Avaricious-Beverage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.03K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.1%

Resolved

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$106.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$403

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-15 14:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

94% 33% +$5,032

Other

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	22	$38.4K	22,117	27,134	-5,017	open	—	02-02 16:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	23	$18.4K	16,232	7,447	+8,785	Yes	$-6,623	03-24 16:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$10.8K	7,587	14,000	-6,413	Yes	+$13,255	04-21 20:36
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$8.3K	8,978	7,228	+1,750	open	—	03-24 16:13
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	4	$4.1K	3,005	3,005	+0	open	—	04-15 18:33
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	26	$3.1K	4,772	0	+4,772	open	—	03-21 04:06
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	10	$3.0K	2,136	1,902	+234	open	—	04-20 03:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$2.0K	4,371	4,371	+0	open	—	05-11 17:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$1.7K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-15 13:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.6K	1,708	0	+1,708	Yes	$-1,600	05-02 01:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$1.4K	5,996	0	+5,996	open	—	04-21 20:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$1.4K	1,148	1,148	+0	open	—	04-20 03:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$1000	1,055	0	+1,055	open	—	04-10 13:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	19	$992	5,060	0	+5,060	open	—	02-28 19:32
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	8	$882	1,032	0	+1,032	open	—	05-01 21:24
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$839	662	662	+0	open	—	04-15 18:33
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$600	857	0	+857	open	—	04-05 01:45
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	2	$561	8,460	8,460	+0	open	—	02-07 06:56
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$553	353	312	+41	open	—	04-20 03:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	14	$494	689	688	+0	open	—	05-04 02:41
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$420	857	857	+0	open	—	01-28 20:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$315	884	0	+884	open	—	02-28 19:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$313	1,389	1,389	+0	open	—	05-06 13:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$303	163	163	+0	open	—	05-11 17:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$289	631	631	+0	open	—	02-22 14:13
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	1	$253	666	0	+666	open	—	03-21 03:14
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$251	312	0	+312	open	—	04-20 21:25
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	1	$250	294	0	+294	open	—	04-20 21:30
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$230	919	0	+919	open	—	03-20 14:18
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$216	105	265	-160	open	—	01-15 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 14:02:21	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	75	29¢	$22	0xe71c65…
06-15 14:01:46	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	120	45¢	$54	0x1866b2…
06-15 13:59:15	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x97427d…
06-15 13:57:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	94¢	$939	0x0994c8…
06-14 21:57:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	77¢	$769	0xab9741…
05-11 17:49:20	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	163	94¢	$153	0xbf5efd…
05-11 17:43:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,371	20¢	$874	0x1257b8…
05-06 13:25:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,389	14¢	$198	0xca11b1…
05-04 02:41:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	666	55¢	$367	0xb9edc8…
05-04 02:41:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0x4763db…
05-04 02:06:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x9ea4b9…
05-02 18:14:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x8c578e…
05-02 04:40:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	51	15¢	$8	0xfe0129…
05-02 04:29:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd2b20c…
05-02 03:43:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x3f1ccc…
05-02 03:29:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x067551…
05-02 02:24:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xa88a74…
05-02 02:23:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x810426…
05-02 01:32:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xbba791…
05-02 01:19:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	163	92¢	$150	0x4bfd60…
05-02 01:18:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xf6797e…
05-02 01:18:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x65b707…
05-02 01:18:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xc741d2…
05-02 01:18:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8f2163…
05-02 01:18:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	589	17¢	$100	0x1b497f…
05-02 01:08:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,067	94¢	$1,000	0xcbf02b…
05-02 01:07:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	641	94¢	$600	0xf85cfc…
05-02 01:05:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,056	9¢	$95	0x10460d…
05-01 21:24:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	266	94¢	$250	0x3de925…
05-01 21:22:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xbba2f7…
05-01 21:21:20	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x033901…
05-01 21:20:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	287	23¢	$66	0xdbbb96…
05-01 21:19:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,087	23¢	$250	0x8774ad…
05-01 19:16:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	652	23¢	$150	0x6eeeec…
04-28 21:27:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,220	30¢	$666	0x630af2…
04-23 17:12:42	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,414	7¢	$99	0x7d1c38…
04-21 20:36:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	1,186	14¢	$166	0x831ac6…
04-21 20:36:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x8124d8…
04-20 21:30:28	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	BUY	294	85¢	$250	0x81a31d…
04-20 21:27:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	90	34¢	$30	0x670c56…
04-20 21:27:30	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	138	17¢	$23	0x29337c…
04-20 21:25:06	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x544cff…
04-20 03:47:28	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x88d026…
04-20 03:47:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	41	81¢	$33	0x983550…
04-20 03:37:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	2,988	26¢	$777	0x32713d…
04-20 03:35:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	1,281	26¢	$333	0x362697…
04-20 03:34:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	423	26¢	$110	0x1a2373…
04-20 03:34:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	1,148	62¢	$712	0x85e683…
04-20 03:33:10	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	240	33¢	$80	0x6b2c60…
04-20 03:32:20	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	234	9¢	$22	0x97d507…
04-20 03:31:50	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	255	78¢	$200	0xa8e956…
04-16 19:39:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	69¢	$36	0x15f74e…
04-16 19:30:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x018b3a…
04-16 19:29:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	69¢	$16	0xe684cc…
04-16 19:25:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x20e803…
04-16 19:16:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x5a9107…
04-16 19:14:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	BUY	75	19¢	$14	0xc5c779…
04-16 19:00:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	118	28¢	$33	0xc95c48…
04-16 18:54:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	40¢	$33	0x646a8f…
04-16 18:47:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,154	26¢	$300	0xc00409…
04-15 18:43:48	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	243	78¢	$190	0x23b781…
04-15 18:43:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	255	78¢	$199	0x7e5fd0…
04-15 18:43:10	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0xf94a59…
04-15 18:42:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xfb7e8a…
04-15 18:40:28	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	194	17¢	$33	0x707ebe…
04-15 18:39:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xbfb9ac…
04-15 18:39:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6c91b2…
04-15 18:34:06	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	312	86¢	$270	0x9e259c…
04-15 18:33:52	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	662	90¢	$595	0x55b4b7…
04-15 18:33:34	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	3,005	90¢	$2,710	0x4759ac…
04-15 18:33:10	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,902	94¢	$1,786	0x026dd9…
04-15 00:00:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	1,148	58¢	$666	0x8a8e75…
04-14 23:59:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	240	46¢	$109	0xb30fac…
04-14 23:58:48	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	69	28¢	$19	0x510e67…
04-14 23:57:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,143	3¢	$40	0x88cb98…
04-14 23:57:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,388	9¢	$125	0x20b45d…
04-14 23:56:04	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	312	80¢	$250	0xed56ac…
04-10 13:53:41	US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	533	3¢	$18	0x8c2520…
04-10 13:51:47	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	87	92¢	$80	0x0da845…
04-10 13:50:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x8828ae…
04-10 13:49:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,055	95¢	$1,000	0x8f884a…
04-10 13:46:55	will tisza win at least 130 seats	No	BUY	127	71¢	$90	0x78088b…
04-10 13:44:55	will tisza win at least 120 seats	No	BUY	168	50¢	$84	0xbaab2a…
04-10 13:44:39	will tisza win at least 120 seats	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x35c71b…
04-10 13:43:45	will tisza win at least 100 seats	No	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x33da80…
04-05 01:49:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	99	76¢	$75	0x392434…
04-05 01:49:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x43041e…
04-05 01:45:51	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	857	70¢	$600	0x018bc7…
04-05 01:44:51	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0x77d409…
04-05 01:44:15	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	181	47¢	$85	0xf7e1d2…
04-05 01:44:01	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	220	30¢	$66	0xe6a676…
04-03 16:25:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	606	33¢	$200	0xb85d3d…
04-03 16:24:59	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	555	60¢	$333	0x1f03c9…
04-02 01:48:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	333	71¢	$237	0xeec64e…
04-02 01:48:35	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,179	51¢	$1,111	0x228f6e…
03-24 16:13:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,326	86¢	$2,000	0xc9742b…
03-24 16:13:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,750	54¢	$945	0xaefc4b…
03-23 14:43:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	7,228	45¢	$3,260	0x66655c…
03-21 11:29:17	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	415	64¢	$266	0x14f4ff…
03-21 09:33:31	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xd7f6e3…