Moist-Outlay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$278

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$156

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 07-03 19:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Sports

88% 0% $-287

Other

8% — —

Crypto

4% 100% +$9

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	4	$6.4K	5,273	5,273	+0	open	—	06-11 03:35
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$2.2K	5,116	0	+5,116	open	—	05-30 20:11
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$1.7K	1,422	1,389	+33	open	—	04-25 03:04
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$1.0K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	06-09 00:53
nba hou lal 2026 04 18	3	$986	736	722	+14	open	—	04-19 04:30
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	3	$670	977	977	+0	open	—	07-03 19:56
nba hou lal 2026 04 21	1	$500	1,353	0	+1,353	open	—	04-19 19:59
Celtics vs. 76ers	1	$300	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	04-26 19:22
epl eve liv 2026 04 19 draw	4	$234	304	297	+7	open	—	04-19 14:37
btc updown 5m 1780654500	2	$202	105	105	+0	open	—	06-05 10:18
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	2	$200	51,943	0	+51,943	open	—	06-15 09:14
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	1	$185	667	0	+667	open	—	07-10 20:27
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	1	$100	196	0	+196	Thunder	$-100	05-05 21:13
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$100	417	0	+417	Thunder	$-100	05-09 20:12
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$87	577	0	+577	Thunder	$-87	05-05 20:32
nba phx okc 2026 04 19	1	$64	711	0	+711	open	—	04-19 19:45
btc updown 5m 1781601600	4	$47	41	41	+0	open	—	06-16 09:21
btc updown 5m 1775355600	1	$40	87	0	+87	open	—	04-05 02:21
btc updown 5m 1775364900	1	$40	117	0	+117	open	—	04-05 04:59
Hawks vs. Knicks	1	$40	444	0	+444	open	—	04-29 01:40
btc updown 5m 1781613600	3	$30	42	11	+31	open	—	06-16 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$22	18	18	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$22	32	32	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$21	19	19	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 16:32
btc updown 5m 1781686200	2	$20	23	23	+0	open	—	06-17 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 16:29
btc updown 5m 1781601300	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-16 09:18
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-15 08:49
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 mad	1	$10	91	0	+91	open	—	04-04 19:58
btc updown 5m 1781685900	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-17 08:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 20:27:02	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	667	28¢	$185	0xcf92b8…
07-03 19:56:07	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	SELL	977	43¢	$420	0xa5070d…
07-03 19:37:49	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xfac6c0…
07-03 19:15:44	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	750	20¢	$150	0x73a203…
06-19 05:58:07	btc updown 5m 1781848500	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xfca8e2…
06-19 05:57:32	btc updown 5m 1781848500	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x976f49…
06-19 05:56:35	btc updown 5m 1781848500	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x803cd0…
06-19 05:56:04	btc updown 5m 1781848500	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x42ae15…
06-17 08:52:32	btc updown 5m 1781686200	Down	SELL	23	46¢	$10	0xb9cb89…
06-17 08:50:28	btc updown 5m 1781686200	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xaaf2b3…
06-17 08:47:59	btc updown 5m 1781685900	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa2ab31…
06-17 07:04:23	btc updown 5m 1781679600	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0d0b3d…
06-17 07:03:32	btc updown 5m 1781679600	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x705b0c…
06-17 07:02:01	btc updown 5m 1781679600	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x028a39…
06-17 07:01:47	btc updown 5m 1781679600	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x75bca9…
06-16 12:41:04	btc updown 5m 1781613600	Down	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xa90e47…
06-16 12:40:51	btc updown 5m 1781613600	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x22dd14…
06-16 12:40:25	btc updown 5m 1781613600	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x3b0fda…
06-16 09:21:21	btc updown 5m 1781601600	Up	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0x64bd14…
06-16 09:21:12	btc updown 5m 1781601600	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x6c087d…
06-16 09:20:48	btc updown 5m 1781601600	Down	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x9e6ac2…
06-16 09:20:37	btc updown 5m 1781601600	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xa4051f…
06-16 09:18:55	btc updown 5m 1781601300	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x76a8c9…
06-16 09:18:16	btc updown 5m 1781601300	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa2c56b…
06-15 09:14:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$100	0x06c013…
06-15 09:09:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	BUY	26,943	0¢	$100	0xff52b9…
06-12 16:24:06	btc updown 5m 1781281200	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x72279a…
06-12 16:22:51	btc updown 5m 1781281200	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xb0a26e…
06-12 16:22:39	btc updown 5m 1781281200	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe01cb7…
06-12 16:22:15	btc updown 5m 1781281200	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc8ed85…
06-12 09:27:00	btc updown 5m 1781256300	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x691c46…
06-12 09:26:49	btc updown 5m 1781256300	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd9f69c…
06-11 03:35:34	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	SELL	3,844	99¢	$3,806	0x4942c5…
06-11 03:24:00	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	3,844	52¢	$2,000	0x208616…
06-11 03:20:52	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	SELL	1,429	33¢	$471	0xdeb2ed…
06-11 02:20:40	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0x8b343d…
06-09 00:53:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	2,500	40¢	$1,000	0x486199…
06-08 09:53:34	btc updown 5m 1780912200	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x51784b…
06-08 09:53:25	btc updown 5m 1780912200	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x142924…
06-06 15:36:34	btc updown 5m 1780760100	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x316b13…
06-06 15:36:21	btc updown 5m 1780760100	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3262e1…
06-05 10:18:12	btc updown 5m 1780654500	Down	SELL	105	97¢	$102	0x82bf54…
06-05 10:17:16	btc updown 5m 1780654500	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xf15939…
06-04 14:57:55	btc updown 5m 1780584900	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xce95a0…
06-04 14:57:45	btc updown 5m 1780584900	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x908abe…
05-30 20:11:23	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	5,116	43¢	$2,200	0xaec496…
05-15 15:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xc1097a…
05-15 15:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x347e28…
05-15 15:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x778fea…
05-15 15:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x37c6bd…
05-15 14:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x25216b…
05-15 14:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x66d268…
05-15 14:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd6b71b…
05-15 08:49:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x178ed1…
05-15 08:48:09	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x5632e1…
05-14 16:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6c3d19…
05-14 16:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x399752…
05-14 15:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xecd085…
05-14 15:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x985abc…
05-12 15:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x66cc26…
05-12 15:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4d5c2d…
05-12 09:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x691d9b…
05-12 09:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x51fb29…
05-09 20:12:48	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xe1baf0…
05-09 14:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xab5049…
05-09 14:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x5bd8ea…
05-08 16:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x224297…
05-08 16:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x476bcd…
05-08 15:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x776793…
05-08 15:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x687f33…
05-07 16:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	61¢	$11	0x587b21…
05-07 16:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x534aa5…
05-07 16:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x42c1a5…
05-07 16:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb07a2b…
05-07 15:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	32	38¢	$12	0xdc2039…
05-07 15:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xb9f71d…
05-06 16:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	18	68¢	$12	0x418149…
05-06 16:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xdcc6e9…
05-05 21:13:36	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Lakers	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x190a72…
05-05 20:32:20	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	577	15¢	$87	0x263ef4…
04-29 01:40:52	Hawks vs. Knicks	Hawks	BUY	444	9¢	$40	0xe18eff…
04-26 19:22:30	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	1,111	27¢	$300	0x8bee46…
04-25 03:04:28	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	1,389	100¢	$1,388	0xc671a5…
04-22 17:54:54	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	1,422	23¢	$327	0xca223c…
04-19 19:59:38	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	BUY	1,353	37¢	$500	0x38b126…
04-19 19:45:54	nba phx okc 2026 04 19	Suns	BUY	711	9¢	$64	0x2e2106…
04-19 14:37:46	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	SELL	284	55¢	$156	0xebfefc…
04-19 14:37:16	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x6afe4b…
04-19 14:37:08	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x9142fe…
04-19 14:08:16	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	BUY	304	23¢	$70	0x04274a…
04-19 04:30:38	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Lakers	SELL	722	100¢	$721	0x30db24…
04-18 18:28:32	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Lakers	BUY	461	36¢	$166	0x84d68c…
04-18 18:18:46	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Lakers	BUY	275	36¢	$99	0x5425e8…
04-05 04:59:01	btc updown 5m 1775364900	Down	BUY	117	34¢	$40	0xc858ce…
04-05 02:21:03	btc updown 5m 1775355600	Up	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x020f2a…
04-04 19:58:55	lal mad bar 2026 04 04 mad	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x509417…
04-04 19:58:33	nba was mia 2026 04 04	Wizards	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0xe05e4a…
03-21 08:06:49	btc updown 5m 1774080300	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x7da138…