Lively-Rhinoceros — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$39

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 05-09 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 15% -$16

Other

13% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	05-09 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$5	23	0	+23	Down	-$5	05-09 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-09 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Down	-$5	05-09 13:18
bitcoin above 90k on january 21	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$2	01-21 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$2	17	0	+17	Up	-$2	05-09 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$2	15	0	+15	Up	-$2	05-09 13:47
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 260 279	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-24 19:25
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 390m by january 31 726	1	$1	71	0	+71	Yes	-$1	01-27 14:06
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	01-30 17:30
bitcoin up or down january 23 1pm et	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$1	01-23 20:14
bitcoin up or down january 21 12pm et	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$1	01-21 18:21
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 280 299	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	01-24 19:26
solana up or down on january 23	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$1	01-24 04:30
bitcoin up or down on january 25	1	$1	125	0	+125	Down	-$1	01-25 16:07
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	1	$1	204	0	+204	No	-$1	01-21 18:19
bitcoin up or down on january 30	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$1	01-30 17:40
bitcoin up or down on january 24	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$1	01-24 17:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 13:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x9beab5…
05-09 13:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x1e105a…
05-09 13:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x76563a…
05-09 13:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd1c624…
05-09 13:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x51cc7f…
05-09 12:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xaf6946…
01-30 17:40:28	bitcoin up or down on january 30	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0c6988…
01-30 17:30:38	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x79e2c0…
01-27 14:06:57	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 390m by january 31 726	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xe128a4…
01-25 16:07:18	bitcoin up or down on january 25	Up	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x699991…
01-24 19:26:04	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 280 299	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x175dd8…
01-24 19:25:42	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 260 279	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2f7935…
01-24 17:03:12	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd12eef…
01-24 04:30:08	solana up or down on january 23	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x33c2c7…
01-23 20:14:24	bitcoin up or down january 23 1pm et	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1c263d…
01-21 18:21:42	bitcoin up or down january 21 12pm et	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x39281e…
01-21 18:19:42	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	Yes	BUY	204	0¢	$1	0x3cd13c…
01-21 18:02:22	bitcoin above 90k on january 21	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5b138e…
01-21 16:00:06	bitcoin above 90k on january 21	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb42acf…