Ill-Informed-Leash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$773

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 05-24 07:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 58% -$4

Politics

5% 0% -$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$45	57	0	+57	Up	+$12	05-23 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$40	50	0	+50	Up	+$10	05-23 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$40	53	0	+53	Up	+$8	05-23 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	5	$35	24	24	+0	Up	+$9	05-24 06:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$35	100	100	+0	No	-$15	05-24 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$30	1,551	0	+1,551	Down	-$30	05-23 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$30	42	0	+42	Down	-$25	05-23 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$25	110	10	+100	Up	-$5	05-23 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Up	+$1	05-23 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Up	+$1	05-23 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$23	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	05-24 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$20	43	0	+43	Up	+$23	05-23 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$20	22	0	+22	Up	+$2	05-23 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-24 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	5	$20	16	8	+9	Up	-$4	05-24 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$19	11	11	+0	Up	+$3	05-24 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$17	79	7	+71	Up	-$3	05-23 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$16	17	17	+0	Down	-$4	05-23 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-24 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$15	17	5	+12	Down	-$5	05-24 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$15	101	0	+101	Down	-$15	05-23 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$15	20	0	+20	Down	+$5	05-23 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$15	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	05-23 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$14	31	0	+31	Down	-$2	05-23 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$14	475	11	+464	Down	-$5	05-23 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-24 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	4	$10	54	4	+50	Down	-$2	05-24 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-24 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Up	-$10	05-24 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$10	33	0	+33	Down	-$10	05-23 19:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 07:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x6fedc8…
05-24 07:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x96e0fd…
05-24 07:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb3fdab…
05-24 07:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9b80f8…
05-24 07:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbf0a05…
05-24 07:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x341494…
05-24 07:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd31673…
05-24 07:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x875170…
05-24 07:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd4f7d4…
05-24 07:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd0f316…
05-24 06:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9b08ba…
05-24 06:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf2a0a6…
05-24 06:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8d31d2…
05-24 06:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa84e2c…
05-24 06:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3c2e65…
05-24 06:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x00c751…
05-24 06:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc20ae1…
05-24 06:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa88268…
05-24 06:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf3b38e…
05-24 06:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x53f9b7…
05-24 06:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x44b4da…
05-24 06:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0x4666b8…
05-24 06:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xaf167e…
05-24 06:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x02a224…
05-24 06:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xb3703a…
05-24 06:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x342f59…
05-24 06:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6e5b8a…
05-24 06:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x86419c…
05-24 06:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa40296…
05-24 06:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x5431c0…
05-24 06:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x54e306…
05-24 06:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9a75cb…
05-24 06:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6af5d2…
05-24 06:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfeba56…
05-24 06:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x5d8677…
05-24 06:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x781b48…
05-24 06:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf9c312…
05-24 06:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa55fb4…
05-24 06:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4b27fc…
05-24 06:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x2bd282…
05-24 06:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc91c9f…
05-24 06:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x607a6d…
05-24 06:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2cc380…
05-24 06:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x0eba71…
05-24 06:10:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x43183b…
05-24 06:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x979249…
05-24 06:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x78cfd3…
05-24 06:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x7f5046…
05-24 06:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb8694f…
05-24 06:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xf83c2b…
05-24 06:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xbd3ee1…
05-24 06:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x731b80…
05-24 06:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7eac71…
05-24 05:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4c7971…
05-24 05:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8f6582…
05-24 05:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3fe004…
05-24 05:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe22389…
05-24 05:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x616986…
05-24 05:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5b9d15…
05-24 05:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb22459…
05-24 05:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0x415b10…
05-24 05:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x02f2aa…
05-24 05:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb519d5…
05-24 05:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xf07bbc…
05-24 05:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x86b1b6…
05-24 05:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x2f0d77…
05-24 05:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd83f21…
05-24 05:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x21ff8f…
05-24 05:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x758ffc…
05-23 20:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0xe9d83a…
05-23 20:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf4cd7f…
05-23 20:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x62c77b…
05-23 20:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa52269…
05-23 20:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x953bb7…
05-23 20:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x043052…
05-23 20:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x65542b…
05-23 20:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd082d3…
05-23 20:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x053911…
05-23 20:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfba83d…
05-23 20:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x62bc2d…
05-23 20:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x52372d…
05-23 20:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x0d567f…
05-23 19:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd6ff0b…
05-23 19:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8bb830…
05-23 19:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xb634be…
05-23 19:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfbb9ec…
05-23 19:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x850346…
05-23 19:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x3e40a4…
05-23 19:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6a7b36…
05-23 19:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5f3195…
05-23 19:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x1dbb15…
05-23 19:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf2b101…
05-23 19:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x338227…
05-23 19:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x517f04…
05-23 19:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x9156d1…
05-23 19:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x260db1…
05-23 19:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1be64b…
05-23 19:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	464	1¢	$5	0xd2c9aa…
05-23 19:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	41¢	$4	0x370a2e…
05-23 19:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x484801…