Sinful-Hare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.49K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,754

lifetime

Volume

$133.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 08-12 17:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

75% 33% +$1,509

Other

16% 0% $-14

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	60	$8.2K	9,203	9,034	+169	open	—	06-15 01:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	21	$7.3K	3,980	3,859	+121	open	—	04-25 16:21
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	56	$5.1K	7,724	7,501	+223	open	—	05-09 11:30
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	60	$4.8K	22,857	6,986	+15,871	open	—	06-04 11:08
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	26	$4.6K	3,903	3,903	+0	open	—	06-17 19:10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	18	$3.6K	3,915	3,582	+333	open	—	06-04 00:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	30	$3.5K	3,911	3,232	+679	open	—	04-24 19:26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	35	$3.3K	5,323	5,123	+200	open	—	05-23 17:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	11	$3.0K	1,851	1,828	+23	open	—	04-17 13:30
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$2.9K	2,093	1,856	+237	open	—	03-27 18:41
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	7	$2.9K	1,446	1,446	+0	open	—	03-30 12:12
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	53	$2.9K	7,379	5,219	+2,160	open	—	05-29 16:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	25	$2.6K	7,156	7,156	+0	open	—	05-18 14:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	128	$2.5K	5,029	4,424	+605	open	—	05-10 17:16
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	4	$2.5K	5,395	0	+5,395	open	—	07-15 17:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	38	$2.4K	2,470	2,470	+0	open	—	04-21 15:06
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	21	$2.3K	3,019	2,595	+424	open	—	04-21 21:10
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	21	$2.2K	1,965	1,511	+454	open	—	04-24 12:13
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	9	$2.1K	1,079	1,079	+0	open	—	05-14 20:36
iran closes its airspace by june 8	15	$2.0K	1,403	1,403	+0	open	—	06-07 21:05
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$2.0K	1,059	1,059	+0	open	—	03-28 14:44
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	30	$1.9K	2,106	3,103	-997	open	—	06-16 15:54
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	18	$1.8K	1,044	1,044	+0	open	—	03-12 18:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	38	$1.8K	2,708	2,439	+270	open	—	04-24 15:52
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	22	$1.7K	1,544	1,544	+0	open	—	06-15 16:21
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	19	$1.7K	1,560	1,382	+178	open	—	04-16 15:55
will uk strike iran by march 31	6	$1.7K	1,001	1,001	+0	open	—	03-05 11:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$1.6K	941	941	+0	open	—	06-04 20:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	34	$1.5K	1,777	1,777	+0	open	—	04-07 15:28
will uae strike iran by march 31	13	$1.5K	2,136	1,825	+311	open	—	03-14 17:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 17:39:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	70	75¢	$53	0x0e4cc9…
08-11 23:50:46	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	823	6¢	$49	0x5bbc06…
08-10 23:16:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	500	21¢	$105	0x9ba874…
08-10 21:28:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	544	1¢	$8	0xeb2ad4…
08-10 21:27:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	570	17¢	$97	0x36fb20…
08-10 18:33:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	871	17¢	$148	0x0bd121…
08-10 13:47:30	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	654	8¢	$52	0x16786f…
08-09 19:46:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	304	11¢	$33	0xc891ca…
08-09 13:38:10	cs2 100t bcg 2026 08 09 game2	BC.Game Esports	SELL	93	12¢	$11	0x3c15d4…
08-09 13:30:55	cs2 100t bcg 2026 08 09 game2	BC.Game Esports	SELL	97	39¢	$37	0x9a3368…
08-09 12:44:04	cs2 100t bcg 2026 08 09 game2	BC.Game Esports	BUY	190	52¢	$99	0xf27c4f…
08-09 12:27:45	cs2 hero fnc 2026 08 09	Heroic	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0xfd92d2…
08-09 01:01:07	lol sen sr 2026 08 08	Sentinels	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xeedb08…
08-09 00:59:42	lol sen sr 2026 08 08	Sentinels	SELL	158	10¢	$16	0xf9e7a9…
08-09 00:52:30	lol sen sr 2026 08 08	Sentinels	BUY	57	28¢	$16	0x1a75bc…
08-09 00:37:25	lol sen sr 2026 08 08	Sentinels	BUY	61	57¢	$35	0x39f7e4…
08-09 00:14:04	lol sen sr 2026 08 08	Sentinels	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x5f04b8…
08-08 17:00:10	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	No	BUY	204	0¢	$1	0x8b7eb7…
08-08 16:07:07	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	No	BUY	460	0¢	$2	0x87b557…
08-08 15:57:12	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd4517e…
08-08 15:42:13	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	No	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x39aa4b…
08-08 15:33:36	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	No	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x69151d…
08-08 15:22:18	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	No	BUY	117	0¢	$0	0xf6bbe4…
08-08 15:22:04	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x6cfb00…
08-08 15:21:54	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	No	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x916b7c…
08-08 15:21:28	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	No	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x541900…
08-08 15:21:28	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x398368…
08-08 14:59:12	btc updown 5m 1786200900	Up	BUY	224	2¢	$4	0x11aebd…
08-08 14:34:48	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	992	10¢	$99	0x950e37…
08-08 12:51:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	424	17¢	$72	0x6b7a9c…
08-08 12:48:15	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0x38567b…
08-08 12:00:04	will kai or speed die to a creeper 20260806175301183	No	BUY	51	14¢	$7	0x870053…
08-07 11:15:30	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	661	9¢	$60	0x9bb24f…
08-06 20:28:42	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	483	12¢	$58	0xb319d6…
08-05 18:40:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xdcad6b…
08-05 18:39:53	mlb nym cle 2026 08 05	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	290	52¢	$151	0x31ad12…
08-05 18:39:05	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0xd64cbb…
08-05 18:38:54	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x1071f8…
08-05 13:43:42	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x7ab918…
08-05 12:24:56	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	1,143	14¢	$160	0xbedbde…
08-05 12:24:23	will over 50 senators vote for the clarity act 20260729193533307	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0xccf4fd…
08-05 12:24:12	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	719	14¢	$100	0x8c8c01…
08-02 22:11:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	544	5¢	$25	0xc0ea05…
07-30 20:41:53	will over 50 senators vote for the clarity act 20260729193533307	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xdcce26…
07-29 19:40:48	hood quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt43	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6fe3ee…
07-29 19:25:12	hood quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt43	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x62b1d7…
07-19 17:15:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	412	59¢	$244	0xf01a4a…
07-15 17:44:07	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	116	45¢	$53	0x8002a3…
07-15 17:07:37	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	198	46¢	$91	0xd46023…
07-15 16:59:31	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	733	46¢	$337	0xe904f7…
07-15 16:49:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	4,348	46¢	$2,000	0x35db5a…
06-21 23:57:35	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x47a663…
06-21 23:55:13	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	886	3¢	$27	0x3b12bc…
06-21 23:45:28	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0x0ffb49…
06-21 23:43:41	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	178	4¢	$6	0xfd2b7b…
06-21 23:25:55	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	73	4¢	$3	0x4877e3…
06-21 22:15:59	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0x5650c6…
06-21 22:05:59	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x1453c8…
06-21 20:14:08	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	97	4¢	$4	0x5f51eb…
06-21 20:00:56	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	313	3¢	$11	0x2ede03…
06-21 17:16:47	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	1,668	4¢	$62	0xd9e31b…
06-21 13:43:44	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,660	6¢	$100	0xde6298…
06-21 13:43:28	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,676	6¢	$100	0xd38b81…
06-20 21:10:58	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xf66e72…
06-20 11:26:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	131	71¢	$93	0xd04f12…
06-20 11:26:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	62	71¢	$44	0x22df42…
06-20 00:07:04	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	613	4¢	$24	0x9ff1c1…
06-20 00:06:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x03455f…
06-17 19:32:58	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	581	8¢	$47	0x0b6b13…
06-17 19:31:04	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	32	8¢	$3	0x2f3dd8…
06-17 19:21:02	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,226	8¢	$100	0x8b1148…
06-17 19:10:31	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	319	99¢	$315	0xa054d5…
06-17 19:10:23	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	294	97¢	$285	0xda66ea…
06-17 19:06:31	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	613	98¢	$600	0xb34328…
06-16 17:35:14	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	149	47¢	$70	0xb129e1…
06-16 17:35:14	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	57	47¢	$27	0xa00c22…
06-16 17:35:13	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	95	47¢	$45	0x03e13e…
06-16 17:31:40	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	56	47¢	$26	0x2b14da…
06-16 17:24:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	357	51¢	$182	0x8025cd…
06-16 17:15:20	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0xbf60bd…
06-16 17:15:17	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	11	32¢	$4	0x0419e5…
06-16 17:15:14	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x70c057…
06-16 17:15:14	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	63	32¢	$20	0x48fbeb…
06-16 17:14:53	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	380	31¢	$118	0x597e42…
06-16 17:14:53	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x01696c…
06-16 17:12:04	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	96	53¢	$51	0xa596c8…
06-16 17:10:20	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	51	55¢	$28	0xf94ae9…
06-16 17:10:20	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x74e316…
06-16 17:09:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x101474…
06-16 17:09:29	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x4aca63…
06-16 17:09:28	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x99b157…
06-16 17:09:28	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x71af4a…
06-16 17:09:05	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x885c7b…
06-16 17:07:40	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	293	42¢	$123	0x1b6ab4…
06-16 17:02:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	190	30¢	$57	0x83dca6…
06-16 17:01:31	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	190	30¢	$57	0xe1c4b1…
06-16 16:57:13	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xd7204a…
06-16 16:55:58	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x6a4eef…
06-16 16:54:41	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	220	54¢	$119	0x4ada3a…
06-16 16:47:29	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	493	30¢	$148	0x5db100…