Thirsty-Goodnight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved

Trades

385

lifetime

Volume

$1.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-26 22:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

62% 50% +$1

Other

38% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$61	75	75	+0	open	—	02-28 06:51
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	9	$34	41	36	+5	open	—	07-22 22:24
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	19	$30	60	60	+0	open	—	07-26 22:28
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	10	$28	27	22	+5	open	—	07-21 08:37
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	03-25 13:43
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	10	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	03-26 20:49
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$22	25	25	+0	open	—	05-23 00:10
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	6	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 11:18
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-02 09:30
will iran strike uae in march	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 21:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$19	15	10	+5	open	—	04-21 11:19
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$19	25	10	+15	open	—	03-08 08:45
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	3	$18	25	25	+0	open	—	02-27 15:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	5	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	04-23 16:57
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	12	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	04-12 14:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	6	$17	25	24	+1	open	—	04-20 14:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	4	$17	14	9	+5	open	—	04-17 12:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	6	$16	20	15	+5	open	—	04-24 12:40
will iran strike jordan in march 375	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-07 11:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	04-17 13:36
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-14 18:57
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	13	$14	157	157	-0	open	—	07-13 00:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	4	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-14 23:41
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	02-28 20:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-17 14:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	5	$12	15	15	+0	open	—	04-07 21:40
israel closes its airspace by july 24	10	$12	75	75	+0	open	—	07-23 22:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$11	100	100	+0	open	—	03-03 07:49
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$11	15	15	+0	open	—	05-22 23:35
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$10	10	5	+5	open	—	04-12 00:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 22:28:22	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xd3a20c…
07-26 21:45:54	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe0435d…
07-26 21:45:22	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x7b957d…
07-26 21:44:19	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x03b674…
07-26 18:02:51	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x597205…
07-26 17:57:22	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x7a43dd…
07-24 14:45:30	will wti reach 95 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x46b072…
07-24 12:45:54	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5f7d1b…
07-24 07:37:39	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9b356c…
07-24 07:36:52	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb33a21…
07-23 22:35:34	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5bbfc6…
07-23 22:35:22	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8913b0…
07-23 22:35:10	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbf0206…
07-23 22:34:39	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x313174…
07-23 22:34:04	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x6650f7…
07-23 22:33:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xd60795…
07-23 22:01:49	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0xbe439e…
07-23 21:53:04	will wti reach 95 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7f171f…
07-23 21:49:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x68d9e8…
07-23 21:45:25	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x86a35c…
07-23 21:45:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x18a52b…
07-23 17:52:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x59ec70…
07-23 15:43:34	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x0ae9a3…
07-23 15:03:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xb0e68f…
07-23 13:32:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc5c04f…
07-23 13:32:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x6453bb…
07-23 13:31:33	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xe9ccc5…
07-22 22:27:36	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6b995c…
07-22 22:26:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xff198e…
07-22 22:24:51	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0xdfa61d…
07-22 22:24:37	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xfdef50…
07-22 10:28:06	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x716c72…
07-22 10:27:49	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0xb4cdf4…
07-22 08:39:01	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x1443fb…
07-22 08:38:57	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0x30896a…
07-22 00:39:43	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x0ad081…
07-22 00:33:45	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x0efd54…
07-22 00:31:15	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x1bd340…
07-21 23:54:58	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x0e0563…
07-21 21:17:51	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xbc5fea…
07-21 17:01:09	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x8174d2…
07-21 16:35:43	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x69189b…
07-21 14:10:12	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6c1003…
07-21 08:37:19	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4deb6c…
07-21 08:37:06	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x25e30b…
07-20 10:30:58	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xc8dba9…
07-20 10:30:49	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe22cb0…
07-20 10:30:40	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x4f270a…
07-19 03:33:31	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x12b474…
07-18 09:48:12	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x1b2fbd…
07-17 22:32:51	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xf7da01…
07-17 20:24:39	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x4cde58…
07-17 20:20:19	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xac49ce…
07-17 20:20:13	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xc57cf6…
07-17 20:20:04	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xdcf39a…
07-17 20:19:37	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x7d73a5…
07-17 20:19:27	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xdc435e…
07-17 20:19:10	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xd2c256…
07-16 21:39:20	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6a52d6…
07-16 21:39:10	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa48f27…
07-16 12:25:02	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x2d6771…
07-16 12:24:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0xf73b7f…
07-16 12:24:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x0630bc…
07-15 19:33:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xdc04ce…
07-15 15:14:28	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1f23b9…
07-15 12:51:16	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6b2d1d…
07-15 08:53:50	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x06e681…
07-14 23:08:19	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa79b6e…
07-14 19:34:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xaf4304…
07-14 14:38:43	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x2234a0…
07-14 14:38:22	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x36c6ca…
07-14 09:42:35	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x907b73…
07-14 09:14:56	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xcda6c0…
07-14 07:48:41	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x02e98e…
07-13 17:27:04	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc5e821…
07-13 17:15:10	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xfa5a8c…
07-13 08:03:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x66f154…
07-13 00:02:22	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x8e3d10…
07-12 22:52:38	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x54fd1c…
07-12 22:17:02	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x0e6906…
07-12 22:00:47	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xceb3d9…
07-12 21:23:32	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0118e5…
07-12 21:12:41	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x78f57f…
07-12 21:02:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xa06f3f…
07-12 20:36:01	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x803b6d…
07-12 20:35:01	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x33eb50…
07-12 20:07:31	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xa31b16…
07-12 19:50:44	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x929dd6…
07-12 19:43:07	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x044626…
07-12 19:24:19	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x9d92bb…
07-12 07:21:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xb2801c…
07-09 20:42:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x6ec22f…
07-09 20:42:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xef8a48…
07-09 20:41:29	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0xbdc33c…
07-08 20:39:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1dd460…
07-08 14:13:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x6f20d8…
07-07 22:03:26	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0xf03436…
07-07 22:03:26	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x4463b1…
07-07 21:58:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x175e21…
07-07 21:53:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x9d3dee…