Tired-Reform — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$335

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-04 02:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$6

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		+3	$3	100¢	$3	+$0	06-02 02:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2900 on january 19	1	$1.1K	1,084	0	+1,084	open	—	01-19 02:37
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 18	1	$1.1K	1,083	0	+1,083	open	—	01-18 01:56
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	01-17 01:36
ethereum above 3000 on january 16	1	$1.1K	1,079	0	+1,079	open	—	01-16 02:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 15	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	open	—	01-15 01:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	1	$1.1K	1,076	0	+1,076	open	—	01-14 02:32
ethereum above 3500 on january 13	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	01-13 01:42
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 12	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	open	—	01-12 02:24
ethereum above 2800 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	01-11 02:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 10	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	open	—	01-10 02:07
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 11?	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	No	+$2	05-11 02:50
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 9	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-09 06:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 9?	1	$1.1K	1,067	0	+1,067	No	+$2	05-09 01:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	1	$1.1K	1,058	0	+1,058	No	+$2	05-05 02:33
ethereum above 2400 on february 6	2	$12	1,124	1,123	+0	open	—	02-06 02:58
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-23 09:24
will googl dip to 215 in january	7	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 05:00
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	1	$6	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	02-24 07:45
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-21 08:48
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-14 02:38
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 14	1	$3	1,084	0	+1,084	open	—	02-14 07:59
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-02 02:39
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	1	$3	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	03-11 02:41
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-06 10:45
xrp above 1 on march 30	1	$2	1,159	0	+1,159	open	—	03-30 02:15
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	1	$2	1,105	0	+1,105	open	—	03-24 01:47
will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on april 8	1	$2	1,098	0	+1,098	open	—	04-08 01:28
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	1	$2	1,097	0	+1,097	open	—	03-06 02:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 1	1	$2	1,095	0	+1,095	open	—	03-01 08:07
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	1	$2	1,089	0	+1,089	open	—	04-17 00:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 02:14:42	ethereum above 2000 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1,068	0¢	$2	0x7e78db…
06-02 02:39:20	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa97902…
05-21 08:48:36	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1cb724…
05-11 02:50:22	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 11?	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,067	0x9acff0…
05-09 01:58:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,067	100¢	$1,065	0x6612d1…
05-05 02:33:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,058	100¢	$1,056	0x853b8e…
04-28 01:31:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	1,073	0¢	$2	0xdc46f1…
04-17 00:51:40	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	Yes	BUY	1,089	0¢	$2	0x8f6a6d…
04-14 02:38:21	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9a2034…
04-08 01:28:15	will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on april 8	Yes	BUY	1,098	0¢	$2	0xb8e26c…
04-06 10:45:23	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb209e4…
03-30 02:15:00	xrp above 1 on march 30	No	BUY	1,159	0¢	$2	0x91c71e…
03-24 01:47:49	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	Yes	BUY	1,105	0¢	$2	0xeb2689…
03-17 01:59:19	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	Yes	BUY	1,088	0¢	$2	0x7b9069…
03-11 02:41:35	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	1,071	0¢	$3	0xd65415…
03-06 02:10:47	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,097	0¢	$2	0x7ac849…
03-01 08:07:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 1	Yes	BUY	1,095	0¢	$2	0x17cc0f…
02-24 07:45:20	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	1,066	1¢	$6	0x059666…
02-14 07:59:33	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 14	Yes	BUY	1,084	0¢	$3	0x041611…
02-06 02:58:35	ethereum above 2400 on february 6	Yes	SELL	1,123	0¢	$6	0x71a925…
02-06 02:14:39	ethereum above 2400 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,124	1¢	$7	0xed8f2c…
02-02 03:22:54	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb3d921…
01-30 05:58:28	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbda2cc…
01-30 01:44:58	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 30	Yes	BUY	1,070	0¢	$1	0xf5728f…
01-29 12:03:34	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcee6e5…
01-27 05:00:43	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7e1b72…
01-27 05:00:39	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x96bf73…
01-27 05:00:37	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x898ff5…
01-27 05:00:37	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5e98a4…
01-27 05:00:35	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x644805…
01-27 05:00:33	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcd83c3…
01-26 09:03:17	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x509697…
01-23 09:24:36	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc7d046…
01-20 01:28:52	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb8d036…
01-19 02:37:24	ethereum above 2900 on january 19	Yes	BUY	1,084	100¢	$1,082	0x9a6541…
01-18 01:56:28	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 18	No	BUY	1,083	100¢	$1,081	0x90102f…
01-17 01:36:42	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,079	0x7f07d7…
01-16 02:21:16	ethereum above 3000 on january 16	Yes	BUY	1,079	100¢	$1,078	0x76a1b3…
01-15 01:02:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 15	No	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,076	0x80053c…
01-14 02:32:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	No	BUY	1,076	100¢	$1,074	0xe6f35c…
01-13 01:42:29	ethereum above 3500 on january 13	No	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,073	0xd57c0c…
01-12 02:24:46	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 12	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,072	0xd6baeb…
01-11 02:12:32	ethereum above 2800 on january 11	Yes	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,070	0x6c540e…
01-10 02:07:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 10	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,068	0x7abce2…
01-09 06:53:06	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 9	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,067	0x0e8b4c…