Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.7%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$2.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-03 07:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 48% -$51

Other

30% 50% -$17

Politics

20% 67% -$5

Sports

5% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	4	$379	295	295	+0	Yes	-$5	03-17 09:12
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$350	227	227	+0	Yes	-$18	03-18 06:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$286	144	144	+0	No	$0	03-20 14:54
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$191	97	97	+0	No	+$1	03-17 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 06:45 UTC	4	$173	158	156	+2	Up	+$15	01-19 06:58
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$143	78	78	+0	No	+$0	03-18 17:31
will nebraska win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$143	72	72	+0	No	$0	03-20 07:19
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$129	96	93	+3	Up	+$32	04-26 15:57
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12PM ET	3	$119	78	76	+2	Down	+$21	04-26 16:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 14:30 UTC	3	$109	120	99	+21	Down	+$51	01-18 14:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$99	78	76	+2	Down	-$1	04-25 18:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 16:15 UTC	2	$85	104	104	+0	Up	-$15	06-16 16:23
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 06:15 UTC	2	$79	77	76	+1	Down	-$1	01-19 06:06
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	1	$72	72	0	+72	No	+$0	03-21 05:48
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	1	$71	72	0	+72	No	+$1	03-20 14:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 05:15 UTC	2	$63	44	43	+1	Up	+$24	01-19 05:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 16:30 UTC	1	$50	85	0	+85	Up	-$50	06-16 16:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 06:00 UTC	2	$37	1,109	0	+1,109	Down	-$37	01-20 06:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 12:00 UTC	2	$30	22	21	+0	Down	+$10	01-18 12:10
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$25	16	15	+0	Up	+$6	04-25 17:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 05:45 UTC	3	$24	43	43	+1	Down	-$16	01-19 05:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	04-25 17:14
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$21	16	15	+0	Down	+$2	04-25 19:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 05:30 UTC	1	$20	667	0	+667	Down	-$20	01-20 05:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 15:00 UTC	1	$20	42	0	+42	Up	-$20	01-18 14:47
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$11	15	15	+0	Up	-$9	04-25 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	04-25 17:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 10:45 UTC	1	$10	37	0	+37	Down	-$10	01-28 10:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 07:15 UTC	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	-$10	01-27 07:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 13:45 UTC	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	-$10	01-24 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 07:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbc8b80…
10-03 07:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x28272f…
09-27 21:44:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x78389a…
09-27 21:25:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xad2509…
09-25 14:03:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9aef96…
09-25 14:01:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd5dc9f…
09-25 12:57:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x57b411…
09-25 12:50:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x32c4b5…
09-24 16:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0acdad…
09-24 16:18:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x27a701…
09-18 14:34:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfb5cf2…
09-18 14:34:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xeb394d…
09-15 15:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x976bde…
09-15 15:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xff1be1…
09-08 12:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xe37016…
09-06 16:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa44c7d…
09-06 16:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4f72cd…
09-06 16:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xeb276e…
09-02 18:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x94dd7f…
09-02 18:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x332df9…
09-01 14:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x908d4f…
09-01 14:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5c8019…
08-26 15:23:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x98eba6…
08-26 15:17:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x205abe…
08-25 14:43:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7fe882…
08-25 14:43:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd4480a…
08-24 14:33:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0029e4…
08-24 14:33:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x0cfa70…
08-23 14:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe80e5a…
08-23 14:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5b2975…
08-22 14:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf6060e…
08-22 14:09:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x89a100…
08-07 15:44:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1f37dd…
08-07 15:44:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2a1c4e…
08-07 15:43:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x932a8f…
08-07 15:39:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe1fb2a…
08-06 14:51:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8a06c6…
08-06 14:50:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x81c778…
08-05 14:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9ee69a…
08-05 14:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb51a32…
08-04 15:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd3c0ac…
08-04 14:58:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xcdf352…
08-03 14:55:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x186953…
08-03 14:52:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x25bc31…
08-02 15:14:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe059fa…
08-02 15:05:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8ce4f8…
08-01 14:17:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1f97a7…
08-01 14:17:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2e4934…
07-29 06:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x007046…
07-29 06:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x55e303…
07-28 05:17:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x10e695…
07-27 10:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb942c8…
07-27 04:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2fc076…
07-26 18:12:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3064fb…
07-26 17:19:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc61b52…
06-16 16:30:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x25cf18…
06-16 16:23:20	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	104	34¢	$35	0x303172…
06-16 16:15:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x515e9b…
04-26 16:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x11a038…
04-26 16:53:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	75	90¢	$67	0x40c562…
04-26 16:02:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x928e2b…
04-26 15:57:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	93	85¢	$79	0x853b51…
04-26 15:45:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x597b21…
04-25 19:27:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x84a219…
04-25 19:17:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf62d45…
04-25 18:50:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	76	64¢	$49	0x0f60e1…
04-25 18:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x1020fa…
04-25 17:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x72b106…
04-25 17:45:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5d1ade…
04-25 17:30:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc24555…
04-25 17:23:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	10¢	$1	0x029472…
04-25 17:16:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x6c36bf…
04-25 17:14:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x54ae36…
04-25 17:08:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x449d48…
03-21 05:48:55	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x6970ad…
03-20 14:55:17	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xafb03c…
03-20 14:54:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x650ecc…
03-20 07:20:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xeab66b…
03-20 07:19:21	will nebraska win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x6e074c…
03-19 06:51:43	will nebraska win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	72	100¢	$71	0x2154a6…
03-19 06:50:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0xc44300…
03-18 17:33:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$72	0x87f47d…
03-18 17:31:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	78	92¢	$72	0x39133e…
03-18 06:05:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	78	92¢	$72	0xeb3735…
03-18 06:02:57	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	120	58¢	$69	0xf22b6f…
03-17 19:13:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xfe84ca…
03-17 17:49:57	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	87	75¢	$65	0x2833bd…
03-17 09:12:03	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	154	60¢	$92	0x40d81d…
03-17 06:00:23	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	154	62¢	$96	0x285589…
03-17 05:58:49	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	97	98¢	$96	0xe9718e…
03-16 13:19:47	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	97	98¢	$95	0xa91022…
03-16 13:08:15	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	142	67¢	$95	0xffd4be…
03-16 10:19:57	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	142	68¢	$96	0x7433f0…
03-16 10:17:59	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	107	90¢	$96	0x511a43…
03-16 06:29:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	107	88¢	$94	0x3a2844…
01-30 13:07:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x6a39a8…
01-29 12:04:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xdaf1dc…
01-28 10:47:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x4f56c4…
01-27 07:19:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x1fa60c…
01-26 11:14:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x713d87…