Forked-Palm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$222

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,214

lifetime

Volume

$9.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 05-13 15:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 53% $-242

Other

3% 100% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 885 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774070400	40	$294	454	0	+454	open	—	03-21 05:22
Oeiras 4: Tiago Pereira vs Emilio Nava	2	$204	104	104	+0	Emilio Nava	+$4	05-13 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	46	$141	282	0	+282	Down	$-8	05-11 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	40	$114	270	0	+270	Up	+$4	05-11 20:04
Oeiras 4: Tomas Barrios vs Nishesh Basavareddy	1	$100	116	0	+116	Tomas Barrios	+$16	05-13 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	38	$96	197	0	+197	Up	$-3	05-11 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	32	$89	188	0	+188	Down	+$26	05-11 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	29	$82	157	0	+157	Up	$-2	05-11 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	34	$77	197	0	+197	Down	$-20	05-11 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	30	$73	146	0	+146	Down	$-10	05-11 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	38	$72	238	0	+238	Down	$-9	05-11 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	32	$72	151	0	+151	Down	+$8	05-11 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	46	$72	284	0	+284	Up	$-29	05-11 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	45	$71	327	0	+327	Up	$-17	05-11 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	43	$70	268	0	+268	Up	$-21	05-11 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	29	$70	268	0	+268	Up	$-7	05-11 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	34	$64	195	0	+195	Down	$-9	05-11 11:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	1	$60	67	0	+67	No	$-60	05-13 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	30	$60	151	0	+151	Up	+$2	05-11 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	18	$59	111	0	+111	Down	$-19	05-11 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	18	$58	131	0	+131	Down	$-14	05-11 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	27	$54	170	0	+170	Down	$-13	05-11 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	27	$54	213	0	+213	Down	$-20	05-11 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	25	$50	117	0	+117	Up	$-15	05-11 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	16	$48	114	0	+114	Up	$-12	05-11 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	10	$42	81	0	+81	Up	+$4	05-11 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	8	$38	85	0	+85	Up	+$28	05-11 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	15	$36	74	0	+74	Down	$-5	05-11 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	17	$35	78	0	+78	Down	+$13	05-11 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	9	$29	60	0	+60	Down	$-1	05-11 18:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 15:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x07c861…
05-13 15:49:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x26ae78…
05-13 15:49:19	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5b07a6…
05-13 15:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xbc4d83…
05-13 15:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0991ef…
05-13 15:34:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5215ff…
05-13 15:34:23	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x5259d6…
05-13 15:34:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xde150c…
05-13 15:34:18	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xc3bbba…
05-13 14:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8dbfd1…
05-13 14:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4f1f39…
05-13 14:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x12c596…
05-13 14:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbeb7fe…
05-13 14:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa4681a…
05-13 14:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xc3da0d…
05-13 14:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd997ce…
05-13 14:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x15a1f9…
05-13 13:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd647f9…
05-13 13:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6cf778…
05-13 13:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x965be4…
05-13 13:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x868eb7…
05-13 12:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcb8927…
05-13 11:36:06	Oeiras 4: Tiago Pereira vs Emilio Nava	Emilio Nava	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xdd23ec…
05-13 10:48:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0xdc1e0a…
05-13 10:45:42	Oeiras 4: Tiago Pereira vs Emilio Nava	Emilio Nava	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x82475d…
05-13 10:45:28	Oeiras 4: Tomas Barrios vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Tomas Barrios	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x1a3124…
05-11 20:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xbedfa0…
05-11 20:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xa438e6…
05-11 20:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x483c2c…
05-11 20:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x4009ee…
05-11 20:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb7b2a8…
05-11 20:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7dfb04…
05-11 20:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xde0eec…
05-11 20:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x96a5fc…
05-11 20:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x8242c8…
05-11 20:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xe58f3e…
05-11 20:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa7166e…
05-11 20:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xa1d142…
05-11 20:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x535af4…
05-11 20:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x627262…
05-11 20:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x484e84…
05-11 20:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x82eed2…
05-11 20:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x4a6795…
05-11 20:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9156d2…
05-11 20:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x26fce1…
05-11 20:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x2c853a…
05-11 20:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xf4002d…
05-11 20:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xd10b91…
05-11 20:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x887dac…
05-11 20:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xcaafce…
05-11 20:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xec74e9…
05-11 20:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x59ce74…
05-11 20:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0e6fb5…
05-11 20:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x2aa143…
05-11 20:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xaf909b…
05-11 20:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa5c6fd…
05-11 20:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x1672a8…
05-11 20:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xbe6c5a…
05-11 20:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x730aa9…
05-11 20:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x716a02…
05-11 20:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xf3911f…
05-11 20:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc634ed…
05-11 20:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x89d277…
05-11 20:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xe8cf8f…
05-11 20:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe1b381…
05-11 20:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6994ec…
05-11 20:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x61a3db…
05-11 20:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x125354…
05-11 20:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x8cd221…
05-11 20:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x4ae5ff…
05-11 20:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x45ac08…
05-11 20:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x89633c…
05-11 20:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x86fc14…
05-11 20:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x89ce3c…
05-11 20:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xa857d2…
05-11 20:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xdac9b8…
05-11 20:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x63cbc1…
05-11 20:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x15b6d7…
05-11 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xa487b1…
05-11 20:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0xf4b04e…
05-11 20:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xf054b7…
05-11 20:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xddd251…
05-11 20:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$7	0x474d20…
05-11 20:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x0c7b48…
05-11 20:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa6f094…
05-11 20:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xddff32…
05-11 20:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x168c11…
05-11 20:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xd5ad2e…
05-11 20:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x78c479…
05-11 20:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x5a3688…
05-11 20:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x577336…
05-11 20:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xd9599b…
05-11 20:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x6e7cf7…
05-11 20:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x42952c…
05-11 20:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xb2c9aa…
05-11 20:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9d1c35…
05-11 20:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x3da474…
05-11 20:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0xe78bdf…
05-11 20:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xd53c52…
05-11 20:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfef1a3…