Piercing-Episode — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved

190

Trades

1,849

lifetime

Volume

$5.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-16 15:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 75% +$5

Politics

1% — —

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	6	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	05-06 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$54	55	0	+55	open	—	04-30 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	5	$53	54	0	+54	Up	+$1	05-05 03:13
btc updown 5m 1776912600	8	$51	52	0	+52	open	—	04-23 02:54
btc updown 5m 1776907500	15	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-23 01:28
btc updown 5m 1776834900	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-22 05:18
btc updown 5m 1776918600	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-23 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	04-28 01:34
btc updown 5m 1776909600	1	$49	51	0	+51	open	—	04-23 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$49	53	0	+53	open	—	04-30 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	9	$48	49	0	+49	open	—	05-01 01:10
btc updown 5m 1776989100	14	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-24 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	12	$45	45	0	+45	Up	+$0	05-08 02:24
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	03-28 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	04-30 02:39
btc updown 5m 1776995100	13	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	04-24 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	12	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-30 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$38	39	0	+39	Up	+$1	05-06 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	11	$38	38	0	+38	Up	+$0	05-05 00:33
btc updown 5m 1776836100	18	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	04-22 05:39
btc updown 5m 1776558000	2	$36	37	0	+37	open	—	04-19 00:23
btc updown 5m 1776824700	5	$35	36	0	+36	open	—	04-22 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	11	$35	35	0	+35	Down	+$0	05-08 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	7	$34	35	0	+35	Up	+$0	05-07 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	8	$34	34	0	+34	Down	+$0	05-06 04:52
will trump visit china by march 31	4	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-28 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-26 05:28
btc updown 5m 1776902400	3	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	04-23 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	7	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	05-08 02:33
btc updown 5m 1776902700	8	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-23 00:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 15:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xbfce25…
05-16 15:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x8183fa…
05-16 09:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8c050d…
05-16 08:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x36beec…
05-16 08:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcc3298…
05-16 07:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x97ce91…
05-16 07:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x106a3a…
05-16 07:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xaf61d1…
05-16 07:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x30088b…
05-16 05:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xacbdc5…
05-16 05:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x7f61b7…
05-16 05:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x34b530…
05-16 05:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe5e9e0…
05-16 05:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x002eaa…
05-16 05:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x24a6ce…
05-16 04:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xedc350…
05-16 04:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x66968f…
05-16 04:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x4e6a48…
05-16 04:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf38b94…
05-16 04:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8e36df…
05-16 04:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x44ec7c…
05-16 03:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xd56b46…
05-16 03:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd0a61e…
05-16 03:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf019e6…
05-16 03:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb171f2…
05-16 03:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xace676…
05-16 03:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x70623c…
05-16 03:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x9f01b9…
05-16 03:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe4aaa7…
05-16 03:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x8d3ea0…
05-16 03:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x53c92e…
05-16 03:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x449d20…
05-16 03:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xf532ba…
05-16 03:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb61f8d…
05-16 03:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x9be66c…
05-16 03:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x8cb321…
05-16 03:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x79f5f4…
05-16 03:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x7791a4…
05-16 03:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x364c58…
05-16 03:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x2aeb2d…
05-16 03:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x17181f…
05-16 03:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x127bab…
05-16 03:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x04c161…
05-16 03:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x168133…
05-16 02:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x817282…
05-16 02:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc482af…
05-16 02:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x98aead…
05-16 02:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x6b25ad…
05-16 02:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x0bd06c…
05-16 02:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x826f4c…
05-16 02:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa4f15d…
05-16 02:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x8ccbde…
05-16 02:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4ec2ea…
05-16 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xa335fb…
05-16 01:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x473373…
05-16 01:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xee4d3f…
05-16 01:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbf0e72…
05-16 01:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf8cc6f…
05-16 01:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xcafb2c…
05-16 01:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x158b59…
05-16 01:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x056e1f…
05-16 01:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2c2a4b…
05-16 01:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x30085f…
05-16 01:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6628f3…
05-16 01:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x01ecf1…
05-16 01:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xaeb902…
05-16 00:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5defab…
05-15 23:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x972224…
05-15 23:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x15635c…
05-15 23:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xa5d1b8…
05-15 23:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x46f577…
05-15 23:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x19a2d6…
05-15 23:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb23d40…
05-15 23:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x986637…
05-15 23:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xa7e26a…
05-15 23:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xf38444…
05-15 22:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x90c443…
05-15 22:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x9ddf61…
05-15 22:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe78116…
05-15 22:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x0bec7d…
05-15 22:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4ffc16…
05-15 08:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x471adb…
05-15 02:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcfa0fe…
05-14 05:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7226d5…
05-14 05:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x141535…
05-14 02:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x48f748…
05-14 02:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x870c73…
05-14 02:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0489d…
05-14 02:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf1ac44…
05-14 02:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x46028c…
05-14 02:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0bcdd1…
05-14 02:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x61c5ad…
05-14 02:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x8229ec…
05-14 02:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8da418…
05-14 02:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x9d9503…
05-14 01:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf3b7b4…
05-14 01:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2051bb…
05-13 06:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc94117…
05-13 05:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x2ab787…
05-13 04:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x0de47b…