Menacing-Accelerant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$7.28K

Hit rate

32.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$78.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.96K

Open exposure

$14.8K

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 07-14 13:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Sports

50% 29% -$5,407

Politics

29% — —

Other

21% 50% -$6,775

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+85,257	$13,042	10¢	$8.2K	-$4,814	06-21 07:29
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+32,740	$7,000	18¢	$5.9K	-$1,090	05-06 14:55
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	+3,128	$2,052	22¢	$673	-$1,379	05-01 12:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	7	$13.0K	85,257	0	+85,257	open	—	06-21 07:29
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	5	$10.5K	21,689	0	+21,689	No	-$10,500	06-25 11:10
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$9.5K	12,048	0	+12,048	Yes	+$2,594	06-07 14:29
will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	4	$9.3K	7,839	7,839	+0	Yes	-$693	06-16 14:15
will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	4	$7.9K	8,351	8,351	+0	No	-$1,060	06-20 12:05
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$7.0K	32,740	0	+32,740	open	—	05-06 14:55
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$7.0K	17,903	0	+17,903	No	-$7,000	07-14 13:27
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	1	$4.0K	6,154	0	+6,154	Yes	+$2,154	06-15 14:03
will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	3	$3.8K	6,047	0	+6,047	Yes	+$2,251	06-21 07:11
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	3	$2.1K	3,128	0	+3,128	open	—	05-01 12:57
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	1	$1000	3,704	0	+3,704	No	-$1,000	06-14 08:52
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	1	$1000	3,571	0	+3,571	Yes	+$2,571	06-14 08:53
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$1000	142,857	0	+142,857	open	—	06-21 07:28
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1000	2,387	0	+2,387	No	-$1,000	06-14 14:09
will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	1	$500	1,962	0	+1,962	No	-$500	06-14 14:11
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 06:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 13:27:47	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,558	39¢	$1,000	0xd86f5a…
07-14 13:27:34	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,558	39¢	$1,000	0x092e11…
07-14 13:27:28	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12,788	39¢	$5,000	0xb4e8c0…
06-25 11:10:43	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	3,953	51¢	$2,000	0xcf64db…
06-21 13:58:49	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	2,041	49¢	$1,000	0xcc4299…
06-21 13:58:46	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	4,082	49¢	$2,000	0x77b446…
06-21 12:42:20	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	6,122	49¢	$3,000	0x61608e…
06-21 07:29:50	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6,547	15¢	$1,000	0xdb6de3…
06-21 07:28:53	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	142,857	1¢	$1,000	0x4caac2…
06-21 07:27:52	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,369	15¢	$200	0x0308fe…
06-21 07:11:38	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	484	62¢	$300	0xfcb762…
06-20 12:05:31	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	2,640	63¢	$1,663	0x43e14f…
06-20 12:05:04	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	Yes	SELL	4,175	41¢	$1,712	0xc8c982…
06-20 12:04:49	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	2,923	63¢	$1,832	0x38ba8e…
06-20 12:04:22	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	Yes	SELL	4,175	41¢	$1,728	0xe12b67…
06-16 14:16:05	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	Yes	BUY	4,630	54¢	$2,500	0xa9e3c2…
06-16 14:15:46	will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	Yes	SELL	4,409	55¢	$2,407	0xeb3c24…
06-16 14:15:20	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	Yes	BUY	3,721	54¢	$2,000	0xbd8c76…
06-16 14:14:46	will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	Yes	SELL	1,470	55¢	$808	0x08e24c…
06-16 14:14:34	will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	Yes	SELL	1,960	56¢	$1,092	0xa48081…
06-15 14:10:25	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	5,492	46¢	$2,500	0xf0f4d5…
06-15 14:03:25	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	6,154	65¢	$4,000	0x86ffc9…
06-14 14:14:36	Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7,839	64¢	$5,000	0x14fff6…
06-14 14:11:21	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	Yes	BUY	1,962	25¢	$500	0x030124…
06-14 14:09:48	Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,387	42¢	$1,000	0xe089e9…
06-14 08:53:03	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3,571	28¢	$1,000	0x0f2c76…
06-14 08:52:49	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	3,704	27¢	$1,000	0x0a6d98…
06-07 14:29:25	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	12,048	78¢	$9,454	0x5e69b0…
06-06 09:02:15	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	37,007	16¢	$5,942	0xb825f4…
05-30 09:58:27	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6,448	14¢	$900	0x4a3824…
05-10 06:00:17	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	12,523	16¢	$2,000	0xb044a9…
05-07 08:38:14	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6,617	15¢	$1,014	0xcb2eda…
05-07 08:38:14	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	14,747	13¢	$1,986	0xbe805f…
05-06 14:55:49	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	23,434	21¢	$5,000	0xc63ba0…
05-01 12:59:42	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	9,306	21¢	$2,000	0x2cde2b…
05-01 12:57:04	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	52¢	$50	0xbabf90…
05-01 07:15:38	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,029	66¢	$2,000	0xdeddcb…
05-01 06:38:42	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xbb957f…
05-01 06:27:16	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x6bdb2b…
05-01 06:27:06	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x208e4d…