Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.70K

Unrealized P&L

-$39

Hit rate

41.1%

Resolved

101

Trades

419

lifetime

Volume

$6.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$195

1 position

First seen

2026-09-04

last 10-28 18:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 58% -$1

Other

33% 0% -$1,597

Sports

12% 100% +$176

Politics

9% — —

Tech

4% 0% -$282

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 245 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	No		+402	$234	48¢	$195	-$39	10-24 20:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$1.7K	4,462	2,722	+1,740	No	-$1,149	09-16 14:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	5	$619	805	402	+402	open	—	10-24 20:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$549	2,364	1,205	+1,158	No	-$443	10-28 16:53
Fight to Go the Distance?	9	$418	230	230	+0	Yes	+$41	10-24 20:32
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$400	270	270	+0	Alexander Volkanovski	+$135	10-24 21:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	2	$282	300	0	+300	No	-$282	10-28 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$280	311	0	+311	Up	-$280	10-25 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$224	134	134	+0	Up	+$44	10-24 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$210	252	0	+252	Down	-$42	10-25 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$200	222	0	+222	Down	+$22	10-25 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	5	$172	100	100	+0	Down	+$26	10-24 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$150	176	0	+176	Down	+$26	10-25 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	7	$120	173	0	+173	Down	-$28	10-25 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	6	$115	429	0	+429	Up	-$11	10-25 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$110	152	0	+152	Up	+$23	10-25 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	8	$104	99	99	+0	Up	+$74	10-25 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$100	122	0	+122	Down	+$22	10-25 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$84	138	0	+138	Down	-$19	10-25 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$70	96	0	+96	Up	+$9	10-25 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$69	39	39	+0	Down	+$9	10-25 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	11	$36	90	41	+49	Down	-$2	10-26 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	9	$35	28	28	+0	Up	+$15	10-28 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	14	$34	43	43	+0	Up	+$8	10-28 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$34	29	28	+1	Up	+$20	10-26 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	10	$32	22	22	+0	Down	+$8	10-28 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	8	$31	43	26	+17	Down	+$30	10-25 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$29	57	0	+57	Down	-$29	10-25 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	8	$29	36	29	+7	Up	+$22	10-25 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$28	44	20	+24	Up	+$22	10-25 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	8	$24	28	12	+16	Down	+$16	10-25 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc9d711…
10-28 18:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x200285…
10-28 18:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4cde45…
10-28 18:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x053acc…
10-28 18:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xc6a161…
10-28 18:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x208331…
10-28 18:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd0ec58…
10-28 18:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x88aade…
10-28 18:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc3c467…
10-28 18:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe0a54b…
10-28 18:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xa3d8d2…
10-28 18:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x85c6b0…
10-28 18:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf6a2fd…
10-28 18:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xef035c…
10-28 18:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x56e0a1…
10-28 18:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	22	88¢	$20	0x9f6e49…
10-28 18:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3d85ef…
10-28 18:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x94a3f5…
10-28 18:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb062bc…
10-28 18:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1a5d41…
10-28 18:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd3aca2…
10-28 18:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x50fd80…
10-28 18:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x498593…
10-28 18:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x515659…
10-28 18:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5e7948…
10-28 18:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5919c9…
10-28 18:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe1c449…
10-28 18:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa00011…
10-28 18:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x5d6617…
10-28 18:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfb34b2…
10-28 18:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	14	47¢	$6	0x32818b…
10-28 18:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x697caf…
10-28 18:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdf4423…
10-28 18:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4b6983…
10-28 18:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd53845…
10-28 18:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x1dc8c6…
10-28 18:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb43299…
10-28 18:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	29	42¢	$12	0x855e30…
10-28 18:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x305b21…
10-28 18:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x2dc7ee…
10-28 18:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x1cb794…
10-28 18:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa6117f…
10-28 18:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8c61db…
10-28 18:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd01e71…
10-28 18:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x3eb0c1…
10-28 18:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xf82540…
10-28 18:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x09222f…
10-28 18:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x13e780…
10-28 18:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0xd8f160…
10-28 18:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x60f076…
10-28 18:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4a41ad…
10-28 18:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x68a644…
10-28 18:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3254b0…
10-28 18:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x092fda…
10-28 18:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x641b38…
10-28 18:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbfa037…
10-28 18:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xecaeed…
10-28 18:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf4e61e…
10-28 18:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x65b2d6…
10-28 18:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x0d4325…
10-28 18:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x89dabd…
10-28 18:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd9450b…
10-28 18:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x33ab11…
10-28 18:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf8e410…
10-28 18:02:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	236	94¢	$222	0xa3f9ec…
10-28 18:02:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x03d62e…
10-28 16:53:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,205	4¢	$53	0xb87c3c…
10-26 21:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x5e13cb…
10-26 21:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x64ffaa…
10-26 21:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdb3234…
10-26 21:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf5d5a4…
10-26 21:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb90b4b…
10-26 21:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8a2233…
10-26 21:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4a6411…
10-26 21:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x950f91…
10-26 21:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x076fe3…
10-26 21:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x3bdb9a…
10-26 21:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x76f6f2…
10-26 21:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbb3c11…
10-26 21:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdaad63…
10-26 21:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x085059…
10-26 21:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe37b56…
10-26 21:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdb9dbe…
10-26 21:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc0ccb8…
10-26 21:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xd40ce7…
10-26 21:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x944915…
10-26 21:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0fc097…
10-26 21:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3e9e2b…
10-26 21:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	26	34¢	$9	0x00dbae…
10-26 21:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x699961…
10-26 21:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x92622d…
10-26 21:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x409bef…
10-26 21:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0e0887…
10-26 21:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8dcc59…
10-26 20:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x389795…
10-26 20:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9b0eac…
10-26 20:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x7f08b2…
10-26 20:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xa852a1…
10-26 20:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xf6467e…
10-26 20:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4e1daa…