Electric-Lion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$35.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$472

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-04 17:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 100% +$3

Politics

29% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$1.8K	1,880	0	+1,880	open	—	06-04 17:25
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	1	$1.7K	1,760	0	+1,760	open	—	05-29 23:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	1	$1.7K	1,722	0	+1,722	open	—	05-29 13:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	2	$1.7K	1,716	0	+1,716	open	—	05-25 03:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	1	$1.7K	1,710	0	+1,710	open	—	05-23 22:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$1.7K	1,709	0	+1,709	open	—	05-27 00:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.7K	1,744	0	+1,744	open	—	05-30 20:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$1.6K	1,682	0	+1,682	open	—	05-22 22:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	1	$1.6K	1,638	0	+1,638	open	—	05-16 14:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 7?	3	$1.6K	1,631	0	+1,631	Yes	+$2	05-06 03:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 5?	1	$1.6K	1,625	0	+1,625	Yes	+$2	05-04 12:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$1.6K	1,608	0	+1,608	open	—	05-14 21:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	3	$1.5K	1,480	0	+1,480	open	—	05-19 13:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	1	$1.5K	1,480	0	+1,480	open	—	05-19 19:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	2	$1.3K	1,264	0	+1,264	open	—	05-18 13:41
bitcoin above 90k on january 15	1	$900	901	0	+901	open	—	01-15 05:29
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	13	$897	900	0	+900	open	—	01-26 13:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	5	$849	862	0	+862	open	—	05-21 16:49
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	13	$780	500	500	+0	open	—	04-29 15:23
bitcoin above 76k on february 15	1	$759	759	0	+759	open	—	02-15 04:11
bitcoin above 88k on february 3	1	$758	759	0	+759	open	—	02-03 12:03
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	1	$754	757	0	+757	open	—	02-01 02:35
bitcoin above 92k on january 30	1	$749	750	0	+750	open	—	01-30 08:16
ethereum above 2500 on january 29	1	$639	640	0	+640	open	—	01-28 04:03
bitcoin above 86k on february 2	1	$557	558	0	+558	open	—	02-02 05:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?	2	$547	550	0	+550	open	—	05-01 13:55
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$440	500	0	+500	open	—	01-05 10:03
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	1	$429	477	0	+477	open	—	04-27 15:18
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	1	$341	345	0	+345	open	—	04-30 16:52
bitcoin above 82k on january 29	1	$299	300	0	+300	open	—	01-28 04:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 17:25:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	1,880	96¢	$1,805	0x58a578…
05-30 20:13:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,744	97¢	$1,700	0x67b5ed…
05-29 23:48:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	1,760	98¢	$1,720	0xab065e…
05-29 13:44:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1,722	100¢	$1,720	0x342943…
05-27 00:30:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01e78b…
05-27 00:30:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95e737…
05-27 00:29:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,709	99¢	$1,700	0x3d1aa1…
05-25 03:50:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,533	100¢	$1,531	0x6f86cc…
05-25 02:46:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x769382…
05-23 22:11:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,710	100¢	$1,705	0x2907e5…
05-22 22:06:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,682	98¢	$1,648	0x46a2da…
05-21 16:49:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	133	99¢	$131	0xc3f8d7…
05-21 16:37:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	133	99¢	$131	0xb15bd2…
05-21 16:37:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x97ef2d…
05-21 16:06:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	400	98¢	$394	0x753b73…
05-21 16:03:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	133	99¢	$131	0x8e09f0…
05-19 19:50:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1,480	99¢	$1,462	0xc949de…
05-19 13:37:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x57cab3…
05-19 13:36:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	900	100¢	$897	0x92d156…
05-19 13:35:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x7e0c51…
05-19 13:35:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x205487…
05-18 13:41:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	891	99¢	$886	0xa404d7…
05-18 13:14:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	373	100¢	$371	0x12e294…
05-16 14:51:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	1,638	100¢	$1,635	0xa7622f…
05-14 21:02:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,608	100¢	$1,600	0x5a27af…
05-06 03:07:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	386	100¢	$385	0x8262fe…
05-06 01:10:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf5c846…
05-05 23:03:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0xa2c201…
05-05 21:16:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x55f21a…
05-04 12:34:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1,625	100¢	$1,623	0x85743c…
05-01 13:55:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	350	99¢	$348	0x8cb49d…
05-01 13:43:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x104323…
04-30 16:52:02	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	345	99¢	$341	0x14f4e8…
04-29 15:23:14	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	500	68¢	$340	0x8a0115…
04-27 15:18:52	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	477	90¢	$429	0xf2ecb3…
04-11 02:23:07	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0xab2baa…
04-11 02:23:05	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	52	88¢	$46	0x2167a6…
04-11 02:22:39	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0xdfd412…
04-11 02:22:23	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	56	88¢	$49	0xf54537…
04-11 02:22:01	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	61	88¢	$53	0x66e3b9…
04-11 02:21:57	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0xaefd84…
04-11 02:21:49	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	52	88¢	$46	0x60a6de…
04-11 02:21:49	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	55	88¢	$49	0x275f95…
04-11 02:21:35	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xf9be23…
04-11 02:21:11	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	55	88¢	$49	0x222366…
04-11 02:21:11	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0x0af0e1…
04-11 02:21:09	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0x72dde5…
02-15 04:11:59	bitcoin above 76k on february 15	No	BUY	759	100¢	$759	0xdef23e…
02-03 12:03:24	bitcoin above 88k on february 3	No	BUY	759	100¢	$758	0xf5595c…
02-02 05:43:06	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	558	100¢	$557	0x7ee0cd…
02-02 05:43:00	bitcoin above 84k on february 2	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x6533e2…
02-01 02:35:28	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	No	BUY	757	100¢	$754	0x0e0a5e…
01-30 08:16:58	bitcoin above 92k on january 30	No	BUY	750	100¢	$749	0xf20523…
01-28 04:03:21	ethereum above 2500 on january 29	Yes	BUY	640	100¢	$639	0x88d29e…
01-28 04:02:59	bitcoin above 82k on january 29	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xb7ffec…
01-26 13:13:01	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	No	BUY	611	100¢	$609	0x4edede…
01-26 13:07:01	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xb91a8a…
01-26 13:05:55	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x412145…
01-26 13:05:45	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xed532e…
01-26 13:02:41	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc8ec5…
01-26 13:02:41	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x701f38…
01-26 13:02:41	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x4e2dcf…
01-26 13:01:47	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x28d35a…
01-26 13:00:07	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xce23d4…
01-26 12:56:29	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x570021…
01-26 12:56:11	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x1cae85…
01-26 12:54:25	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfaf4af…
01-26 12:51:09	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 26	No	BUY	275	100¢	$274	0x8ca131…
01-23 04:32:06	will solana dip to 90 january 19 25	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x4359d1…
01-22 02:07:14	ETHGAS FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	260	99¢	$258	0x2f2a37…
01-21 11:58:30	First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	BUY	90	94¢	$85	0xb0b6e2…
01-20 07:29:28	Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xdf84b1…
01-20 03:31:30	Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x898d82…
01-15 05:29:38	bitcoin above 90k on january 15	Yes	BUY	901	100¢	$900	0x1a9115…
01-05 10:03:17	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0x85e540…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	29	$5.17K	1,580	06-04 12:04
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	25	$127.9K	1,720	06-07 19:09
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	24	$13.7K	4,194	06-05 20:58
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	19	$530	296	05-13 18:32
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	18	$83.7K	348	06-08 02:16
Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b	18	$2.99K	1,024	05-28 19:58
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	18	$795	762	05-23 05:50
Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a	17	$10.6K	64	06-07 16:00