Cruel-Economics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$451

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$202

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 05-30 03:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

85% 50% $-451

Politics

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	4	$1.1K	581	581	+0	open	—	05-19 07:35
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	4	$902	464	464	+0	open	—	05-05 04:27
Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)	1	$579	623	0	+623	open	—	05-20 04:28
Spread: SS Juve Stabia (-1.5)	1	$554	587	0	+587	open	—	05-19 08:48
Spread: CD Huachipato (-2.5)	1	$520	553	0	+553	open	—	05-17 05:31
Spread: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)	1	$461	479	0	+479	Matsumoto Yamaga FC	$-461	05-06 08:09
Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)	1	$451	461	0	+461	FC Seoul	+$10	05-05 04:51
mex pue leo 2026 04 10 spread home 2pt5	1	$237	255	0	+255	open	—	04-10 12:23
lib coq nac 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	1	$229	238	0	+238	open	—	04-08 07:24
aus mct ccm 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	1	$222	230	0	+230	open	—	04-07 07:11
sea nap mil 2026 04 06 spread home 2pt5	1	$209	220	0	+220	open	—	04-06 05:26
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	5	$117	974	974	+0	open	—	05-28 03:57
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	3	$101	1,103	575	+528	open	—	05-30 02:49
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	2	$96	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	05-28 04:09
Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-2.5)	2	$68	1,140	0	+1,140	open	—	05-30 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 03:23:51	Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-2.5)	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	BUY	550	6¢	$33	0x1cf81f…
05-30 03:23:28	Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-2.5)	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	BUY	590	6¢	$35	0x0a8de8…
05-30 02:49:19	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	Yes	SELL	575	7¢	$40	0xf9966e…
05-30 02:06:27	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	Yes	BUY	547	6¢	$33	0x7252d5…
05-30 02:05:15	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	Yes	BUY	556	5¢	$28	0x26a406…
05-28 04:09:56	Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Yes	BUY	635	9¢	$57	0x2c0f92…
05-28 04:09:40	Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Yes	BUY	437	9¢	$39	0xb9d0f9…
05-28 03:57:29	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	417	6¢	$25	0x13967e…
05-28 03:18:36	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	492	6¢	$30	0x425259…
05-28 03:16:58	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	65	6¢	$4	0x7a127d…
05-28 02:48:07	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	547	6¢	$33	0xc1f209…
05-28 02:47:36	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	427	6¢	$26	0xc17460…
05-20 04:28:11	Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	623	93¢	$579	0x5a2c46…
05-19 08:48:01	Spread: SS Juve Stabia (-1.5)	AC Monza	BUY	587	94¢	$554	0xc9457a…
05-19 07:35:18	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x4469e0…
05-19 07:34:57	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x742ae0…
05-19 07:33:54	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	515	95¢	$491	0x0683e3…
05-19 06:30:56	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	BUY	581	95¢	$552	0xe14db9…
05-17 05:31:05	Spread: CD Huachipato (-2.5)	CD Unión La Calera	BUY	553	94¢	$520	0x3303fa…
05-06 08:09:28	Spread: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)	FC Gifu	BUY	479	96¢	$461	0x8ca465…
05-05 04:51:24	Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)	FC Seoul	BUY	461	98¢	$451	0x8f38fa…
05-05 04:27:00	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	101	97¢	$98	0x3984d0…
05-05 04:26:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x623be2…
05-05 04:25:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	353	97¢	$343	0xbf433f…
05-05 02:16:58	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	464	97¢	$451	0x5a1100…
04-10 12:23:13	mex pue leo 2026 04 10 spread home 2pt5	Club León FC	BUY	255	93¢	$237	0x8141ed…
04-08 07:24:19	lib coq nac 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	CD Coquimbo Unido	BUY	238	96¢	$229	0xa4c1f5…
04-07 07:11:51	aus mct ccm 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	Melbourne City FC	BUY	230	97¢	$222	0x6109a3…
04-06 05:26:29	sea nap mil 2026 04 06 spread home 2pt5	AC Milan	BUY	220	95¢	$209	0x77debb…