Carefree-Media — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$455

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

245

Trades

913

lifetime

Volume

$45.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 06-05 13:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 79% $-455

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 316 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	23	$462	445	192	+252	Up	+$56	05-07 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$433	341	140	+201	Down	+$34	05-07 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	23	$379	363	203	+160	Down	+$54	05-08 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	32	$371	446	303	+143	Up	+$93	05-07 18:54
btc updown 5m 1776004200	3	$352	361	0	+361	open	—	04-12 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$344	391	0	+391	Down	$-98	05-07 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	9	$316	273	149	+124	Up	+$40	05-07 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$310	355	0	+355	Down	$-91	05-07 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$280	284	0	+284	Down	+$4	05-08 06:04
btc updown 5m 1776063900	2	$277	283	0	+283	open	—	04-13 07:09
btc updown 5m 1776056700	5	$242	274	0	+274	open	—	04-13 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$236	277	69	+208	Up	$-100	05-08 10:01
btc updown 5m 1776083400	2	$228	255	0	+255	open	—	04-13 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$220	261	0	+261	Down	$-101	05-07 16:34
btc updown 5m 1776003300	3	$217	221	0	+221	open	—	04-12 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$216	252	24	+228	Down	+$24	05-07 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$215	220	0	+220	Down	$-7	05-08 05:49
btc updown 5m 1776064200	3	$210	309	0	+309	open	—	04-13 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$210	216	0	+216	Up	$-8	05-08 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$210	252	0	+252	Up	+$22	05-07 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$210	227	0	+227	Up	+$17	05-07 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$210	248	0	+248	Up	+$38	05-07 15:33
btc updown 5m 1776065400	5	$210	246	17	+230	open	—	04-13 07:34
btc updown 5m 1776062700	2	$209	287	0	+287	open	—	04-13 06:48
btc updown 5m 1776083100	2	$202	230	0	+230	open	—	04-13 12:29
btc updown 5m 1776060000	2	$201	210	0	+210	open	—	04-13 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$200	336	0	+336	Up	+$136	05-07 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$200	451	0	+451	Down	$-200	05-07 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$200	286	0	+286	Down	$-45	05-07 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$200	258	0	+258	Up	+$58	05-08 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 13:36:40	btc updown 5m 1780666500	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe87401…
05-09 05:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x59a4f6…
05-09 05:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x8f5a7d…
05-09 05:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x9ccd93…
05-09 05:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x923030…
05-09 04:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4fcee1…
05-09 03:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x3fdc5c…
05-09 03:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	39	4¢	$2	0x4fdbeb…
05-09 03:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	82	79¢	$65	0x1a21ab…
05-09 03:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0xeeef2d…
05-09 03:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x4d753d…
05-09 03:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x2ca4dc…
05-09 03:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe3cfb1…
05-09 03:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xaf8586…
05-09 03:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3d9ced…
05-09 03:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x82be31…
05-09 03:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x64b315…
05-09 03:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x9104a2…
05-09 03:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x5e0880…
05-09 03:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	72	84¢	$60	0x591ea1…
05-09 03:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x89a905…
05-09 02:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x3eab1d…
05-09 02:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0x11f90c…
05-09 02:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x13c110…
05-09 02:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x28f50d…
05-09 02:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x47cb1d…
05-09 02:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xd7cd7f…
05-09 02:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xaad912…
05-09 02:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf5f6ff…
05-09 02:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x924863…
05-08 15:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xfadeca…
05-08 15:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xdb7465…
05-08 15:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x43e373…
05-08 15:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x098b7e…
05-08 15:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	16	26¢	$4	0xe91ecd…
05-08 15:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x69781e…
05-08 15:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x0f5723…
05-08 15:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xa83e41…
05-08 15:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x2b8808…
05-08 15:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4a6c3b…
05-08 15:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	99	50¢	$49	0x372f80…
05-08 15:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x4576b6…
05-08 15:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x075ce4…
05-08 15:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd4d33d…
05-08 14:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x4a0241…
05-08 14:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x944212…
05-08 14:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa6c68e…
05-08 14:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x0a475c…
05-08 14:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	49	71¢	$35	0xcaaa84…
05-08 14:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8f3a54…
05-08 14:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x953c44…
05-08 14:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x426347…
05-08 14:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xf1aa22…
05-08 14:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xba8208…
05-08 14:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc89227…
05-08 14:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x334bb2…
05-08 14:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x350300…
05-08 14:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xcd43e4…
05-08 14:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7b9bbf…
05-08 14:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x617798…
05-08 14:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4c4450…
05-08 14:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x97e46d…
05-08 13:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x3f8a29…
05-08 13:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0xc3a252…
05-08 13:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc78c49…
05-08 13:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x812ab5…
05-08 13:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xdda1e4…
05-08 13:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	57	92¢	$53	0x618afa…
05-08 13:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x65427c…
05-08 13:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x13054c…
05-08 13:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x451c79…
05-08 13:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xb01b7b…
05-08 13:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x7ee099…
05-08 13:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xfa17f3…
05-08 13:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x1b20f3…
05-08 13:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x94c818…
05-08 12:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1f669d…
05-08 12:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0x030f9a…
05-08 12:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xf548ed…
05-08 12:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xcdb402…
05-08 12:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x8f81da…
05-08 12:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc626c3…
05-08 12:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x8431cf…
05-08 12:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xeb363e…
05-08 12:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0x49432b…
05-08 12:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xd0ac32…
05-08 12:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xdd0471…
05-08 12:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x36e330…
05-08 12:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x4b4868…
05-08 12:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x082893…
05-08 12:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x9cdb32…
05-08 12:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x392730…
05-08 12:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xdf4c69…
05-08 12:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x1e9703…
05-08 12:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x6308ab…
05-08 12:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x5c61ad…
05-08 12:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0xcf50d1…
05-08 12:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x159aed…
05-08 12:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xdbc577…
05-08 12:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x47c37f…