Well-Off-Porter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.18K

Unrealized P&L

-$62

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$119.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$705

Open exposure

$186

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-09 16:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

66% 0% $-14,803

Sports

25% 100% +$5,613

Crypto

6% — —

Other

3% 100% +$5

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		+260	$248	72¢	$186	$-62	06-01 16:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$29.5K	35,080	0	+35,080	Thunder	+$5,613	05-12 03:53
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	35	$22.9K	26,593	8,750	+17,842	open	—	03-02 20:54
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	17	$18.1K	21,500	0	+21,500	open	—	03-27 16:42
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$16.5K	9,021	9,021	+0	open	—	02-28 06:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$14.8K	30,614	0	+30,614	Yes	$-14,803	05-08 18:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	19	$7.5K	17,353	1,749	+15,604	open	—	06-01 14:40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	4	$5.1K	9,601	9,601	+0	open	—	05-29 15:56
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	6	$1.8K	1,009	1,009	+0	open	—	05-15 12:05
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	5	$1.4K	1,789	1,789	+0	open	—	05-29 15:46
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	17	$618	16,262	16,930	-667	open	—	01-03 12:36
will axiom be accused of insider trading	4	$399	400	0	+400	open	—	02-26 13:44
WTT - Men's Singles: South Korea vs China	2	$349	354	0	+354	China	+$5	05-08 13:37
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	1	$248	260	0	+260	open	—	06-01 16:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$176	500	500	+0	open	—	06-09 16:46
btc updown 5m 1773324300	35	$151	386	0	+386	open	—	03-12 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$59	150	0	+150	open	—	04-28 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	8	$50	200	0	+200	open	—	04-28 13:17
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$24	100	0	+100	open	—	02-28 06:45
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	1	$15	100	0	+100	open	—	02-28 06:45
btc updown 5m 1773324900	1	$0	3	0	+3	open	—	03-12 14:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:46:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	204	19¢	$39	0xff15ce…
06-09 16:40:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	296	21¢	$62	0x165de1…
06-08 10:35:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0xc44069…
06-01 16:02:04	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	260	95¢	$248	0x13d840…
06-01 14:40:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8,997	35¢	$3,140	0x52b004…
06-01 13:31:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xfe5c04…
06-01 13:30:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	443	28¢	$122	0xf4ffb6…
06-01 13:30:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x5f7bbb…
06-01 13:30:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	239	28¢	$66	0x155d38…
06-01 13:30:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xd4fb65…
06-01 13:30:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,329	28¢	$367	0xca4dbc…
06-01 12:52:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	803	22¢	$177	0x4485d7…
06-01 12:52:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x26fb84…
06-01 12:52:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xe70f93…
06-01 12:52:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	684	22¢	$150	0x8cd243…
06-01 12:52:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,007	22¢	$442	0x49cb52…
06-01 12:48:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	19¢	$189	0x87233a…
06-01 12:47:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,749	81¢	$1,411	0x7001b4…
06-01 12:11:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xe13ff4…
06-01 12:11:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	234	82¢	$191	0xb105f2…
06-01 12:11:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	80¢	$320	0x8cf372…
06-01 12:11:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x2b751c…
06-01 12:08:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,098	79¢	$868	0x683d7f…
05-29 15:56:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	SELL	1,880	74¢	$1,391	0xe61d2c…
05-29 15:46:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	1,880	75¢	$1,410	0x3737b9…
05-29 15:46:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,789	45¢	$805	0xc64057…
05-29 14:53:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	7,721	20¢	$1,544	0xd6a084…
05-29 14:52:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	7,721	10¢	$772	0x0c44ba…
05-28 14:33:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	35¢	$175	0xba5c8e…
05-28 14:29:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	35¢	$175	0x9929ca…
05-28 14:28:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	539	35¢	$189	0xe0c8af…
05-28 14:28:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	250	35¢	$87	0x03a56d…
05-15 12:05:33	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	323	99¢	$320	0x3aa1f0…
05-15 12:02:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x96dc57…
05-15 11:55:47	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	652	99¢	$647	0xb9f98e…
05-15 11:27:35	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x50b005…
05-12 12:57:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	767	83¢	$638	0x7d935d…
05-12 12:57:29	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	242	83¢	$201	0x7d8178…
05-12 03:53:07	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	35,080	84¢	$29,467	0x3e67a0…
05-08 18:38:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20,200	47¢	$9,494	0x350805…
05-08 18:37:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,238	46¢	$2,881	0x8f321d…
05-08 18:35:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xd77bb0…
05-08 18:28:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,141	58¢	$2,414	0x990d5c…
05-08 13:37:47	WTT - Men's Singles: South Korea vs China	China	BUY	314	100¢	$314	0xdad6c0…
05-08 12:39:57	WTT - Men's Singles: South Korea vs China	China	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x10a615…
04-28 13:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2094b1…
04-28 13:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xfc7f35…
04-28 13:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe33963…
04-28 13:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	53	25¢	$13	0xe31141…
04-28 13:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x91d5cd…
04-28 13:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	42	25¢	$10	0x82a14d…
04-28 13:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x55b954…
04-28 13:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x36d9be…
04-28 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	91	39¢	$36	0x94dc42…
04-28 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x7f00f9…
04-28 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x42fe75…
04-28 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x329ce3…
03-27 16:42:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	11,500	82¢	$9,430	0x7cfeaa…
03-26 20:46:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5,000	87¢	$4,350	0xb02999…
03-26 20:41:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	120	87¢	$105	0xe75c7e…
03-26 20:41:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x0587f2…
03-26 20:41:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	150	87¢	$130	0x2104ac…
03-26 20:41:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x65a798…
03-26 20:41:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2,000	87¢	$1,740	0x86aef5…
03-26 20:41:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	137	87¢	$119	0x06cf5b…
03-26 20:41:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x1c45ee…
03-26 20:41:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x2b3379…
03-26 20:41:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xc945a4…
03-26 20:41:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x7d530c…
03-26 20:40:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	616	87¢	$536	0xeced63…
03-26 20:40:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	767	87¢	$667	0x166b80…
03-26 20:40:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0xf7261a…
03-26 20:40:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x37f1c0…
03-26 20:40:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x9741eb…
03-12 14:16:57	btc updown 5m 1773324900	Down	BUY	3	19¢	$0	0x2f77f5…
03-12 14:06:21	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xfde98f…
03-12 14:06:21	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xf5c9a4…
03-12 14:06:21	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xe58947…
03-12 14:06:21	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0xd5366b…
03-12 14:06:21	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xba60bc…
03-12 14:06:21	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xb665f3…
03-12 14:06:21	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xb17e83…
03-12 14:06:21	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x92ed2a…
03-12 14:06:21	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x85585c…
03-12 14:06:21	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x664442…
03-12 14:06:21	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x2c7abf…
03-12 14:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xf77437…
03-12 14:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xdf5575…
03-12 14:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xd68838…
03-12 14:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xd5f659…
03-12 14:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd5bfd3…
03-12 14:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xbae6c4…
03-12 14:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xaf8f7d…
03-12 14:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xac15cf…
03-12 14:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x96c24d…
03-12 14:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x8cc8b1…
03-12 14:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x725190…
03-12 14:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6d64d5…
03-12 14:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x632edd…
03-12 14:06:19	btc updown 5m 1773324300	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$3	0x1f475c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	15	$7.60M	10,607	06-10 02:52
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	14	$110.4K	894	06-09 16:46
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	14	$5.33K	306	06-02 12:21
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	13	$2.12M	5,567	06-10 02:52
Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8	13	$672.4K	1,936	06-09 20:06
Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65	13	$399.2K	862	06-09 14:45
Grumpy-Urn 0x0845…6b6f	13	$311.8K	654	06-07 14:27
Understated-Patient 0xefde…783d	13	$204.8K	1,298	06-01 17:44