Regal-Analgesia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$219

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-08 08:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

76% 100% +$1

Other

19% 0% $-1

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes		-31	$-21	72¢	$-22	$-1	07-08 08:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$4.2K	2,168	2,168	+0	open	—	06-07 00:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$2.7K	1,379	1,379	+0	open	—	05-22 06:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$2.5K	1,269	1,269	+0	open	—	05-19 05:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$1.9K	2,210	0	+2,210	open	—	06-15 01:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.6K	2,051	0	+2,051	open	—	05-25 00:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$1.5K	1,574	0	+1,574	open	—	05-22 06:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	1	$1.4K	1,681	0	+1,681	open	—	06-14 00:02
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$302	901	0	+901	open	—	06-07 00:57
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	2	$267	141	141	+0	open	—	05-21 01:23
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$209	109	109	+0	open	—	04-26 12:55
gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	1	$200	222	0	+222	open	—	07-02 01:11
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	1	$194	213	0	+213	open	—	06-25 09:27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$80	89	0	+89	open	—	04-26 12:58
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	1	$68	109	0	+109	open	—	06-14 00:03
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	3	$58	72	29	+43	open	—	04-27 02:41
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$54	33	33	+0	open	—	02-07 03:55
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	3	$52	146	22	+124	open	—	04-26 12:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$46	34	34	+0	open	—	06-14 00:00
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	3	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	05-02 14:37
will the new york knicks finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba eastern conference	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	03-30 01:24
will solana reach 150 in march 2026	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	03-11 05:40
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$36	26	26	+0	open	—	04-16 03:02
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-15 02:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-26 12:55
spx opens up or down on january 27 2026	1	$32	39	0	+39	open	—	01-27 07:02
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$32	18	18	+0	open	—	04-26 12:54
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	06-25 12:56
will kenneth walker iii win the super bowl lx mvp	1	$31	33	0	+33	open	—	02-09 03:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$29	28	28	+0	open	—	04-26 12:54
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	1	$28	32	0	+32	open	—	01-02 02:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 08:47:53	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	31	67¢	$21	0x11a22a…
07-02 01:11:23	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	Yes	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xa72fe6…
06-29 05:24:26	will magicblock launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xbdd040…
06-25 12:56:01	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xb811aa…
06-25 09:27:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	213	91¢	$194	0xe1c6ae…
06-25 09:27:34	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x184246…
06-25 09:27:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	18	68¢	$12	0xee1884…
06-23 07:11:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xe85e03…
06-23 07:10:52	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xc46963…
06-15 02:49:34	will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x1b08c2…
06-15 01:10:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	274	22¢	$60	0x82aee5…
06-14 00:03:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	BUY	109	62¢	$68	0x768176…
06-14 00:02:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	1,681	84¢	$1,405	0xa3ff39…
06-14 00:00:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	34	51¢	$17	0x836472…
06-07 00:58:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0x30f2e0…
06-07 00:57:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,936	94¢	$1,820	0x0508b1…
06-07 00:57:31	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	901	34¢	$302	0xaa938c…
06-07 00:57:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	2,168	99¢	$2,151	0x4b5ba4…
06-02 01:04:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2,168	95¢	$2,060	0x3a9250…
06-02 01:04:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x87ba72…
05-25 00:58:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,051	78¢	$1,600	0x2676ab…
05-22 06:23:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,574	97¢	$1,530	0x5cd5e3…
05-22 06:23:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1,379	98¢	$1,346	0x411b57…
05-22 06:22:51	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0x7fa45e…
05-21 01:24:12	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xd22e77…
05-21 01:23:09	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	141	97¢	$137	0xa10ea1…
05-19 05:18:57	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	141	92¢	$130	0xd8b01a…
05-19 05:18:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1,379	96¢	$1,320	0x32c695…
05-19 05:16:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1,269	100¢	$1,268	0x1de342…
05-16 08:50:16	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xa04c7d…
05-16 08:48:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	1,269	95¢	$1,206	0x197af3…
05-09 05:22:52	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x324785…
05-02 14:37:26	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	467	0¢	$1	0x15476a…
05-02 14:37:08	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x271eda…
04-27 02:41:58	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	43	40¢	$17	0x6b7199…
04-27 02:41:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	29	60¢	$17	0xcf4110…
04-26 12:58:58	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x72c1e7…
04-26 12:58:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	90¢	$80	0xf3ae7c…
04-26 12:56:48	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	25¢	$31	0x10caf9…
04-26 12:55:44	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0xe9d70d…
04-26 12:55:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0x563850…
04-26 12:55:16	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x568337…
04-26 12:55:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xa51006…
04-26 12:54:50	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0xe84def…
04-26 12:54:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0xc5e1fb…
04-26 12:54:34	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	24¢	$5	0x89c578…
04-16 03:03:00	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x68ef5c…
04-16 03:02:44	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	26	59¢	$15	0x1f5725…
04-15 02:21:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x408564…
04-15 02:21:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x7378be…
04-15 02:20:52	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf00300…
04-03 05:35:11	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xa2da0d…
04-03 05:34:11	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xd7ce17…
03-30 01:25:16	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xd6b289…
03-30 01:24:46	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x738938…
03-30 01:24:16	will the new york knicks finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba eastern conference	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x488937…
03-20 10:34:15	will the new york knicks finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba eastern conference	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x18255a…
03-20 10:34:03	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xc77869…
03-20 10:33:51	will charles hittler be the next mayor of arcis sur aube	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xeed1c9…
03-11 05:41:55	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xd82918…
03-11 05:41:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xdbc9a6…
03-11 05:40:35	will solana reach 150 in march 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xe2a93f…
03-11 05:40:27	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	22	33¢	$7	0xd89397…
03-11 05:40:21	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0x13764e…
03-03 08:38:45	will solana reach 150 in march 2026	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xc12f03…
03-03 08:37:09	will paradex launch a token on march 4	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xd484ee…
03-03 08:35:21	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0xa765fa…
03-03 08:30:23	will james talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the democratic senate primary in texas	Yes	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0xcd8ac4…
02-27 02:25:34	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x8e7052…
02-27 02:24:46	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x14b735…
02-27 02:24:30	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0xd2653b…
02-19 11:00:36	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0x4d3821…
02-09 03:15:51	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x35e9f4…
02-09 03:14:31	will kenneth walker iii win the super bowl lx mvp	Yes	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0xd35701…
02-09 03:14:19	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x55de5d…
02-07 03:56:35	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x7f2621…
02-07 03:56:05	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0x27d14c…
02-07 03:55:45	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	33	72¢	$24	0x69189f…
01-27 07:02:01	spx opens up or down on january 27 2026	Up	BUY	39	83¢	$32	0x8a5a72…
01-15 12:12:38	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,929	1¢	$12	0x106d13…
01-12 02:57:28	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x5d424b…
01-05 08:10:11	over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	Yes	BUY	27	84¢	$23	0x1d8a95…
01-02 02:21:07	us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	No	BUY	32	87¢	$28	0xed790c…