02159…
03-02 20:58:05	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x48bcb5…
03-02 20:57:43	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x4a3ade…
03-02 19:29:59	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x4b8c2d…
03-02 19:29:23	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xa328ed…
03-02 19:28:47	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x625c2e…
03-02 19:28:13	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x1cbca8…
03-02 19:27:47	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x1ba0ab…
03-02 19:26:51	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x28a130…
03-02 17:58:59	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x3966a0…
03-02 17:58:35	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x5c06e9…
03-02 16:43:19	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0xdd7fb6…
03-02 16:42:47	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xd18bc8…
03-02 16:39:49	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x688091…
03-02 16:39:21	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x5b98c8…
03-02 16:36:49	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x11b9a9…
03-02 16:36:19	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xa0653b…
03-02 16:33:37	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x2aae9a…
03-02 16:33:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xba655c…
03-02 15:11:23	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	41	97¢	$39	0x95c603…
03-02 15:10:57	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	41	97¢	$39	0x9fbd85…
03-02 15:10:29	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0x8b3a5c…
03-02 15:09:53	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x85383e…
03-02 15:03:15	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0xcf2b1d…
03-02 15:02:47	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	33	97¢	$33	0xc165c1…
03-02 13:31:09	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x62731c…
03-02 13:30:39	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x93b753…
03-02 13:23:55	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x35e3d5…
03-02 13:23:23	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xa80cbe…
03-02 12:19:05	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x2c94ea…
03-02 12:18:29	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xfdb043…
03-02 12:15:31	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0x8698ad…
03-02 12:15:03	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x3c00ed…
03-02 09:20:17	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x56a6d5…
03-02 09:19:49	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x0a71a5…
03-02 09:19:23	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xc7d53b…
03-02 09:18:57	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xba6dd8…
03-02 09:18:19	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x030aad…
03-02 09:17:49	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x3abcf0…
03-02 09:16:27	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xa1bb28…
03-02 09:14:51	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$31	0x503422…
03-02 09:14:17	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x01aaf1…
03-02 01:05:13	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x6968ef…
03-02 01:04:23	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa85f71…
03-02 01:02:03	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x62ec5a…
03-02 01:01:03	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xd9702e…
03-02 00:56:41	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$31	0x175b4a…
03-02 00:54:21	will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xd5b89f…
03-02 00:53:53	will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xc6d80a…
03-01 14:37:29	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$42	0x6328e3…
03-01 14:37:03	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x2f3564…
03-01 14:36:21	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x4d3f99…
03-01 14:36:17	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x0f0f76…
03-01 14:35:53	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0xa3f64c…
03-01 14:34:43	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0xf02ae6…
03-01 14:34:15	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xf6ec6a…
03-01 14:24:49	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x8c615d…
03-01 14:24:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xed2fc2…
03-01 10:13:15	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	41	94¢	$39	0x5f14f8…
03-01 10:12:39	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0x1a9e1e…
03-01 06:50:03	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0xc6a458…
03-01 06:49:37	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x193dcb…
03-01 06:41:47	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0xd5e809…
03-01 06:41:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0xd3e175…
03-01 06:40:07	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x340f35…
03-01 06:39:35	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x1f66b7…
03-01 06:38:11	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2cacba…
03-01 06:37:55	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xd5dd9a…
02-28 17:36:57	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa10e71…
02-28 17:34:05	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x0fdd61…
02-28 17:32:59	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0xb60a82…
02-28 10:51:01	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xb208db…
02-28 10:49:59	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x97e6a4…
02-28 10:46:39	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xb4d0b6…
02-28 04:17:29	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x81a1a8…
02-28 04:16:57	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x64d351…
02-28 04:16:17	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0xa7851a…
02-28 04:15:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x6780c5…
02-28 04:14:27	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x15a346…
02-28 04:13:51	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x86d846…
02-28 01:34:29	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x8c972b…
02-28 01:34:03	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x18c9c0…
02-28 01:33:15	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x211a6f…
02-28 01:32:41	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xd31c23…
02-28 01:30:29	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	47	91¢	$43	0x7c6f89…
02-28 01:29:59	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	47	92¢	$43	0xc5e9cf…
02-27 19:29:07	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x3f3a71…
02-27 19:28:37	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0xddbdfa…
02-27 19:27:59	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x3e2aa6…
02-27 19:27:33	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x6cd560…
02-27 19:24:37	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xc8ee8d…
02-27 19:24:11	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xfeb97d…
02-27 19:23:25	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	43	97¢	$41	0xb711af…