Dangerous-Initiative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-03 01:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$0

Other

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 5?	1	$108	108	+108	open	—	06-03 01:32
bitcoin above 78k on march 25	1	$105	106	+106	open	—	03-24 12:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	1	$105	105	+105	Yes	+$0	05-06 15:40
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 4	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	04-03 03:13
bitcoin above 78k on march 30	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	03-29 03:54
bitcoin above 102k on january 12	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	01-10 08:09
ethereum above 2600 on january 7	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	01-05 21:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	1	$104	104	+104	No	+$0	05-10 01:41
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	04-08 05:44
bitcoin above 64k on march 18	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	03-17 12:07
ethereum above 2400 on march 1	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	02-28 03:05
ethereum above 2500 on february 27	1	$103	104	+104	open	—	02-25 00:41
bitcoin above 82k on january 15	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	01-14 02:48
bitcoin above 82k on january 9	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	01-07 20:36
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3300 on february 1	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	01-30 23:57
ethereum above 2500 on april 2	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	04-01 03:49
bitcoin above 60k on march 27	1	$102	103	+103	open	—	03-26 19:14
ethereum above 2600 on february 21	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	02-19 11:34
bitcoin above 80k on march 20	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	03-19 10:21
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 13	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	03-12 10:14
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 106000 on january 21	1	$101	102	+102	open	—	01-19 04:02
bitcoin above 82k on january 18	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	01-16 03:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	05-15 09:38
bitcoin above 62k on april 13	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	04-12 08:35
ethereum above 2500 on february 15	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	02-14 02:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 23	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	03-22 14:17
ethereum above 2500 on february 13	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	02-12 01:08
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	02-11 07:22
bitcoin above 80k on january 30	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	01-29 03:09
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 16	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	03-14 17:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 01:32:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 5?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x90aaf3…
05-16 20:18:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x06064f…
05-15 09:38:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xb61c95…
05-10 01:41:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xb397c5…
05-06 15:40:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x076f3d…
05-03 23:13:32	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc04182…
04-30 13:08:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3b031b…
04-27 13:46:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$98	0x5ce44a…
04-23 13:07:54	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on april 24	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x942b2e…
04-21 14:47:18	bitcoin above 84k on april 22	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x139a8f…
04-19 10:27:32	bitcoin above 82k on april 20	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xe87a3f…
04-16 16:27:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2ee04c…
04-12 08:35:15	bitcoin above 62k on april 13	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xd0d07d…
04-09 23:42:23	Will Meta (META) close above $440 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x774fad…
04-09 23:04:47	Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7eb730…
04-08 05:44:55	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xd0a9c6…
04-03 03:13:31	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 4	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xc66e91…
04-01 03:49:39	ethereum above 2500 on april 2	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xd6156a…
03-29 03:54:00	bitcoin above 78k on march 30	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xd6c10e…
03-26 19:14:31	bitcoin above 60k on march 27	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x2ea34a…
03-24 12:28:01	bitcoin above 78k on march 25	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0x9caa3e…
03-22 14:17:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 23	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x20fba6…
03-19 10:21:37	bitcoin above 80k on march 20	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x32ad56…
03-17 12:07:15	bitcoin above 64k on march 18	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x7a114c…
03-14 17:12:33	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 16	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xcf8680…
03-12 10:14:47	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 13	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xe65e1e…
02-28 03:05:55	ethereum above 2400 on march 1	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xbcfced…
02-25 00:41:42	ethereum above 2500 on february 27	No	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0xa72a7a…
02-22 14:37:50	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 24	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf44242…
02-19 11:34:24	ethereum above 2600 on february 21	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x9c7abf…
02-16 02:41:59	bitcoin above 78k on february 17	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6b7b54…
02-14 02:32:51	ethereum above 2500 on february 15	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x862e9d…
02-12 01:08:07	ethereum above 2500 on february 13	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xb8d81e…
02-11 07:22:17	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xd27e63…
02-08 23:44:11	bitcoin above 82k on february 10	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x71a433…
02-07 00:45:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 8	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf6ff8b…
02-05 17:27:03	ethereum above 2800 on february 6	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x46a8db…
02-02 01:59:56	ethereum above 3300 on february 3	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcf8602…
01-30 23:57:34	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3300 on february 1	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xf6dd0a…
01-29 03:09:16	bitcoin above 80k on january 30	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xfae2ff…
01-27 11:53:29	will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 28	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xd23465…
01-25 14:48:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 26	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xc96d44…
01-22 10:27:10	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 104000 on january 24	No	BUY	98	100¢	$97	0x6868e0…
01-20 13:50:04	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x974b1d…
01-19 04:02:44	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 106000 on january 21	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0xfb4ae1…
01-16 03:52:58	bitcoin above 82k on january 18	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x71eb15…
01-14 02:48:50	bitcoin above 82k on january 15	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x4ae6f0…
01-10 08:09:22	bitcoin above 102k on january 12	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x2d82c7…
01-07 20:36:11	bitcoin above 82k on january 9	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x5c90d2…
01-05 21:06:59	ethereum above 2600 on january 7	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x6c5944…
01-03 10:39:03	will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 5	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc1ee3f…