Dangerous-Rumor 0x413053…162fd6
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$58
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (24h)
1
Trades (24h)
7
8 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$106
$206 lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$184
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 12:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
96% — —
Other
4% 0% $-3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +769 $100 14¢ $104 +$4 05-05 11:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +430 $4 14¢ $58 +$54 05-06 09:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? Yes -29 $-13 34¢ $-10 +$3 05-06 09:31
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? No +60 $8 11¢ $6 $-2 05-06 12:32
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes +10 $3 30¢ $3 $-0 05-06 10:46
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes -10 $-2 26¢ $-3 $-0 05-06 09:31