Fitting-Tremor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$192

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-17 09:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

79% — —

Sports

12% 0% $-1

Politics

9% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	04-26 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	6	$18	44	0	+44	open	—	05-17 09:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	10	$18	30	30	+0	Yes	$-1	04-26 16:13
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$13	5	10	-5	No	$-1	04-26 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$12	117	0	+117	open	—	05-17 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	4	$12	19	0	+19	open	—	05-17 08:59
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$-0	04-25 16:35
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	7	$7	35	0	+35	open	—	04-27 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	04-26 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	05-17 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-25 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-04 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-03 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-03 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	04-26 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$4	7	2	+5	open	—	04-25 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	04-25 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	04-26 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-01 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$3	41	0	+41	open	—	04-29 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	04-25 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-01 17:41
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-17 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-25 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	04-29 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-01 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-27 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-27 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$1	3	1	+2	open	—	04-25 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-29 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 09:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xa00692…
05-17 09:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x4251d4…
05-17 09:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x55024a…
05-17 09:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xec7582…
05-17 09:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb8e671…
05-17 09:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xb63948…
05-17 08:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x613c32…
05-17 08:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x35d1f1…
05-17 08:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x60dbd2…
05-17 08:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xb44905…
05-17 08:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x6c2ce9…
05-17 08:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x835f5b…
05-17 08:52:44	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x8dc8d6…
05-17 08:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x699fa1…
05-17 08:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xc4e8ad…
05-17 08:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8b9fbd…
05-17 08:47:10	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4730df…
05-17 08:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf288cf…
05-16 20:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xaa7d22…
05-04 07:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7fdfec…
05-03 07:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x24beb7…
05-03 07:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4be3ba…
05-01 17:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x009c8c…
05-01 17:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x72d1ba…
05-01 17:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcaca2a…
05-01 17:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x769b15…
05-01 17:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa9fab7…
05-01 17:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6e0000…
05-01 17:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2cb2ba…
05-01 17:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6431b7…
05-01 16:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7f72a4…
04-29 19:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3963b5…
04-29 19:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x052468…
04-29 18:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x95447e…
04-29 17:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x24bc37…
04-29 17:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc17a8b…
04-29 17:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x454663…
04-27 18:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x242c12…
04-27 17:58:24	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x58b94e…
04-27 17:57:08	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x44695d…
04-27 17:57:04	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3cb5aa…
04-27 17:56:58	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbd4d47…
04-27 17:56:52	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1bbde4…
04-27 17:56:48	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa94b49…
04-27 17:56:40	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7d5cf3…
04-27 17:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x43f483…
04-27 14:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0ff9c6…
04-26 16:13:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0xf0eb57…
04-26 14:57:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x57bde3…
04-26 14:57:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2d339b…
04-26 14:57:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$2	0x8354da…
04-26 14:29:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xf405ec…
04-26 14:17:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xaf8d75…
04-26 14:15:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xfee7a7…
04-26 14:15:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa05e92…
04-26 14:15:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x50787c…
04-26 14:11:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf3659d…
04-26 14:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbd3b7c…
04-26 14:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x87263e…
04-26 13:57:50	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xeb00ed…
04-26 13:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x6f4dc8…
04-26 13:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x4caf99…
04-26 13:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf19cae…
04-26 13:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1a7b1a…
04-26 13:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfb547a…
04-26 12:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xcb083e…
04-26 12:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xecd25e…
04-25 16:35:16	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x13a463…
04-25 16:11:30	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x3acc9f…
04-25 13:42:56	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x22e20e…
04-25 13:37:30	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x989b4b…
04-25 10:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xd90faa…
04-25 10:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x345197…
04-25 08:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x0b70f0…
04-25 08:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3a61a4…
04-25 08:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x687669…
04-25 08:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2d5c52…
04-25 08:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x714971…
04-25 08:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0c9e36…
04-25 08:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb3d6c1…
04-25 08:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7ee170…
04-25 07:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xaed974…
04-25 07:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1971d1…
04-25 07:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x497f7d…
04-25 07:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9a91a9…
04-25 07:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x94ff2a…
04-25 07:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4287f8…