Last-Colonisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$380

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-07 07:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

66% 67% $-17

Sports

34% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No		-42	$-8	6¢	$-3	+$5	05-29 17:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$93	53	53	+0	Yes	+$13	05-06 21:03
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	1	$40	62	0	+62	No	$-40	05-13 18:45
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	4	$36	85	33	+52	open	—	05-23 23:07
Will Adam Wharton be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	2	$30	22	22	+0	open	—	05-21 17:47
SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score	2	$30	23	23	+0	open	—	05-16 16:48
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	2	$23	91	0	+91	open	—	05-21 07:33
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	2	$23	18	18	+0	open	—	05-21 17:47
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Score	2	$21	16	16	+0	Yes	+$11	05-07 21:03
Who will finish higher: Norris or Piastri?	1	$12	0	12	-12	open	—	05-24 21:51
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	1	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	06-07 07:47
Who will finish higher: Bortoleto or Hulkenberg?	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-24 17:50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	1	$10	36	0	+36	open	—	05-26 20:37
Will Franco Mastantuono be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	05-18 15:33
Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Verstappen?	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-24 17:51
Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-17 07:39
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	1	$8	0	42	-42	open	—	05-29 17:17
Will Kobbie Mainoo be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	2	$5	24	24	+0	open	—	05-21 17:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 07:47:10	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x503f45…
05-29 17:17:43	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	42	19¢	$8	0xe95b01…
05-26 20:37:47	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x602de2…
05-24 21:51:19	Who will finish higher: Norris or Piastri?	Piastri	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5fba9e…
05-24 17:51:29	Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Verstappen?	Leclerc	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5af16d…
05-24 17:50:19	Who will finish higher: Bortoleto or Hulkenberg?	Bortoleto	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x8a9a9a…
05-23 23:07:17	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x38c6fb…
05-23 23:06:14	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	33	39¢	$13	0x2139a9…
05-23 23:03:24	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x36e5c3…
05-23 22:57:46	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xbdc9ef…
05-21 17:47:36	Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	70¢	$13	0x81ef3d…
05-21 17:47:07	Will Adam Wharton be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0xf943cc…
05-21 17:41:01	Will Kobbie Mainoo be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x5d8485…
05-21 16:25:56	Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xaf4a8d…
05-21 16:24:27	Will Adam Wharton be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x590746…
05-21 07:33:02	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xce3544…
05-19 09:20:45	Will Kobbie Mainoo be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xce0d02…
05-18 15:33:30	Will Franco Mastantuono be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x4a3b7f…
05-17 07:39:06	Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x6d7bf8…
05-17 07:38:36	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x1ffc96…
05-16 16:48:47	SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x34bec2…
05-16 08:53:01	SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x5e0796…
05-13 18:45:10	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x5abdbe…
05-07 21:03:48	SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x7280db…
05-07 19:14:41	SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xcb53a9…
05-06 21:03:10	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x9308d7…
05-06 15:33:00	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x7b8a76…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	9	$3.81K	430	06-07 15:22
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	9	$932	256	06-07 15:17
Loathsome-Ox 0x9cdd…3e97	8	$6.20K	40	06-08 18:43
Radiant-Chimpanzee 0x5210…bd53	8	$523	67	06-07 10:10
Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e	7	$5.82K	62	06-07 15:23
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	6	$8.64K	77	06-09 23:14
Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e	6	$3.24K	120	06-01 16:58
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	6	$3.05K	78	06-09 03:51