Outgoing-Probability — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

4 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$5 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-13 09:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

79% 67% +$2

Crypto

21% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 12?	1	$2	0	20	-20	No	+$2	05-12 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 9?	1	$1	53	0	+53	No	$-1	05-09 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Up	$-1	05-07 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on May 13?	1	$1	0	17	-17	No	+$1	05-13 09:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 09:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x752486…
05-12 07:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe0d899…
05-09 03:41:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xfacac4…
05-07 14:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x266498…