Hearty-Cria-Regime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$250

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-14 19:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

38% 43% +$11

Politics

31% — —

Other

29% 0% $-0

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$36	24	24	+0	open	—	05-24 19:11
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$24	23	23	+0	open	—	05-14 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$20	39	0	+39	Down	$-20	05-10 08:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$17	0	40	-40	open	—	06-14 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$15	27	0	+27	Down	$-15	05-09 22:29
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	2	$10	32	32	+0	open	—	05-26 22:20
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-10 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-09 22:18
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	05-12 12:58
Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$10	28	14	+14	open	—	05-12 21:21
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$10	13	13	+0	Yes	$-0	05-10 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$8	05-09 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$5	26	0	+26	Down	$-5	05-10 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-09 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$5	59	0	+59	Up	$-5	05-09 22:42
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	05-17 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$7	05-10 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$5	42	0	+42	Up	+$37	05-09 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	42	0	+42	Down	$-5	05-11 12:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	06-14 19:03
Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-17 22:44
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	05-18 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$5	18	0	+18	Up	+$13	05-09 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-10 08:16
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	06-04 12:16
Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$3	50	50	+0	open	—	05-10 13:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$2	200	0	+200	Down	$-2	05-11 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-12 14:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 19:03:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xfcdf16…
06-14 19:01:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	40	43¢	$17	0x13499c…
06-04 12:16:04	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb7c900…
05-26 22:20:39	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0xf7c698…
05-24 19:11:15	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	24	86¢	$21	0x71dbb1…
05-18 17:55:08	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xcab681…
05-18 17:52:05	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x4c6587…
05-17 22:44:26	Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xeba3da…
05-17 22:44:08	Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x5eb810…
05-17 22:42:49	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x47fc34…
05-14 22:13:36	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	23	61¢	$14	0x34709b…
05-12 21:21:29	Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x7b421c…
05-12 14:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc6d2d5…
05-12 12:58:55	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x93270b…
05-12 12:53:33	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x966aa8…
05-12 12:51:44	Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xaf27f1…
05-11 17:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5d12c3…
05-11 17:08:18	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x00c95f…
05-11 12:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x15cfb6…
05-10 13:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x747018…
05-10 13:01:34	Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xe91971…
05-10 13:01:28	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x90b0dc…
05-10 12:13:30	Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x933467…
05-10 12:09:23	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x8db1c1…
05-10 08:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x245080…
05-10 08:35:58	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x45dd82…
05-10 08:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb64745…
05-10 08:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x01bc11…
05-10 08:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc60c69…
05-09 22:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	9¢	$5	0x4b5d50…
05-09 22:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc8ce5d…
05-09 22:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xedaf02…
05-09 22:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x39b81c…
05-09 22:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4e4b6d…
05-09 22:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdff85b…
05-09 22:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa4bda5…
05-09 22:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x4058a7…
05-09 22:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x59aae2…