Buoyant-Knee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.6%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$1.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 07-29 10:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

57% 100% +$0

Other

17% — —

Crypto

15% 0% $-20

Politics

11% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	12	$365	611	611	+0	open	—	04-23 05:26
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	12	$304	596	596	+0	open	—	04-16 14:16
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	12	$197	198	198	+0	Yes	$-2	04-30 20:10
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$181	188	188	+0	open	—	04-20 18:36
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	8	$177	211	211	+0	open	—	05-01 00:23
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$154	358	358	+0	open	—	04-19 07:37
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	16	$109	109	109	+0	open	—	07-27 20:34
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	12	$83	83	83	+0	open	—	07-27 08:27
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$64	144	144	+0	open	—	04-13 14:21
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	4	$62	37	37	+0	open	—	06-04 02:18
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$49	31	30	+1	open	—	04-25 14:25
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	12	$43	43	43	+0	open	—	07-29 10:28
Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$20	77	0	+77	open	—	04-24 15:07
Pharos FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$20	72	0	+72	open	—	04-24 15:06
Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	1	$20	134	0	+134	open	—	04-24 15:06
Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$20	690	0	+690	Yes	$-20	04-24 15:06
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-13 05:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$6	28	28	+0	open	—	07-02 20:58
btc updown 5m 1776052500	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 03:57
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$1	70	70	+0	No	+$0	04-13 16:00
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$0	5	5	+0	open	—	04-13 05:51
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$0	76	0	+76	open	—	04-13 14:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 10:28:20	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x6ae248…
07-29 10:28:06	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2069af…
07-27 20:34:34	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xba3d34…
07-27 20:29:16	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x2ed44f…
07-27 08:27:34	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	13	49¢	$7	0x7acdf5…
07-27 08:21:36	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x9a34be…
07-24 19:32:52	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x1f1737…
07-24 19:25:27	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x16877c…
07-24 07:21:04	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0x5ef5ff…
07-24 07:12:43	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x231545…
07-23 06:46:55	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	15	49¢	$8	0x76985f…
07-23 06:41:01	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x1ce679…
07-23 06:39:54	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	13	50¢	$6	0x7f4737…
07-23 06:39:40	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xcb879d…
07-21 06:07:15	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x70dc72…
07-21 05:57:19	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x0df306…
07-20 17:55:52	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0x38b415…
07-20 17:48:46	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xf1c73a…
07-06 22:33:44	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xde3d3a…
07-06 22:27:43	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x15598e…
07-05 21:49:02	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x4db956…
07-05 21:48:50	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xfef0c4…
07-05 09:39:29	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x87c4f9…
07-05 09:39:16	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc35eef…
07-04 21:32:07	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x3ddaf6…
07-04 21:31:53	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe5ad1d…
07-02 20:58:25	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	11¢	$3	0xe2cc12…
07-02 20:48:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0x989c50…
06-29 19:48:10	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x3cc8ee…
06-29 19:47:56	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xe8ecbd…
06-29 07:46:26	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0xd5efac…
06-29 07:42:20	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x07d292…
06-28 19:36:04	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x042997…
06-28 19:24:58	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3611ec…
06-28 07:21:29	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x82c139…
06-28 07:16:05	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x6b3164…
06-19 14:23:25	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0x3365f5…
06-19 03:09:46	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xe03939…
06-04 02:18:52	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0x0aa160…
06-03 20:43:27	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x8e095c…
05-29 18:14:33	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	19	82¢	$16	0xcc783f…
05-29 07:46:59	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0xdcb57d…
05-28 19:24:39	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0x862edf…
05-28 09:14:36	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x42d26d…
05-28 08:59:28	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	SELL	31	49¢	$15	0xab0ba5…
05-27 21:53:30	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0xc4a84d…
05-01 00:23:06	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xd50991…
04-30 23:10:44	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xfda673…
04-30 20:10:22	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	25	42¢	$10	0x7186ed…
04-30 18:58:50	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0xf153ec…
04-25 14:25:14	Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x083203…
04-24 15:07:04	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xa33c0a…
04-24 15:06:52	Pharos FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0x41f129…
04-24 15:06:36	Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	690	3¢	$20	0xf30a92…
04-24 15:06:18	Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xa0ff39…
04-24 15:06:00	Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	No	BUY	134	15¢	$20	0xcf1bb9…
04-24 14:46:58	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	96	30¢	$29	0x531e5c…
04-24 03:10:08	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	96	30¢	$29	0xc92191…
04-23 05:26:28	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0x54bbe1…
04-22 17:29:06	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x29d11b…
04-22 17:13:54	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	31	66¢	$20	0xa568a1…
04-22 05:51:18	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0x270ddf…
04-21 17:48:12	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0x6a9e4f…
04-21 06:19:22	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xf847e5…
04-20 18:37:08	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	317	13¢	$42	0xf1d9c4…
04-20 18:36:54	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	98	48¢	$47	0x93cd38…
04-20 18:08:20	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	98	49¢	$48	0xc5e31d…
04-20 14:32:58	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	317	14¢	$43	0x201d67…
04-20 10:12:34	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	54	86¢	$47	0x1058db…
04-20 09:02:42	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	54	87¢	$47	0x5bcb3f…
04-20 05:14:28	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	48	53¢	$25	0x65e230…
04-20 05:13:40	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	48	54¢	$26	0xe45e9c…
04-20 03:13:38	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	35	78¢	$27	0xe010ed…
04-20 03:05:18	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	35	79¢	$28	0x5eefcf…
04-19 17:49:12	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	43	47¢	$20	0x5a3800…
04-19 17:40:28	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0xc205ad…
04-19 11:04:24	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	47	47¢	$22	0xe4b0bc…
04-19 10:54:34	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	47	48¢	$22	0xe1dc9f…
04-19 10:39:34	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	154	12¢	$18	0x8e4055…
04-19 10:30:56	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	154	12¢	$19	0x9c0424…
04-19 07:37:26	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	166	13¢	$22	0x2ef76a…
04-19 07:30:48	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	166	14¢	$23	0xde9590…
04-19 00:29:24	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	27	88¢	$24	0x78070c…
04-19 00:24:16	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0xf9af51…
04-19 00:09:14	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	54	46¢	$25	0x004c6a…
04-19 00:00:34	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	54	47¢	$25	0x61ff5d…
04-18 01:39:36	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	138	14¢	$20	0x6ee9a7…
04-18 01:20:36	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	138	15¢	$21	0x5794e9…
04-17 22:04:42	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	51	53¢	$27	0x2e48c9…
04-17 21:52:26	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	51	54¢	$28	0x69aa7c…
04-16 14:16:38	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	38	78¢	$29	0x532a4e…
04-16 14:10:54	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	38	78¢	$29	0x941cd7…
04-16 07:13:44	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	112	22¢	$25	0xda2e94…
04-16 07:08:36	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	112	22¢	$25	0xe33488…
04-16 01:33:38	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	87	22¢	$19	0x4f0cd8…
04-16 01:23:52	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x4caaa1…
04-15 10:37:34	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	125	22¢	$27	0x702640…
04-15 10:32:04	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	125	22¢	$28	0xecffb0…
04-13 18:52:33	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	115	21¢	$24	0xb2d35b…
04-13 18:50:59	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	115	22¢	$25	0xdfaafc…