Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

118

Trades

179

lifetime

Volume

$542

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-06-10

last 09-16 02:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

70% 75% +$2

Crypto

27% 30% -$29

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+689	$6	2¢	$13	+$7	09-16 02:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?	2	$15	13	13	+0	No	+$12	06-18 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	Down	+$4	09-15 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$13	18	16	+2	Down	+$1	09-15 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$12	12	8	+4	Up	$0	09-15 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	09-15 20:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:15 UTC	3	$11	12	12	+0	Up	+$7	09-14 21:18
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	09-16 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 87°F or below on July 27?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-27 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	+$4	09-15 16:03
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 19?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	06-19 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	5	$8	10	6	+4	Down	+$2	09-15 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 19?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	06-19 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on July 15?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	-$2	07-15 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$7	165	0	+165	Up	-$7	09-15 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 19?	3	$7	10	5	+5	Yes	-$4	06-19 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$7	1,004	4	+1,000	Up	+$1	09-15 15:55
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$6	24	0	+24	Yes	+$18	07-15 20:53
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$6	689	0	+689	open	—	09-16 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$5	100	0	+100	Down	-$5	09-15 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	09-15 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$5	221	0	+221	Up	-$5	09-15 19:53
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-30 00:58
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 28?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-27 17:53
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 29?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-29 01:41
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 4?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-04 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on July 28?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-28 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 2?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-02 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 25?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-25 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 27?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-27 02:02
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 29?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-29 00:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 02:23:06	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	689	1¢	$6	0xe8cba9…
09-16 02:22:30	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xca72d4…
09-15 21:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x1b8da2…
09-15 20:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x969a2f…
09-15 20:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4effbd…
09-15 20:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x84a0e8…
09-15 20:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xd0c993…
09-15 20:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$7	0x492ba3…
09-15 20:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0c5cf3…
09-15 20:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4723ac…
09-15 20:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4b91bc…
09-15 20:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0xbe3d4e…
09-15 20:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x413758…
09-15 19:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3d5287…
09-15 19:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0xcea680…
09-15 19:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x66d40f…
09-15 19:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x400238…
09-15 19:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2d6e40…
09-15 19:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6b04d4…
09-15 19:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x12d76c…
09-15 19:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4c203b…
09-15 19:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xbe4bba…
09-15 18:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0x8ad9ce…
09-15 18:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xfd9d77…
09-15 17:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1ee45d…
09-15 17:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc8da99…
09-15 16:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x145e30…
09-15 16:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf87456…
09-15 16:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb8fe67…
09-15 16:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe62962…
09-15 16:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x245d32…
09-15 16:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xd043b4…
09-15 16:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x843e36…
09-15 16:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3c34cc…
09-15 15:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xccac6d…
09-15 15:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6aac52…
09-15 15:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xf99a55…
09-15 15:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x164eb9…
09-15 15:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5835eb…
09-15 15:46:48	bitcoin above 76k on september 15 2026	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xfe8e98…
09-15 15:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5e1537…
09-15 15:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x95128c…
09-15 15:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x70fae7…
09-15 15:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xe9384e…
09-15 15:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb0834e…
09-15 15:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x43d38f…
09-15 15:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x97c687…
09-15 15:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x05e3ef…
09-15 15:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc662f1…
09-15 15:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe102e8…
09-15 15:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbab6ec…
09-15 15:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4dd5e6…
09-15 15:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x31d7e5…
09-15 15:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb60a54…
09-15 15:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc89aee…
09-14 22:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcb629a…
09-14 22:17:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe49b40…
09-14 22:11:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x03636d…
09-14 21:33:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7a2f49…
09-14 21:32:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x3020dc…
09-14 21:30:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd65abb…
09-14 21:27:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x704be1…
09-14 21:26:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xeee627…
09-14 21:23:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7c221c…
09-14 21:21:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x047a3a…
09-14 21:18:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	12	70¢	$9	0xe94ad7…
09-14 21:17:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x741940…
09-14 21:16:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd84503…
09-14 21:14:28	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb07770…
08-10 02:26:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 10?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2b876b…
08-07 16:32:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 8?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x318743…
08-02 08:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 2?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc4d97d…
07-30 04:05:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x499ae6…
07-30 01:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4b3170…
07-30 00:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc58a38…
07-29 04:54:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 29?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbf4b6b…
07-29 01:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa8329c…
07-29 00:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 29?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x13bf32…
07-28 00:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf36313…
07-27 17:53:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 28?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3bb19d…
07-27 17:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 87°F or below on July 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc3182c…
07-27 02:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5cb610…
07-27 01:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 87°F or below on July 27?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x08d664…
07-27 00:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x815ff9…
07-26 00:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 85°F or below on July 26?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd6052d…
07-25 04:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 26?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4a9e92…
07-25 01:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 25?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x121ad2…
07-25 00:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 26?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf42d74…
07-24 00:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x884736…
07-23 01:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x923d3d…
07-23 00:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x15a84a…
07-23 00:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 87°F or below on July 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd1ade9…
07-22 00:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 22?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa1c1e8…
07-21 00:40:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 21?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd540c0…
07-21 00:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbe2b4c…
07-21 00:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 21?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdcbc9e…
07-21 00:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 22?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb3f732…
07-20 00:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 20?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6af1af…
07-19 21:56:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xa3c04c…
07-19 21:30:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xa4b886…