Lasting-Inflation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

8.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

13 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$81

$81 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$71

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-12 19:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 20% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-71	$-36	56¢	$-40	$-4	05-10 19:24
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+75	$24	32¢	$24	$-0	05-06 23:06
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	-13	$-5	48¢	$-7	$-2	05-11 21:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 12?	Yes	+55	$3	1¢	$0	$-2	05-12 19:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 19:06:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0xe8ec67…
05-11 21:14:30	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x9c8dc7…
05-11 00:19:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	155	3¢	$4	0x587727…
05-10 23:02:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc2186b…
05-10 20:41:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xca7f54…
05-10 19:24:12	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0x2fd695…
05-09 23:21:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe7b5ac…
05-06 23:06:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0x225b80…
05-06 18:53:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xcf0393…
05-06 18:15:48	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xc0f0e2…
05-06 18:15:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xad8b99…
05-06 17:43:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x2f8729…
05-06 16:33:49	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0xdc406a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa	6	$11.7K	64	05-11 03:13
Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82	5	$8.83K	33	05-13 01:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$36	0	71	-71	open	—	05-10 19:24
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$24	75	0	+75	open	—	05-06 23:06
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	1	$5	0	5	-5	Yes	$-0	05-10 23:02
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$5	0	13	-13	open	—	05-11 21:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	1	$4	155	0	+155	No	$-4	05-11 00:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 12?	1	$3	55	0	+55	open	—	05-12 19:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6?	1	$2	25	0	+25	No	$-2	05-06 18:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-09 23:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	1	$1	33	0	+33	Yes	$-1	05-10 20:41