Emotional-Following — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$200

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 08-17 03:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

50% 50% -$6

Politics

28% 60% -$8

Sports

22% 29% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-6	-$6	99¢	$-6	$0	05-19 10:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	3	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$1	05-23 05:50
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	2	$13	8	8	+0	TheMongolz	+$3	05-22 10:07
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	2	$12	9	9	+0	Yes	-$4	05-24 15:12
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$11	13	0	+13	Yes	+$2	05-14 12:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-26 23:39
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-08 01:22
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$7	10	0	+10	Yes	+$3	05-24 15:13
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	05-19 10:35
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	2	$5	8	8	+0	No	-$3	05-14 12:50
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	1	$5	0	5	-5	No	$0	05-19 10:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	05-26 23:43
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	-$5	04-02 01:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	-$5	04-02 01:25
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Over	+$0	05-28 08:31
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	1	$4	7	0	+7	No	-$4	06-12 05:48
Max Dowman: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-28 08:36
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	1	$3	4	0	+4	Over	+$1	05-28 08:39
Gabriel Jesus: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-28 08:34
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$3	10	10	+0	No	-$2	05-30 17:46
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	-$2	05-19 13:50
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	2	$2	11	11	+0	No	-$2	08-17 03:32
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners team away 3pt5	2	$2	4	4	+0	Under	-$2	07-07 17:56
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-01?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	06-01 03:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	05-28 08:44
will lamine yamal score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610223932022	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	07-07 10:41
chi shp yun 2026 04 04 shp	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	04-04 11:39
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	05-19 10:47
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	06-12 05:47
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	06-02 08:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 03:32:21	Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x42ae65…
08-14 06:22:07	Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x9ba02f…
08-14 06:12:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x8e23c5…
08-14 06:10:54	Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x81bf09…
08-14 06:10:21	Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-14?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xdc2a22…
08-14 06:06:21	ecs ars mci 2026 08 16 btts	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa1c4de…
08-14 06:05:04	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe7a887…
07-08 01:22:07	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0x4c5e89…
07-07 17:56:14	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners team away 3pt5	Over	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x610767…
07-07 10:52:29	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xcd90cd…
07-07 10:43:32	will erling haaland score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x85c605…
07-07 10:41:40	will lamine yamal score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610223932022	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xbc25fd…
07-07 10:34:08	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x06b380…
07-07 10:32:58	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x6b4511…
07-07 10:32:52	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners team away 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x50c3ed…
07-07 10:25:59	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xd5799c…
06-12 05:48:54	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xf80ea5…
06-12 05:48:22	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xa4a813…
06-12 05:47:58	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x647659…
06-04 09:42:18	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x852b49…
06-02 08:20:14	Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x5fe16a…
06-02 08:19:23	Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x6e3c86…
06-01 03:24:14	Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xab0cbf…
05-30 17:46:19	Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x5a5af0…
05-28 08:44:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x549e57…
05-28 08:44:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3083ce…
05-28 08:39:57	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x996950…
05-28 08:36:20	Max Dowman: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xdc12f6…
05-28 08:34:56	Gabriel Jesus: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x8e74b6…
05-28 08:34:09	Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x64f339…
05-28 08:31:14	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe9489f…
05-26 23:43:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x48fed9…
05-26 23:39:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd8736e…
05-24 15:13:46	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc9a754…
05-24 15:12:08	Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xa959f3…
05-23 05:50:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xffd631…
05-22 10:10:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2ea838…
05-22 10:07:05	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	TheMongolz	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1cb795…
05-22 07:40:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x970bf7…
05-22 07:39:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdaffb9…
05-22 07:17:06	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	TheMongolz	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x0344d6…
05-19 13:50:53	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x6be216…
05-19 10:51:11	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd0b046…
05-19 10:47:52	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xf86e40…
05-19 10:47:06	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x8e37f5…
05-19 10:36:21	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x2040b2…
05-19 10:35:53	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xca63e6…
05-19 10:35:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x12f627…
05-19 10:34:36	Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9d6ab8…
05-14 12:55:00	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x031868…
05-14 12:51:16	Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x92cba4…
05-14 12:50:45	Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x2ce760…
04-04 11:39:15	chi shp yun 2026 04 04 shp	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x43f85e…
04-02 10:13:13	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x77a0ba…
04-02 10:13:01	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1388db…
04-02 01:25:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xae7e3a…
04-02 01:25:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x84cd7c…
03-27 07:03:53	Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xde607f…