Thorny-Muscle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

106

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$373

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-24 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% $-50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$34	75	75	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	5	$18	21	18	+3	Up	+$1	05-09 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	5	$10	21	5	+16	Down	$-5	05-08 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$10	129	0	+129	Up	$-10	05-08 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	$-10	05-07 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$9	18	7	+11	Up	$-2	05-09 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$9	17	0	+17	Down	+$8	05-07 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	7	$9	11	7	+4	Up	+$3	05-08 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$8	11	3	+8	Up	+$2	05-09 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	3	$8	10	6	+4	Down	+$1	05-09 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$8	9	0	+9	Up	+$2	05-09 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	05-10 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$6	29	4	+25	Down	+$0	05-07 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$6	9	4	+5	Down	+$2	05-07 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$5	7	5	+1	Up	$-1	05-09 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$5	10	7	+3	Up	$-1	05-09 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	+$8	05-09 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-07 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$5	38	0	+38	Down	$-5	05-09 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-08 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-5	05-07 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	$-5	05-07 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-07 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-08 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 14:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 12:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf49802…
05-24 12:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbbe460…
05-10 02:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2ea339…
05-10 02:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xcb8011…
05-10 02:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x007780…
05-10 01:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd93ef9…
05-10 01:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7d7e20…
05-10 01:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7bf85d…
05-09 20:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xef44b0…
05-09 20:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xce7c44…
05-09 19:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xaa1f4e…
05-09 19:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x0e9309…
05-09 19:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x200bab…
05-09 19:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x2f4314…
05-09 19:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x47f39b…
05-09 19:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x521188…
05-09 19:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x19d905…
05-09 17:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd24f1b…
05-09 17:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xc0b58a…
05-09 17:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xc6e6c1…
05-09 17:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x275707…
05-09 17:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9e7cdf…
05-09 17:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0xabba23…
05-09 17:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4dae74…
05-09 17:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x5dc7cc…
05-09 17:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8c3014…
05-09 17:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0e1e61…
05-09 17:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x5b3a70…
05-09 17:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8cafee…
05-09 16:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x2e2b4b…
05-09 16:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$6	0x55c457…
05-09 16:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x5b6752…
05-09 16:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x10e64a…
05-09 16:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x564e9c…
05-09 16:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb4c027…
05-09 16:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xc6cc88…
05-09 16:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xde4068…
05-09 16:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x2ea7d5…
05-09 16:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xeab255…
05-09 16:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd54523…
05-09 16:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xfd17a7…
05-09 16:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xfef97b…
05-09 15:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xa7aaaa…
05-09 15:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5a2bb3…
05-09 15:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x51db61…
05-09 15:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xd94392…
05-09 15:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xcf7ccd…
05-09 15:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xeb7906…
05-09 14:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8fb324…
05-09 14:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x381f6b…
05-09 14:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x4bc220…
05-09 14:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd16e42…
05-09 14:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xa89c81…
05-09 14:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xecba5e…
05-09 14:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdbf745…
05-09 14:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x89f5b5…
05-09 14:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x20cc99…
05-09 14:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9bc673…
05-09 14:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0xcf766b…
05-09 14:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x65f11d…
05-09 14:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xb0b454…
05-09 14:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd4be49…
05-09 14:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3d0a4f…
05-09 01:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf1c704…
05-09 01:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x30344f…
05-09 01:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xbc0ae7…
05-09 00:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xfff7d1…
05-09 00:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x3d9a42…
05-09 00:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe4e63a…
05-09 00:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	46¢	$5	0x6f4edb…
05-09 00:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x040c69…
05-09 00:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	28	31¢	$9	0x891b2f…
05-09 00:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	20¢	$6	0xd0e976…
05-09 00:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	48	20¢	$10	0x7df672…
05-09 00:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xce5ece…
05-09 00:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x82e392…
05-09 00:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x72fa56…
05-09 00:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x02e8df…
05-09 00:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xd323df…
05-09 00:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xe33b59…
05-09 00:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x131a66…
05-09 00:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x533e40…
05-09 00:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd7dc89…
05-09 00:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe2e757…
05-09 00:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xfe1fb2…
05-09 00:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb77f76…
05-09 00:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x27eed3…
05-09 00:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x54d0a8…
05-09 00:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xb89477…
05-09 00:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x6d7d37…
05-08 23:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x675262…
05-08 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xca666e…
05-08 23:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xa8b3c0…
05-08 23:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x893e19…
05-08 23:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9ede33…
05-08 23:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe3df72…
05-08 23:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	129	8¢	$10	0x59ba21…
05-08 23:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x29c543…
05-08 23:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xdefecf…
05-08 23:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa76f15…