Lighthearted-Blizzard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-21 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 100% +$38

Other

6% — —

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773162000	4	$481	397	392	+5	open	—	03-10 17:05
btc updown 5m 1773162600	4	$464	353	350	+3	open	—	03-10 17:15
btc updown 5m 1773162300	2	$308	179	177	+2	open	—	03-10 17:10
btc updown 5m 1773161400	2	$233	145	143	+2	open	—	03-10 16:55
btc updown 5m 1773160800	2	$170	90	90	+0	open	—	03-10 16:45
btc updown 5m 1773162900	1	$118	163	0	+163	open	—	03-10 17:16
btc updown 5m 1773163500	4	$109	104	103	+1	open	—	03-10 17:30
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	2	$98	96	96	+0	open	—	03-10 17:23
btc updown 5m 1773161700	2	$97	58	57	+1	open	—	03-10 17:00
btc updown 5m 1773163800	3	$72	98	59	+39	open	—	03-10 17:31
btc updown 5m 1773163200	2	$59	95	94	+1	open	—	03-10 17:24
btc updown 5m 1773160200	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	03-10 16:35
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?	4	$42	0	52	-52	open	—	07-21 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$40	46	0	+46	Up	+$6	05-05 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$29	54	0	+54	Up	+$25	05-05 11:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	04-16 18:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$18	30	0	+30	open	—	04-16 18:34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$17	21	0	+21	open	—	04-23 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$14	30	30	+0	open	—	05-25 09:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	1	$11	18	0	+18	Yes	+$7	05-05 11:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-23 21:01
btc updown 5m 1773160500	1	$9	57	0	+57	open	—	03-10 16:39
btc updown 5m 1773158400	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	03-10 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 14:40:03	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?	No	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0x92a1f7…
07-21 03:41:46	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xc0ddde…
07-20 14:55:07	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x90e822…
07-20 04:36:31	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x78eca7…
05-25 09:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xc3efa6…
05-25 09:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xc00562…
05-05 11:28:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0x977fcb…
05-05 11:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	46	86¢	$40	0x7165ea…
05-05 11:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xa61764…
05-05 11:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xb4b69a…
04-23 21:02:40	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x5e89e1…
04-23 21:01:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe72405…
04-16 18:34:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x9d0a2c…
04-16 18:33:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x0b5272…
03-10 17:31:03	btc updown 5m 1773163800	Up	BUY	38	56¢	$21	0x15784b…
03-10 17:30:45	btc updown 5m 1773163800	Down	SELL	59	36¢	$21	0x86df12…
03-10 17:30:33	btc updown 5m 1773163800	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xdcbd5e…
03-10 17:30:13	btc updown 5m 1773163500	Down	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x154848…
03-10 17:25:53	btc updown 5m 1773163500	Down	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0x2aeaa9…
03-10 17:25:39	btc updown 5m 1773163500	Up	SELL	73	31¢	$23	0x167260…
03-10 17:25:25	btc updown 5m 1773163500	Up	BUY	74	46¢	$34	0xe2def6…
03-10 17:24:29	btc updown 5m 1773163200	Down	SELL	94	10¢	$9	0xdbefcf…
03-10 17:23:21	btc updown 5m 1773163200	Down	BUY	95	52¢	$50	0xc224a7…
03-10 17:23:01	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	96	50¢	$48	0xa1690b…
03-10 17:16:19	btc updown 5m 1773162900	Up	BUY	163	73¢	$118	0x2ea081…
03-10 17:15:15	btc updown 5m 1773162600	Down	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0xf5cd6d…
03-10 17:13:27	btc updown 5m 1773162600	Down	BUY	112	80¢	$90	0x627e2d…
03-10 17:12:47	btc updown 5m 1773162600	Up	SELL	238	39¢	$93	0x23c2a0…
03-10 17:11:23	btc updown 5m 1773162600	Up	BUY	241	71¢	$170	0x888364…
03-10 17:10:15	btc updown 5m 1773162300	Up	SELL	177	99¢	$176	0xa75c84…
03-10 17:06:01	btc updown 5m 1773162300	Up	BUY	179	74¢	$132	0x11f7ac…
03-10 17:05:17	btc updown 5m 1773162000	Down	SELL	133	99¢	$132	0xd1523f…
03-10 17:04:17	btc updown 5m 1773162000	Down	BUY	135	70¢	$94	0xe0ea75…
03-10 17:03:55	btc updown 5m 1773162000	Up	SELL	258	37¢	$95	0x12e88d…
03-10 17:03:27	btc updown 5m 1773162000	Up	BUY	262	61¢	$160	0x68769d…
03-10 17:00:27	btc updown 5m 1773161700	Down	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x1a3a40…
03-10 16:56:11	btc updown 5m 1773161700	Down	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0xc6ce94…
03-10 16:55:15	btc updown 5m 1773161400	Up	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x6394d4…
03-10 16:51:21	btc updown 5m 1773161400	Up	BUY	145	62¢	$90	0x9f6e63…
03-10 16:45:53	btc updown 5m 1773160800	Up	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x9125ba…
03-10 16:44:13	btc updown 5m 1773160800	Up	BUY	90	89¢	$80	0xce47bd…
03-10 16:39:15	btc updown 5m 1773160500	Up	BUY	57	16¢	$9	0x2df1e1…
03-10 16:35:01	btc updown 5m 1773160200	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xbacff3…
03-10 16:16:07	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xc40264…
03-10 16:02:41	btc updown 5m 1773158400	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd4b35b…