Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
79.8%
Resolved
2
Trades
19
lifetime
Volume
$328
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 04-30 15:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
61%
50%
$-19
Other
39%
—
—
Activity
No trades on file.
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 2 | $94 | 66 | 66 | +0 | Yes | +$5 | 03-29 17:26 |
| houthi military action against saudi arabia by march 31 | 2 | $64 | 36 | 36 | +0 | open | — | 03-27 02:12 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30? | 5 | $54 | 0 | 110 | -110 | open | — | 04-07 17:28 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027? | 1 | $24 | 38 | 0 | +38 | Yes | $-24 | 04-05 06:45 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 2 | $23 | 13 | 13 | +0 | open | — | 03-25 20:34 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 2 | $21 | 16 | 16 | +0 | open | — | 03-26 17:39 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | 2 | $20 | 10 | 10 | +0 | open | — | 04-30 15:15 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597 | 1 | $13 | 13 | 0 | +13 | open | — | 03-26 05:53 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | 1 | $10 | 11 | 0 | +11 | open | — | 03-24 17:49 |
| military action against iran ends by march 31 2026 | 1 | $5 | 6 | 0 | +6 | open | — | 03-24 18:00 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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