Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$173

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-11 12:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

51% 88% -$64

Other

39% 78% -$70

Tech

5% 75% $0

Crypto

4% 75% -$41

Sports

1% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-11).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	No		-24	-$23	100¢	$-24	$0	05-18 06:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	2	$3.6K	1,865	1,865	+0	No	+$91	02-02 06:26
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$3.0K	1,559	1,559	+0	No	+$7	02-01 01:10
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	2	$309	161	161	+0	No	+$9	01-28 13:51
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	2	$273	137	137	+0	No	+$0	04-17 08:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$247	259	0	+259	No	+$12	06-04 11:40
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	2	$244	132	132	+0	Yes	+$4	05-28 02:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$240	251	0	+251	Yes	-$240	06-11 12:19
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	2	$213	123	123	+0	Yes	+$33	06-04 11:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$152	173	0	+173	No	+$21	05-28 02:01
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	1	$150	0	157	-157	Yes	-$6	05-18 06:27
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 30	1	$100	123	0	+123	Yes	+$23	06-04 00:36
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$56	1,812	1,812	+0	No	-$2	01-12 10:35
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$50	42	42	+0	No	-$28	02-09 03:27
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	2	$46	25	25	+0	Yes	+$4	03-24 02:48
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$45	23	23	+0	Yes	+$1	01-28 13:51
infinex fdv above 200m one day after launch 274	1	$45	60	0	+60	No	-$45	01-11 00:28
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$44	46	0	+46	No	-$44	04-28 07:55
will solana reach 150 in march 2026	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	03-12 03:04
will israel strike gaza on february 1 2026	1	$41	42	0	+42	No	+$1	02-02 06:35
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	1	$38	44	0	+44	No	+$6	05-18 06:29
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 10:32
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	02-03 02:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	04-28 07:52
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	2	$34	19	19	+0	Yes	+$4	04-28 07:52
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?	1	$33	37	0	+37	Yes	+$4	01-11 00:26
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$31	0	31	-31	No	$0	03-12 03:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$30	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 12:40
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	1	$30	32	0	+32	Yes	-$30	01-02 02:38
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	1	$29	38	0	+38	Yes	+$9	01-05 08:04
usisrael strike yemen by march 14	1	$25	32	0	+32	No	+$7	03-12 03:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 12:19:19	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x6203dd…
06-11 12:19:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	251	95¢	$240	0x26f945…
06-11 12:18:36	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	41	1¢	$1	0x20c505…
06-04 11:40:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	259	95¢	$247	0x46b314…
06-04 11:40:03	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x169d7d…
06-04 00:36:15	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 30	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xa4444c…
06-04 00:36:06	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	123	73¢	$90	0x16c3ea…
05-28 02:01:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x461344…
05-28 02:01:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	173	88¢	$152	0xc9db8e…
05-28 02:00:45	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	94¢	$124	0x450ca3…
05-18 06:29:01	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	44	87¢	$38	0x54062a…
05-18 06:28:25	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	91¢	$120	0x4811af…
05-18 06:28:04	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	41	34¢	$14	0xea3758…
05-18 06:27:44	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	96¢	$150	0x607023…
05-18 06:27:36	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0x32286d…
05-12 10:35:25	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x4b4941…
05-12 10:32:16	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x0db67f…
05-02 07:07:04	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x0af4c2…
04-28 07:55:08	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	97¢	$44	0x58d80a…
04-28 07:53:22	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xf82cf5…
04-28 07:52:56	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0xc851db…
04-28 07:52:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xdf03dd…
04-17 08:38:42	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xf58475…
04-17 08:38:22	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x115599…
04-17 08:38:14	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xcf4c82…
04-11 07:04:49	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x0bb32b…
04-11 07:03:33	Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x36b5a0…
04-07 12:41:37	houthis successfully target shipping by april 15	No	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x9c3f17…
04-07 12:41:23	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x5066f6…
04-07 12:40:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x94ba78…
04-07 12:40:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xfeecc6…
03-30 05:55:46	highest temperature in seoul on march 30 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xc3443e…
03-30 05:55:20	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x3ffe79…
03-24 02:49:47	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x768609…
03-24 02:49:29	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x89b46a…
03-24 02:48:59	israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x2052fe…
03-24 02:48:01	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x6eaf93…
03-12 03:05:03	usisrael strike yemen by march 14	No	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x22c970…
03-12 03:04:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xdd68a3…
03-12 03:04:19	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xebff52…
03-12 03:04:13	will solana reach 150 in march 2026	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xe8d48e…
03-06 02:45:27	will solana reach 150 in march 2026	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x8d6896…
02-28 10:12:25	will social democrats win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xe2ab50…
02-28 10:12:01	will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	Yes	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x7b9d26…
02-19 05:39:02	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x02e5bd…
02-09 03:27:47	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xfb88ad…
02-09 03:27:13	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	42	25¢	$11	0x3141a9…
02-03 02:58:50	us strikes iran by february 3 2026	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xbc0ac3…
02-02 06:35:50	will israel strike gaza on february 1 2026	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x363e78…
02-02 06:34:48	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0xad0ba9…
02-02 06:26:02	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	No	SELL	1,865	100¢	$1,863	0x600cbb…
02-01 01:10:16	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	No	BUY	1,865	95¢	$1,772	0x6800f6…
02-01 01:10:04	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1,559	98¢	$1,527	0xf883bf…
01-28 13:51:41	US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	SELL	161	99¢	$159	0x8030bd…
01-28 13:51:31	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xd8e3bc…
01-12 10:36:06	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x3730b3…
01-12 10:35:08	Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	1,812	2¢	$27	0xe4ead7…
01-11 00:33:08	US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	BUY	161	93¢	$150	0xe99f0e…
01-11 00:31:14	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1,559	98¢	$1,520	0x261f53…
01-11 00:28:42	infinex fdv above 200m one day after launch 274	Yes	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x53165e…
01-11 00:26:54	Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	37	90¢	$33	0x5abb64…
01-11 00:26:08	Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	1,812	2¢	$29	0x05df63…
01-05 08:04:49	Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	38	77¢	$29	0x425365…
01-02 02:38:43	maduro out by january 31 2026 318	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x113299…