Strict-Needle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$538

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 05-08 09:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

39% 0% $-10

Sports

34% — —

Politics

25% 100% +$14

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$175	2,138	0	+2,138	open	—	03-27 00:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$167	106	106	+0	open	—	04-23 04:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$114	123	123	+0	open	—	04-17 14:10
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of April?	2	$28	61	61	+0	open	—	04-27 09:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$10	200	200	+0	No	$-10	05-02 04:13
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	05-08 09:36
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	2	$9	107	100	+7	open	—	04-27 09:31
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 05:36
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	1	$5	29	0	+29	open	—	04-24 05:48
Thunder vs. Suns	1	$5	24	0	+24	open	—	04-24 05:43
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	04-24 05:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$5	19	0	+19	Yes	+$14	04-24 05:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 09:36:14	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x28f6b8…
05-02 04:13:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x031f35…
04-27 09:31:28	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xb7b06a…
04-27 09:31:20	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of April?	Yes	SELL	61	5¢	$3	0x2e4f1b…
04-24 05:48:22	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x58273c…
04-24 05:43:14	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xeb7ea3…
04-24 05:38:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa728fd…
04-24 05:37:28	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x5595d6…
04-24 05:36:58	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3e4576…
04-24 05:33:56	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	107	7¢	$7	0x6d1a0e…
04-23 04:49:40	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of April?	Yes	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xfc5c1a…
04-23 04:42:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x9478e4…
04-23 04:41:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	106	95¢	$101	0x8def38…
04-17 23:42:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	106	63¢	$67	0x071f8a…
04-17 14:10:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	123	54¢	$67	0x408044…
04-16 08:39:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	38¢	$47	0x1882cf…
03-27 00:00:05	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	2,138	8¢	$175	0x3d187d…