Vigorous-Snarl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$308

Unrealized P&L

-$297

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

Trades

239

lifetime

Volume

$24.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$1.04K

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-23 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

50% 67% +$354

Crypto

27% 0% $-46

Other

19% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	-807	$-516	70¢	$-565	$-48	05-29 15:36
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	-600	$-398	78¢	$-471	$-73	05-28 16:55
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	+0	$175	76¢	$0	$-175	06-23 09:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spurs vs. Thunder	7	$2.3K	2,620	1,962	+658	open	—	05-19 03:33
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	4	$1.7K	937	1,000	-63	open	—	06-02 04:37
Thunder vs. Suns	4	$1.3K	703	700	+3	open	—	04-28 03:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	5	$1.1K	943	938	+5	open	—	04-25 10:02
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	24	$963	523	540	-17	open	—	04-29 02:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	6	$707	600	300	+300	open	—	06-01 12:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$699	400	400	+0	open	—	05-31 15:40
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	3	$642	705	405	+300	Spurs	$-64	05-13 00:48
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	6	$621	800	0	+800	Spurs	+$179	05-03 11:28
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$584	400	400	+0	Timberwolves	+$184	05-11 02:15
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	17	$542	310	310	+0	open	—	05-19 03:54
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	3	$528	600	0	+600	open	—	05-30 10:47
btc updown 5m 1775412300	4	$521	614	179	+435	open	—	04-05 18:08
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$516	0	807	-807	open	—	05-29 15:36
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	8	$512	400	400	+0	open	—	06-04 13:07
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?	10	$504	400	400	+0	open	—	06-03 18:04
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	4	$492	300	300	+0	open	—	04-28 03:15
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$480	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	05-20 02:16
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	3	$468	620	310	+310	open	—	05-27 13:30
Thunder vs. Spurs	7	$460	780	0	+780	open	—	05-28 22:56
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	7	$433	800	800	+0	open	—	06-23 09:06
nba por sas 2026 04 21	2	$424	483	0	+483	open	—	04-22 02:40
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$414	493	0	+493	open	—	02-27 17:49
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$398	0	600	-600	open	—	05-28 16:55
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	1	$360	493	0	+493	open	—	04-21 06:41
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	1	$350	473	0	+473	open	—	02-27 05:11
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$317	380	380	+0	open	—	03-21 03:30
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	1	$302	450	0	+450	open	—	04-25 07:01
btc updown 5m 1775412000	2	$297	300	0	+300	open	—	04-05 18:04
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$287	334	334	+0	Cavaliers	+$33	05-14 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 09:06:58	Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	247	14¢	$35	0xaef96f…
06-23 08:32:58	Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	76	14¢	$11	0xbe87f1…
06-23 08:32:58	Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	259	14¢	$36	0x4b72f2…
06-23 08:31:29	Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	104	15¢	$16	0x602859…
06-22 14:30:10	Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x902c65…
06-22 06:51:49	Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	105	28¢	$29	0xf4974c…
06-04 16:04:34	bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	556	50¢	$278	0x171d94…
06-04 13:07:16	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	SELL	400	65¢	$260	0x170696…
06-04 02:34:24	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0xa86b22…
06-04 02:34:21	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	23	63¢	$14	0x8bc035…
06-04 02:34:19	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	36	63¢	$23	0x80b64a…
06-04 02:34:16	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	62	63¢	$39	0xced221…
06-04 02:34:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x4b2a1e…
06-04 02:34:12	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0xc4d786…
06-04 02:34:09	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x7727f4…
06-03 18:04:15	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?	Yes	SELL	250	60¢	$150	0xab6733…
06-03 18:01:21	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?	Yes	SELL	117	60¢	$70	0xdbb62e…
06-03 17:40:39	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?	Yes	SELL	33	60¢	$20	0xaa422b…
06-03 16:25:51	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	400	57¢	$228	0x3a7a01…
06-03 14:56:45	Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	800	38¢	$304	0xb0d895…
06-03 01:14:44	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?	Yes	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0xb8aa7f…
06-03 00:05:47	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?	Yes	BUY	54	66¢	$36	0xcc159a…
06-02 23:58:49	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x7676e3…
06-02 23:17:57	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x883934…
06-02 23:13:30	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?	Yes	BUY	130	66¢	$86	0x980918…
06-02 21:08:12	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?	Yes	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0x5ba8f6…
06-02 17:14:15	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?	Yes	BUY	84	66¢	$55	0xbe09a6…
06-02 14:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x07b0a0…
06-02 14:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x8dee41…
06-02 14:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x230c0b…
06-02 14:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x73a178…
06-02 04:37:07	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	1,000	97¢	$970	0x71343d…
06-01 14:53:53	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0x12c1c3…
06-01 13:42:15	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	310	64¢	$198	0x44562e…
06-01 12:00:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xb732ed…
06-01 12:00:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	265	98¢	$259	0x42ff14…
06-01 12:00:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe924d8…
05-31 18:49:55	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	37	85¢	$31	0xc82043…
05-31 15:40:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	93¢	$370	0xd5f6bf…
05-31 12:37:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	266	82¢	$218	0x025345…
05-31 12:37:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	134	82¢	$110	0x5660c1…
05-30 12:50:07	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	600	42¢	$252	0xd320c2…
05-30 10:47:20	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	591	88¢	$520	0x15fa9a…
05-30 10:46:47	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x22e7d9…
05-30 10:45:35	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbadb07…
05-29 15:36:28	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	807	64¢	$516	0xf86d3e…
05-29 10:33:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	72¢	$141	0x7f682b…
05-29 10:06:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	72¢	$76	0xe28769…
05-29 03:30:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	66¢	$197	0x598afc…
05-28 22:56:05	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	78	59¢	$46	0x02161c…
05-28 22:55:55	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x54a020…
05-28 22:55:51	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0193dd…
05-28 22:55:49	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	49	59¢	$29	0xf2ef35…
05-28 22:55:49	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x97b792…
05-28 22:55:48	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	61	59¢	$36	0x04a1b9…
05-28 22:55:46	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	570	59¢	$336	0x2cfd2a…
05-28 16:55:32	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	600	66¢	$398	0x357d9e…
05-27 13:30:23	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	SELL	310	19¢	$59	0x06d518…
05-21 00:46:41	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	500	61¢	$305	0x161736…
05-20 22:09:06	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	18	52¢	$10	0x9e213a…
05-20 22:07:17	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	420	52¢	$218	0xe83764…
05-20 22:05:03	Spread: Thunder (-7.5)	Spurs	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0xece41b…
05-20 21:55:55	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xb2cf44…
05-20 20:44:33	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xb70c21…
05-20 19:32:42	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xf39656…
05-20 02:16:53	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	400	32¢	$128	0x762aec…
05-19 03:55:15	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	1,100	32¢	$352	0xa883a4…
05-19 03:54:40	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xf61290…
05-19 03:33:10	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	658	76¢	$500	0xf2f49a…
05-19 03:32:51	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	972	24¢	$238	0xf6ae41…
05-19 03:22:49	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0x84df1c…
05-19 03:19:50	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	972	72¢	$700	0x631cfa…
05-19 02:54:54	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	990	55¢	$545	0x357c67…
05-18 23:40:41	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	330	30¢	$99	0x5830d1…
05-18 23:40:18	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	330	31¢	$102	0xc90cd1…
05-18 22:43:15	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	259	97¢	$251	0x1869a4…
05-18 22:35:52	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xb8de54…
05-18 20:19:57	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	330	32¢	$106	0x6ab2ce…
05-18 13:49:05	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	BUY	310	54¢	$167	0x0f6ba7…
05-16 02:25:29	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	520	12¢	$62	0xd27a81…
05-15 22:22:24	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	47	61¢	$29	0xbf780b…
05-15 22:22:08	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x208296…
05-15 22:21:58	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x80f59e…
05-15 22:21:56	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	75	61¢	$45	0x5988a5…
05-15 22:21:56	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0x24c4e8…
05-15 22:21:53	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x882ca9…
05-15 22:21:44	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x5f4add…
05-15 22:21:42	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	62	61¢	$38	0xfecc72…
05-15 22:21:40	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0xbbea65…
05-15 22:21:37	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x56bafc…
05-15 20:55:52	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xcf2348…
05-15 20:55:52	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x65e1bb…
05-15 20:55:52	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x49f238…
05-15 20:55:50	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xc2e2aa…
05-15 20:55:50	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x4701be…
05-15 20:55:50	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x206aef…
05-15 20:55:48	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xf6c795…
05-15 20:55:48	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xc7f416…
05-15 20:55:48	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x926256…
05-15 20:55:48	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x76bea4…