Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

Trades

589

lifetime

Volume

$47.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 07-08 06:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

88% — —

Other

10% 22% +$73

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	13	$6.3K	5,977	5,977	+0	open	—	04-07 23:18
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	28	$4.7K	3,732	3,732	+0	open	—	03-21 20:32
will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	40	$2.0K	1,578	1,578	+0	open	—	03-30 12:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$1.8K	1,470	1,470	+0	open	—	03-23 17:16
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	16	$1.7K	1,281	1,281	+0	open	—	04-12 11:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	13	$1.6K	2,063	2,063	+0	open	—	03-29 02:20
iran leadership change by march 31	4	$1.5K	2,950	2,950	+0	open	—	03-20 07:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	14	$1.4K	1,494	1,494	+0	open	—	04-21 11:00
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$1.4K	894	894	+0	open	—	04-04 07:27
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	6	$1.2K	665	665	+0	open	—	04-06 21:12
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?	23	$1.2K	1,161	1,161	+0	open	—	04-07 14:53
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	9	$1.1K	1,098	1,098	+0	open	—	03-31 11:33
houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	6	$1.1K	954	954	+0	open	—	04-04 17:41
will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	33	$938	813	813	+0	open	—	03-29 09:58
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$926	730	730	+0	open	—	04-16 15:39
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	6	$865	500	500	+0	open	—	04-10 10:32
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 2, 2026?	4	$804	429	429	+0	open	—	04-05 18:32
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	8	$797	760	760	+0	open	—	03-24 09:05
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?	4	$768	427	427	+0	open	—	04-05 08:19
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	12	$734	458	458	+0	open	—	03-27 21:39
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	7	$724	570	570	+0	open	—	03-16 21:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$708	800	800	+0	open	—	03-20 21:45
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	11	$654	651	651	+0	Yes	+$77	04-04 19:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	9	$615	637	637	+0	open	—	04-21 21:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	18	$578	1,187	1,187	+0	open	—	04-21 19:52
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	15	$565	786	786	+0	open	—	04-05 14:29
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	6	$555	500	500	+0	open	—	04-16 06:42
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$553	350	350	+0	open	—	03-16 07:31
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	10	$524	590	590	+0	open	—	04-09 18:33
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$499	300	300	+0	open	—	03-16 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 06:52:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	464	69¢	$320	0xc8aa20…
07-08 06:50:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	326	100¢	$326	0x297cf8…
07-07 12:57:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	248	18¢	$45	0x38e56c…
07-06 21:11:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xa0a4ef…
07-06 19:16:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	56	63¢	$36	0x24ae8a…
07-06 19:15:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x6fc1f8…
07-06 19:07:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	54	88¢	$47	0xc07e82…
07-02 04:51:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	32	71¢	$23	0x808431…
07-02 04:51:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	26	86¢	$23	0x82a93f…
07-02 04:50:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x0bf02a…
06-20 20:32:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x607cae…
06-20 19:26:22	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	159	12¢	$19	0x429dfb…
06-18 08:56:59	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	154	61¢	$94	0x46d496…
06-18 08:54:14	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1830a9…
06-07 20:50:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x65ef12…
04-26 21:38:40	Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline	76ers	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x3ed9ee…
04-26 20:41:30	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneyline	Spurs	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0ed4cb…
04-26 20:35:16	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneyline	Spurs	BUY	27	24¢	$6	0x3dfc95…
04-26 20:35:14	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneyline	Spurs	BUY	64	24¢	$15	0xa25e0c…
04-26 20:35:08	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneyline	Spurs	BUY	19	24¢	$4	0x7823f6…
04-25 19:51:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	107	76¢	$81	0x14d53e…
04-25 16:03:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	107	75¢	$80	0x587f45…
04-25 15:47:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	29¢	$34	0x8c1d3e…
04-25 15:46:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0x7e379c…
04-25 15:19:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x24d26e…
04-25 15:17:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x347995…
04-25 02:16:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	40¢	$21	0xa28a5f…
04-25 00:10:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x1c6de6…
04-25 00:08:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xcd2bf4…
04-25 00:07:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	31¢	$8	0xd16132…
04-25 00:07:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xac70b4…
04-25 00:04:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x35cd19…
04-25 00:03:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x48f08e…
04-24 21:50:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0xcefa6d…
04-24 20:49:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x485832…
04-24 19:14:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	29¢	$41	0x2f34d2…
04-24 17:58:50	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	120	29¢	$35	0xd2a074…
04-24 15:51:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	179	25¢	$45	0x979a02…
04-24 13:18:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	8¢	$6	0x8c17b9…
04-24 13:12:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	8¢	$8	0x797877…
04-24 08:12:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x38a39c…
04-23 22:15:20	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x219e66…
04-23 22:05:18	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x0ff805…
04-23 22:00:26	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	54	26¢	$14	0xd924c0…
04-23 21:57:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0xd1c95a…
04-23 20:00:06	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	184	12¢	$22	0xba9648…
04-23 19:59:56	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	490	5¢	$25	0x52c4a4…
04-23 11:06:26	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x1da907…
04-23 06:24:00	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	385	1¢	$5	0x4903c2…
04-23 06:23:54	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	253	1¢	$3	0x297f99…
04-23 05:49:22	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$0	0x4ee7b4…
04-23 05:49:20	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x34b8fc…
04-23 05:49:16	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0xf6f1d4…
04-23 05:49:12	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x702389…
04-23 05:49:10	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	183	1¢	$1	0x477edf…
04-23 05:49:06	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0xaebece…
04-23 05:38:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	SELL	215	4¢	$9	0xf25a09…
04-22 18:16:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	29¢	$45	0xf64f69…
04-22 13:52:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	215	23¢	$50	0x6576ea…
04-22 13:52:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x89a110…
04-22 04:34:50	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	SELL	147	63¢	$93	0x7118ea…
04-22 03:40:28	nba hou lal 2026 04 21 1h moneyline	Rockets	BUY	49	23¢	$11	0x27524d…
04-22 01:20:26	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	Celtics	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xb09280…
04-22 00:11:34	nba phi bos 2026 04 21 1h moneyline	Celtics	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0x2129cd…
04-21 21:35:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	3¢	$4	0x59c7c2…
04-21 21:20:30	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	BUY	150	36¢	$54	0xbab28e…
04-21 20:56:58	itc int com 2026 04 21 int	Yes	SELL	116	99¢	$114	0xe7b979…
04-21 20:53:26	itc int com 2026 04 21 int	Yes	BUY	116	90¢	$105	0x86afc4…
04-21 19:52:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	516	12¢	$62	0x2d4b1b…
04-21 11:00:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	427	10¢	$43	0x637e0d…
04-21 09:23:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	73¢	$74	0x4dfd24…
04-21 07:05:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	516	31¢	$160	0x390693…
04-20 14:02:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x83aa13…
04-20 14:00:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xb7a27c…
04-20 13:24:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	212	70¢	$148	0xdd173a…
04-20 08:09:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0x212eca…
04-20 07:58:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	183	62¢	$113	0x9fc87a…
04-20 05:04:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	217	70¢	$152	0x0d44f9…
04-19 20:13:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0xd53995…
04-19 20:12:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xee2837…
04-19 19:26:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	192	27¢	$51	0x310529…
04-19 19:26:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x2567c1…
04-19 19:26:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	SELL	75	37¢	$28	0x25ac5e…
04-19 19:15:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x006270…
04-19 19:15:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x3d6409…
04-19 19:14:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	74¢	$118	0xc170f4…
04-19 19:14:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0xdd6af5…
04-19 17:31:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	65¢	$67	0x332fde…
04-19 17:30:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	65¢	$37	0xf440ae…
04-19 16:59:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xca9af0…
04-19 15:03:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	250	27¢	$68	0xd303de…
04-19 10:50:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x8ee051…
04-19 09:04:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	313	47¢	$147	0x8613d4…
04-18 20:09:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	313	32¢	$100	0x50cdc8…
04-18 16:14:48	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xf59ae7…
04-18 16:14:42	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x00f409…
04-18 16:14:38	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb9beb4…
04-18 16:14:28	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xfb8609…
04-18 16:14:22	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	183	1¢	$2	0xc254a6…
04-18 16:14:10	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0x98b5d4…