Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

517

lifetime

Volume

$9.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$40

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-12 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-1

Sports

22% 0% $-1

Politics

15% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+40	$37	94¢	$37	$-0	06-03 08:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		+40	$3	6¢	$3	$-0	06-03 08:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	28	$630	1,200	60	+1,140	open	—	04-06 11:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	28	$571	1,140	0	+1,140	open	—	04-06 13:52
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	34	$521	1,220	240	+980	No	$-1	04-18 12:18
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	22	$470	940	0	+940	open	—	03-18 03:47
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	12	$443	430	210	+220	open	—	03-19 00:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	14	$323	700	60	+640	open	—	03-28 05:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	30	$304	560	37	+523	open	—	04-06 12:48
netanyahu out by march 31 854	12	$290	580	0	+580	open	—	03-17 19:05
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	12	$272	320	80	+240	open	—	03-20 10:08
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	12	$270	360	180	+180	No	$-0	04-22 18:57
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$257	240	160	+80	open	—	03-17 15:37
nba uta okc 2026 04 05	27	$247	460	28	+432	open	—	04-05 11:45
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	12	$243	520	40	+480	open	—	03-31 03:03
GTA VI released before June 2026?	8	$239	340	100	+240	open	—	03-16 18:46
Netanyahu out by April 30?	8	$200	310	110	+200	open	—	03-30 23:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	4	$177	180	60	+120	open	—	03-15 15:52
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$170	340	0	+340	open	—	03-15 06:09
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	10	$166	330	10	+320	open	—	03-25 20:54
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	6	$157	170	50	+120	open	—	03-19 00:02
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$150	300	0	+300	No	$-0	03-13 21:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$150	300	0	+300	open	—	04-09 06:04
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$134	70	70	+0	open	—	03-16 06:42
will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	12	$127	113	112	+1	open	—	06-12 10:11
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$120	240	0	+240	open	—	03-22 16:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	12	$120	200	33	+167	open	—	04-05 16:28
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	4	$118	120	40	+80	open	—	03-16 19:55
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	4	$116	120	40	+80	open	—	03-18 01:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	03-28 21:46
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	03-18 13:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$81	175	15	+160	open	—	05-26 08:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 00:43:04	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 27 20260608233701773	No	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x0026e4…
06-13 00:42:55	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 27 20260608233701773	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x47c89e…
06-12 22:17:36	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	33	10¢	$3	0x7d5251…
06-12 22:17:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0x9f8f62…
06-12 20:38:55	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	SELL	33	17¢	$6	0x6f7a07…
06-12 20:38:55	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x60740a…
06-12 20:38:45	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	BUY	33	17¢	$6	0x560682…
06-12 20:38:45	pedro castillo pardoned in 2026	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x1e6237…
06-12 13:54:48	will christian pulisic score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150649595	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0xae3b4c…
06-12 13:54:40	will christian pulisic score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150649595	Yes	BUY	36	23¢	$8	0x860240…
06-12 13:39:04	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	SELL	34	40¢	$14	0xac2889…
06-12 13:38:48	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x64e304…
06-12 12:55:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	SELL	34	53¢	$18	0x17ee1e…
06-12 12:54:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	BUY	34	55¢	$19	0x1fadee…
06-12 12:44:00	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x2f2122…
06-12 12:43:49	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe2dc12…
06-12 11:39:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	SELL	34	66¢	$22	0x9b5834…
06-12 11:38:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	34	67¢	$23	0x75a4d5…
06-12 10:11:37	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x5c94a3…
06-12 10:11:28	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa30715…
06-12 10:10:36	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	SELL	29	66¢	$19	0xcd3b40…
06-12 10:10:36	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xb7c3ce…
06-12 10:10:24	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x2c12ed…
06-12 10:10:22	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x11adae…
06-12 09:45:28	will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	Yes	SELL	36	43¢	$15	0xcaa287…
06-12 09:45:12	will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	Yes	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0xcfd8f8…
06-12 08:29:07	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	SELL	24	61¢	$15	0xd7fde7…
06-12 08:29:07	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0x63947e…
06-12 08:28:55	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	25	62¢	$15	0x9517c9…
06-12 08:28:55	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x016d6a…
06-12 07:35:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	Yes	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0x877a40…
06-12 07:34:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	Yes	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x91e107…
06-12 06:35:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	No	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xc05fa3…
06-12 06:35:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x67eda1…
06-12 06:23:40	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	SELL	37	40¢	$15	0x1a8385…
06-12 06:23:25	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	BUY	37	42¢	$16	0x1bb943…
06-11 22:19:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0x1eb222…
06-11 22:19:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x99130e…
06-11 15:39:10	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x68b8f0…
06-11 15:39:00	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x73aa4f…
06-04 18:58:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x40f2a9…
06-04 18:57:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe14ac7…
06-04 18:57:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x95d858…
06-04 18:57:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x838f5f…
06-04 00:27:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x33ce16…
06-04 00:27:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x15353c…
06-04 00:27:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x219778…
06-04 00:27:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xb783cf…
06-03 23:18:27	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xb916ec…
06-03 23:18:25	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x01b550…
06-03 18:40:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd28f1c…
06-03 18:40:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8ddb17…
06-03 08:03:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xbe06dd…
06-03 08:03:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$37	0x572018…
06-01 17:01:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$1	0x220923…
06-01 17:01:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x43089a…
05-28 00:25:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xca1e05…
05-28 00:25:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x08ed1d…
05-27 05:01:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x1f7ea5…
05-27 05:01:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x30a763…
05-26 08:40:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xf37eff…
05-26 08:40:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0xd0b174…
05-26 08:40:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x3efcc7…
05-25 06:36:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xb5ac18…
05-25 06:36:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$1	0xdb9659…
05-25 06:36:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x4df096…
05-11 11:58:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x9cb352…
05-11 11:58:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x71dd7b…
05-09 17:39:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Ofner	Sebastian Ofner	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xfa9bd0…
05-09 16:54:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Ofner	Sebastian Ofner	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x4eceea…
04-28 02:19:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x1b774c…
04-28 02:18:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0xffb499…
04-28 02:18:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xbc7c10…
04-27 22:22:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x09914e…
04-27 22:22:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x42f04e…
04-27 19:38:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xad7c6c…
04-27 19:37:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x0d4204…
04-27 13:07:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xa419ac…
04-27 13:07:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x791458…
04-26 16:40:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x880cb2…
04-26 16:39:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x8ca5d6…
04-26 16:39:42	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xadb170…
04-23 19:19:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x26a322…
04-23 19:19:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x563b43…
04-23 08:41:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf15e8f…
04-23 08:41:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x8eadb9…
04-23 04:22:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xa8c2fe…
04-23 04:22:40	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x2ec746…
04-23 00:33:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x090adb…
04-23 00:33:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xd33fa2…
04-22 18:57:46	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x195154…
04-22 18:57:38	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x330f13…
04-22 05:46:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xbdf18e…
04-22 05:46:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x8ba698…
04-22 05:37:54	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x28c5e1…
04-22 05:37:40	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xd9cfbc…
04-22 01:01:00	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x49b103…
04-22 01:00:52	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x37f614…
04-21 18:08:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xf7f23b…
04-21 18:08:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7727a3…