Untried-Porch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

Trades

553

lifetime

Volume

$865

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-12 16:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

72% 33% $-1

Other

22% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	13	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	04-24 18:42
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	25	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	05-05 22:57
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	8	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	04-26 17:50
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	23	$23	41	41	+0	open	—	04-21 21:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	6	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	04-24 17:01
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	20	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-12 00:26
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	29	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	03-08 10:56
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	7	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	03-02 14:10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$20	19	19	+0	open	—	06-01 12:14
will trump praise allah by june 30	7	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-10 11:37
will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	6	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	06-11 20:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	3	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	06-11 12:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$19	17	17	+0	open	—	04-23 08:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	3	$18	16	16	+0	open	—	04-24 21:12
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$17	91	91	+0	open	—	02-11 13:09
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	7	$15	12	7	+5	open	—	04-24 14:16
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	9	$15	8	12	-3	open	—	04-26 19:04
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	7	$14	24	19	+6	open	—	05-22 17:01
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?	104	$14	13	5	+8	open	—	04-29 01:21
will trump talk to keir starmer in march 893	6	$14	11	5	+6	open	—	03-08 15:45
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	4	$12	15	6	+8	open	—	04-08 17:45
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	03-03 19:39
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	25	$11	23	23	+0	open	—	05-13 11:57
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-01 12:00
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	8	$11	31	25	+6	open	—	05-18 14:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	5	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-24 15:45
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-06 13:27
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	4	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-15 21:34
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	4	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	03-03 19:11
will opinion launch a token on march 5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-02 13:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 16:53:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt25t by june 30	Yes	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x7ac902…
06-12 15:56:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt25t by june 30	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0a98a0…
06-11 20:13:25	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0xc22825…
06-11 20:12:28	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x140dc4…
06-11 20:11:48	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4044de…
06-11 20:09:01	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x97f754…
06-11 20:04:12	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x643224…
06-11 19:56:36	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0x6118ae…
06-11 19:55:10	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x47713b…
06-11 19:49:39	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x20d780…
06-11 19:48:51	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb7dca1…
06-11 19:48:48	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x27b5b6…
06-11 12:43:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x468036…
06-11 12:23:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x84e4e1…
06-11 12:23:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0c7955…
06-10 11:37:06	will trump praise allah by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x38813d…
06-10 11:36:19	will trump praise allah by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xec4b66…
06-10 11:36:19	will trump praise allah by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x874200…
06-10 11:35:36	will trump praise allah by june 30	Yes	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xee1cb3…
06-10 11:35:30	will trump praise allah by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa3afc0…
06-10 11:33:27	will trump praise allah by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xba7329…
06-10 11:33:24	will trump praise allah by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0a98dd…
06-10 11:33:16	will trump praise allah again by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0f47a8…
06-07 20:52:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x382a07…
06-07 20:50:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xdb87f2…
06-05 18:43:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x4d4839…
06-05 17:53:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x5edb87…
06-05 14:19:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0x856147…
06-05 14:15:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xe97768…
06-05 14:12:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x9f9b11…
06-05 14:11:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x8528e8…
06-05 14:10:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xcb6916…
06-05 14:10:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xcb6de1…
06-05 14:10:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x67b959…
06-05 14:09:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x39dc10…
06-05 14:09:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x89568d…
06-05 14:09:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x01ae0a…
06-05 14:09:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x873cd8…
06-05 14:09:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x4ca4e1…
06-05 14:09:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x8a0dc3…
06-05 14:09:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x774791…
06-05 14:09:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x965ac3…
06-05 14:09:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x803513…
06-05 14:08:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x49d04a…
06-05 14:08:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x2deba1…
06-05 14:08:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x568a17…
06-05 14:08:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x210372…
06-05 14:08:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x883049…
06-05 14:08:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x22682a…
06-05 14:08:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x46ec2a…
06-05 14:07:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x66a9b0…
06-05 14:07:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xd97b24…
06-05 14:06:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x29b94a…
06-05 14:06:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x0e9d09…
06-05 14:05:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x43a860…
06-05 14:05:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0xd2c8b3…
06-05 14:05:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x4fde9b…
06-05 14:04:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x94f76f…
06-05 14:03:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x826a5b…
06-01 12:14:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x1dfe48…
06-01 12:14:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xbbe5fc…
06-01 12:00:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x276d5a…
06-01 11:57:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x7e1f36…
06-01 11:56:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3710bd…
05-25 22:16:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x3c938b…
05-25 22:16:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x3da2cf…
05-25 21:16:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfb19eb…
05-23 18:11:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x7402a2…
05-23 18:11:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x332f8a…
05-23 14:55:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xfbfba9…
05-23 09:36:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x041259…
05-23 08:57:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xc27a60…
05-23 08:53:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x348f79…
05-22 17:01:18	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8c5cd6…
05-20 14:27:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x42add9…
05-20 14:27:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x31f5af…
05-20 14:27:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x07bbbf…
05-20 14:27:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x091c5b…
05-20 14:27:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x9251a0…
05-20 14:26:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x8cb542…
05-20 14:26:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x00c093…
05-20 14:17:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x693d8b…
05-20 11:30:26	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x241cba…
05-20 11:29:44	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x1db049…
05-20 11:21:01	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xa16db6…
05-20 11:20:59	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x3c73ce…
05-20 11:20:57	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xd89a16…
05-20 11:17:06	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xa55db8…
05-20 11:17:06	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x5534d4…
05-20 11:17:05	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x1c1823…
05-20 10:46:29	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xc28bea…
05-20 10:46:27	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xb6d208…
05-20 10:46:27	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xa0e54f…
05-20 10:46:27	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x90c12c…
05-20 10:03:22	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x68dddd…
05-19 17:44:08	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x18ffd4…
05-19 16:42:04	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xd9aafd…
05-19 12:26:57	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x62c7fe…
05-18 15:01:24	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xfa2b5d…
05-18 14:52:37	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x39cbbd…